Opinion Poll by Kantar for Luxemburger Wort and RTL, 14–23 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 28.3% 30.1% 28.8–31.5% 28.4–31.9% 28.1–32.3% 27.4–32.9%
Demokratesch Partei 16.9% 16.6% 15.5–17.8% 15.3–18.1% 15.0–18.4% 14.5–19.0%
déi gréng 15.1% 15.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.6–17.4% 14.3–17.7% 13.8–18.2%
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 17.6% 15.0% 14.0–16.1% 13.7–16.4% 13.4–16.7% 13.0–17.3%
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei 8.3% 10.4% 9.5–11.4% 9.3–11.6% 9.1–11.9% 8.7–12.3%
déi Lénk 5.5% 5.5% 4.9–6.2% 4.7–6.4% 4.5–6.6% 4.3–7.0%
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg 6.4% 5.4% 4.8–6.1% 4.6–6.3% 4.4–6.5% 4.2–6.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 21 21 20–22 19–22 19–23 18–23
Demokratesch Partei 12 11 10–13 10–13 10–13 9–13
déi gréng 9 10 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 10 9 8–9 7–9 7–9 7–9
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei 4 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 4–7
déi Lénk 2 2 2 2 2 2–3
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.7% 99.9%  
19 7% 99.2%  
20 29% 92%  
21 42% 63% Last Result, Median
22 17% 21%  
23 4% 4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100%  
9 2% 99.6%  
10 17% 98%  
11 37% 81% Median
12 30% 44% Last Result
13 14% 14%  
14 0% 0%  

déi gréng

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 12% 100%  
9 22% 88% Last Result
10 65% 66% Median
11 0.5% 0.7%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 8% 99.8%  
8 22% 92%  
9 70% 70% Median
10 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.8% 100% Last Result
5 32% 99.2%  
6 30% 67% Median
7 37% 37%  
8 0% 0%  

déi Lénk

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 98.7% 99.9% Last Result, Median
3 1.2% 1.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 39% 100%  
2 60% 61% Last Result, Median
3 0.8% 1.3%  
4 0.5% 0.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei 33 32 96% 31–33 31–34 30–34 30–35
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 31 29 12% 28–31 28–31 27–32 27–32
Demokratesch Partei – déi gréng – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 31 30 21% 28–31 28–31 27–32 27–32
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 21 21 0% 20–22 19–22 19–23 18–23

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.4% 100%  
30 4% 99.6%  
31 13% 96% Majority
32 56% 83% Median
33 17% 26% Last Result
34 7% 9%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 4% 99.8%  
28 15% 96%  
29 32% 81%  
30 38% 50% Median
31 9% 12% Last Result, Majority
32 3% 3%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei – déi gréng – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 3% 99.8%  
28 16% 97%  
29 31% 81%  
30 29% 50% Median
31 18% 21% Last Result, Majority
32 4% 4%  
33 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.7% 99.9%  
19 7% 99.2%  
20 29% 92%  
21 42% 63% Last Result, Median
22 17% 21%  
23 4% 4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations