Opinion Poll by INSCOP for News.ro, 19–27 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 29.4% 27.6–31.2% 27.2–31.7% 26.7–32.1% 25.9–33.0%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 18.9% 17.5–20.5% 17.1–20.9% 16.7–21.3% 16.0–22.1%
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 14.7% 13.4–16.2% 13.1–16.6% 12.8–16.9% 12.1–17.7%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 12.2% 11.0–13.5% 10.7–13.9% 10.4–14.3% 9.8–14.9%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 6.1% 5.3–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.8–7.7% 4.5–8.2%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.8% 3.5–6.1% 3.2–6.5%
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) 0.0% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.4–5.3%
Partidul Ecologist Român (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.2% 1.3–3.6%
Partidul Verde (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.2%
Partidul Umanist Social Liberal (S&D) 0.0% 1.5% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
PRO România (S&D) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 12 11–13 11–13 11–14 10–14
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 8 7–8 7–9 7–9 6–9
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 6 5–6 5–7 5–7 5–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 2 2 0–3 0–3 0–3
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–2
Partidul Ecologist Român (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Verde (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Umanist Social Liberal (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRO România (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 2% 100%  
11 14% 98%  
12 65% 84% Median
13 15% 19%  
14 4% 4%  
15 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 2% 100%  
7 30% 98%  
8 61% 67% Median
9 6% 6%  
10 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.4% 100%  
5 22% 99.6%  
6 70% 78% Median
7 7% 7%  
8 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.3% 100%  
4 22% 99.7%  
5 74% 78% Median
6 4% 4%  
7 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 0% 93%  
2 83% 93% Median
3 9% 9%  
4 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 29%  
2 29% 29%  
3 0% 0%  

Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul Ecologist Român (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Ecologist Român (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partidul Verde (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Verde (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partidul Umanist Social Liberal (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Umanist Social Liberal (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

PRO România (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) – Partidul Umanist Social Liberal (S&D) – PRO România (S&D) 0 12 0% 11–13 11–13 11–14 10–14
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 6 0% 5–6 5–7 5–7 5–7
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 2 0% 2 0–3 0–3 0–3

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) – Partidul Umanist Social Liberal (S&D) – PRO România (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 2% 100%  
11 14% 98%  
12 65% 84% Median
13 15% 19%  
14 4% 4%  
15 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.4% 100%  
5 22% 99.6%  
6 70% 78% Median
7 7% 7%  
8 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 0% 93%  
2 83% 93% Median
3 9% 9%  
4 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations