Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 30 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | TS-LKD | LSDP | LRLS | TT | DP | LLRA | LVŽS | LŽP | LCP | LS | LRP | LP | LT | DSVL | JL | KS | NS | NA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May 2019 | General Election | 17.4% 2 |
17.3% 2 |
16.6% 2 |
14.2% 2 |
12.4% 1 |
8.0% 1 |
6.6% 1 |
3.6% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 12–17% 1–2 |
24–31% 3–4 |
5–9% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
7–11% 1 |
0–2% 0 |
9–14% 1–2 |
1–3% 0 |
0–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
4–7% 0–1 |
3–6% 0–1 |
2–4% 0 |
11–16% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
| 10–21 April 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai LRT |
12–17% 1–2 |
24–31% 3–4 |
5–9% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
7–11% 1 |
0–2% 0 |
9–14% 1–2 |
1–3% 0 |
0–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
4–7% 0–1 |
3–6% 0–1 |
2–4% 0 |
11–16% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
| 26 May 2019 | General Election | 17.4% 2 |
17.3% 2 |
16.6% 2 |
14.2% 2 |
12.4% 1 |
8.0% 1 |
6.6% 1 |
3.6% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- TS-LKD: Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)
- LSDP: Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D)
- LRLS: Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE)
- TT: Partija tvarka ir teisingumas (*)
- DP: Darbo Partija (NI)
- LLRA: Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija (ECR)
- LVŽS: Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (Greens/EFA)
- LŽP: Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija (Greens/EFA)
- LCP: Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“ (ECR)
- LS: Politinė partija “Lietuvos sąrašas” (*)
- LRP: Lietuvos regionų partija (S&D)
- LP: Laisvės partija (RE)
- LT: Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ (RE)
- DSVL: Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA)
- JL: Jaunoji Lietuva (*)
- KS: Krikščionių sąjunga (*)
- NS: Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*)
- NA: Nemuno aušra (*)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) | 17.4% | 14.4% | 12.7–16.3% | 12.2–16.9% | 11.8–17.4% | 11.0–18.4% |
| Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) | 17.3% | 27.1% | 24.8–29.5% | 24.2–30.1% | 23.6–30.7% | 22.6–31.9% |
| Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) | 16.6% | 6.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.2–8.6% | 4.9–9.0% | 4.4–9.7% |
| Partija tvarka ir teisingumas (*) | 14.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Darbo Partija (NI) | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.2–11.0% | 6.8–11.4% | 6.2–12.2% |
| Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija (ECR) | 8.0% | 0.8% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.5% | 0.3–1.7% | 0.2–2.1% |
| Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (Greens/EFA) | 6.6% | 11.6% | 10.0–13.3% | 9.6–13.9% | 9.2–14.3% | 8.5–15.2% |
| Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija (Greens/EFA) | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.4% | 0.7–2.6% | 0.5–3.1% |
| Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“ (ECR) | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.4–1.7% | 0.4–1.9% | 0.3–2.3% |
| Politinė partija “Lietuvos sąrašas” (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Lietuvos regionų partija (S&D) | 0.0% | 5.3% | 4.2–6.5% | 3.9–6.9% | 3.7–7.2% | 3.3–7.9% |
| Laisvės partija (RE) | 0.0% | 4.1% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.6% | 2.7–5.9% | 2.4–6.5% |
| Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ (RE) | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% | 1.7–4.3% | 1.4–4.9% |
| Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 13.4% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.3–15.8% | 10.9–16.3% | 10.1–17.3% |
| Jaunoji Lietuva (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Krikščionių sąjunga (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.4% | 0.7–2.6% | 0.5–3.1% |
| Nemuno aušra (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 7% | 98% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 18% | 92% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 27% | 74% | Median |
| 14.5–15.5% | 24% | 47% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 15% | 22% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 6% | 8% | Last Result |
| 17.5–18.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 5% | 98% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 12% | 92% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 19% | 81% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 22% | 62% | Median |
| 27.5–28.5% | 19% | 40% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 12% | 21% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 6% | 9% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0% | 0% |
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 9% | 99.3% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 31% | 90% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 35% | 59% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 18% | 23% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Darbo Partija (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Darbo Partija (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 9% | 98.8% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 26% | 90% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 33% | 63% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 21% | 30% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 8% | 9% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija (ECR) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 24% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 72% | 76% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 15% | 95% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 28% | 80% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 27% | 52% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 16% | 24% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 6% | 8% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 58% | 99.3% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 38% | 41% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“ (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“ (ECR) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 12% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 79% | 88% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 9% | 10% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 58% | 99.3% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 38% | 41% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos regionų partija (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos regionų partija (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 19% | 98% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 41% | 80% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 29% | 38% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 8% | 10% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Laisvės partija (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Laisvės partija (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 22% | 98.7% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 47% | 76% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 24% | 30% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 18% | 92% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 28% | 74% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 25% | 47% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 14% | 22% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 35% | 98.6% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 50% | 64% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 13% | 14% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26% | 100% | |
| 2 | 74% | 74% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 60% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 40% | 40% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partija tvarka ir teisingumas (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partija tvarka ir teisingumas (*) page.
Darbo Partija (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Darbo Partija (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 99.4% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 66% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 34% | 34% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“ (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“ (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Politinė partija “Lietuvos sąrašas” (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politinė partija “Lietuvos sąrašas” (*) page.
Lietuvos regionų partija (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos regionų partija (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 52% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 48% | 48% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Laisvės partija (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Laisvės partija (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 66% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 34% | 34% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 29% | 100% | |
| 2 | 71% | 71% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunoji Lietuva (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunoji Lietuva (*) page.
Krikščionių sąjunga (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Krikščionių sąjunga (*) page.
Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Nemuno aušra (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nemuno aušra (*) page.
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) – Lietuvos regionų partija (S&D) | 2 | 4 | 0% | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (Greens/EFA) – Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija (Greens/EFA) – Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) | 1 | 3 | 0% | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) – Laisvės partija (RE) – Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ (RE) | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) | 2 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Darbo Partija (NI) | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija (ECR) – Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“ (ECR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Partija tvarka ir teisingumas () – Jaunoji Lietuva () – Krikščionių sąjunga () – Nacionalinis Susivienijimas () – Nemuno aušra () – Politinė partija “Lietuvos sąrašas” () | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) – Lietuvos regionų partija (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 34% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 45% | 66% | |
| 5 | 22% | 22% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (Greens/EFA) – Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija (Greens/EFA) – Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 16% | 100% | |
| 3 | 63% | 84% | Median |
| 4 | 21% | 21% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) – Laisvės partija (RE) – Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 65% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 33% | 33% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26% | 100% | |
| 2 | 74% | 74% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Darbo Partija (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 99.4% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija (ECR) – Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“ (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partija tvarka ir teisingumas () – Jaunoji Lietuva () – Krikščionių sąjunga () – Nacionalinis Susivienijimas () – Nemuno aušra () – Politinė partija “Lietuvos sąrašas” ()
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 1
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 4.04%