Opinion Poll by Kantar for Luxemburger Wort and RTL, 14–23 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei |
28.3% |
30.1% |
28.8–31.5% |
28.4–31.9% |
28.1–32.3% |
27.4–32.9% |
Demokratesch Partei |
16.9% |
16.6% |
15.5–17.8% |
15.3–18.1% |
15.0–18.4% |
14.5–19.0% |
déi gréng |
15.1% |
15.9% |
14.9–17.1% |
14.6–17.4% |
14.3–17.7% |
13.8–18.2% |
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei |
17.6% |
15.0% |
14.0–16.1% |
13.7–16.4% |
13.4–16.7% |
13.0–17.3% |
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei |
8.3% |
10.4% |
9.5–11.4% |
9.3–11.6% |
9.1–11.9% |
8.7–12.3% |
déi Lénk |
5.5% |
5.5% |
4.9–6.2% |
4.7–6.4% |
4.5–6.6% |
4.3–7.0% |
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg |
6.4% |
5.4% |
4.8–6.1% |
4.6–6.3% |
4.4–6.5% |
4.2–6.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
7% |
99.2% |
|
20 |
29% |
92% |
|
21 |
42% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
22 |
17% |
21% |
|
23 |
4% |
4% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Demokratesch Partei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
10 |
17% |
98% |
|
11 |
37% |
81% |
Median |
12 |
30% |
44% |
Last Result |
13 |
14% |
14% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
déi gréng
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
12% |
100% |
|
9 |
22% |
88% |
Last Result |
10 |
65% |
66% |
Median |
11 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
8% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
22% |
92% |
|
9 |
70% |
70% |
Median |
10 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.8% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
32% |
99.2% |
|
6 |
30% |
67% |
Median |
7 |
37% |
37% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
déi Lénk
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
98.7% |
99.9% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
39% |
100% |
|
2 |
60% |
61% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
4 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei |
33 |
32 |
96% |
31–33 |
31–34 |
30–34 |
30–35 |
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei |
31 |
29 |
12% |
28–31 |
28–31 |
27–32 |
27–32 |
Demokratesch Partei – déi gréng – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei |
31 |
30 |
21% |
28–31 |
28–31 |
27–32 |
27–32 |
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei |
21 |
21 |
0% |
20–22 |
19–22 |
19–23 |
18–23 |
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
30 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
31 |
13% |
96% |
Majority |
32 |
56% |
83% |
Median |
33 |
17% |
26% |
Last Result |
34 |
7% |
9% |
|
35 |
2% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
15% |
96% |
|
29 |
32% |
81% |
|
30 |
38% |
50% |
Median |
31 |
9% |
12% |
Last Result, Majority |
32 |
3% |
3% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Demokratesch Partei – déi gréng – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
16% |
97% |
|
29 |
31% |
81% |
|
30 |
29% |
50% |
Median |
31 |
18% |
21% |
Last Result, Majority |
32 |
4% |
4% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
7% |
99.2% |
|
20 |
29% |
92% |
|
21 |
42% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
22 |
17% |
21% |
|
23 |
4% |
4% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar
- Commissioner(s): Luxemburger Wort and RTL
- Fieldwork period: 14–23 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1859
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.82%