Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | PV | AER | PER | SENS | PSD | PRO | PPU-SL | A2020 | DREPT | PLUS | PMP | REPER | USR | PNL | UDMR | FD | AUR | PNCR | SOSRO | ALDE | APP | BSR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
28–34% 10–14 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
0–4% 0 |
11–18% 4–6 |
15–24% 5–9 |
4–8% 0–2 |
1–4% 0 |
14–23% 5–9 |
3–5% 0–2 |
2–7% 0–2 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
28–34% 11–13 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0 |
11–15% 4–5 |
14–18% 5–7 |
3–6% 0–2 |
1–2% 0 |
18–23% 7–9 |
N/A N/A |
5–7% 0–2 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
29–35% 11–14 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
10–14% 4–5 |
18–22% 7–9 |
4–6% 0–2 |
2–4% 0 |
13–17% 5–7 |
3–5% 0–2 |
5–8% 0–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
28–34% 10–12 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
0–2% 0 |
14–19% 5–7 |
20–25% 7–9 |
5–8% 0–3 |
2–4% 0 |
15–20% 5–7 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 9 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- PV: Partidul Verde (Greens/EFA)
- AER: Alianța AER pentru România (Greens/EFA)
- PER: Partidul Ecologist Român (Greens/EFA)
- SENS: Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA)
- PSD: Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)
- PRO: PRO România (S&D)
- PPU-SL: Partidul Umanist Social Liberal (S&D)
- A2020: Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS (RE)
- DREPT: Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE)
- PLUS: Partidul Libertății, Unității și Solidarității (RE)
- PMP: Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE)
- REPER: Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE)
- USR: Uniunea Salvați România (RE)
- PNL: Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)
- UDMR: Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)
- FD: Forța Dreptei (EPP)
- AUR: Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)
- PNCR: Partidul Național Conservator Român (ECR)
- SOSRO: Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)
- ALDE: Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților (*)
- APP: Alianța pentru Patrie (*)
- BSR: Blocul Suveranist Român (*)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Verde (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alianța AER pentru România (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Partidul Ecologist Român (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.6–2.3% |
| Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) | 0.0% | 31.3% | 29.4–33.2% | 28.9–33.8% | 28.5–34.3% | 27.6–35.2% |
| PRO România (S&D) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Partidul Umanist Social Liberal (S&D) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.6–2.3% |
| Partidul Libertății, Unității și Solidarității (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.7–3.1% | 0.6–3.4% | 0.5–3.6% | 0.4–4.0% |
| Uniunea Salvați România (RE) | 0.0% | 13.1% | 11.3–17.0% | 10.9–17.5% | 10.6–18.0% | 10.0–18.8% |
| Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) | 0.0% | 19.9% | 15.6–23.1% | 15.1–23.7% | 14.7–24.2% | 13.9–25.1% |
| Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.3% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.9–7.3% | 3.7–7.6% | 3.3–8.2% |
| Forța Dreptei (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 1.0–3.7% | 0.8–3.9% | 0.8–4.1% | 0.6–4.5% |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) | 0.0% | 17.6% | 14.5–21.4% | 13.9–22.0% | 13.5–22.6% | 12.8–23.5% |
| Partidul Național Conservator Român (ECR) | 0.0% | 4.1% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.8% |
| Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) | 0.0% | 5.5% | 2.4–6.8% | 2.2–7.1% | 2.0–7.4% | 1.8–7.9% |
| Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alianța pentru Patrie (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Blocul Suveranist Român (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 46% | 97% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 20% | 51% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 28% | 31% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 8% | 97% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 13% | 89% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 13% | 76% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 13% | 63% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 18.5–19.5% | 9% | 38% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 10% | 29% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 10% | 19% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 6% | 9% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% |
Uniunea Salvați România (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 12% | 98% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 23% | 86% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 20% | 63% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 9% | 43% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 7% | 34% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 12% | 26% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 10% | 15% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 13% | 99.9% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 19% | 87% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 2% | 68% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 16% | 66% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 34% | 50% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 14% | 15% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 9% | 97% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 19% | 88% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 26% | 69% | Median |
| 31.5–32.5% | 23% | 43% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 13% | 20% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 5% | 7% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0% | 0% |
Forța Dreptei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forța Dreptei (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 29% | 99.7% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 13% | 71% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 45% | 58% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 12% | 13% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 22% | 98.6% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 36% | 76% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 24% | 40% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 13% | 16% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 90% | 98% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 8% | 8% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Ecologist Român (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Ecologist Român (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 81% | 99.6% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 19% | 19% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 7% | 98% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 12% | 91% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 9% | 79% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 7% | 70% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 9% | 64% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 14% | 42% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 13% | 29% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 10% | 15% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 4% | 6% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% |
Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 81% | 99.6% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 19% | 19% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Conservator Român (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Conservator Român (ECR) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 18% | 99.8% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 60% | 82% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 21% | 23% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Partidul Verde (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Verde (Greens/EFA) page.
Alianța AER pentru România (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța AER pentru România (Greens/EFA) page.
Partidul Ecologist Român (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Ecologist Român (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 6% | 100% | |
| 11 | 35% | 94% | |
| 12 | 39% | 59% | Median |
| 13 | 18% | 20% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
PRO România (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România (S&D) page.
Partidul Umanist Social Liberal (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Umanist Social Liberal (S&D) page.
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS (RE) page.
Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Partidul Libertății, Unității și Solidarității (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Libertății, Unității și Solidarității (RE) page.
Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE) page.
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Uniunea Salvați România (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 4 | 33% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 45% | 66% | Median |
| 6 | 21% | 22% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 22% | 97% | |
| 7 | 26% | 75% | Median |
| 8 | 39% | 49% | |
| 9 | 10% | 10% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 41% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 7% | 59% | |
| 2 | 50% | 52% | Median |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Forța Dreptei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forța Dreptei (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 16% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 39% | 84% | Median |
| 7 | 17% | 44% | |
| 8 | 22% | 27% | |
| 9 | 6% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Conservator Român (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Conservator Român (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 8% | |
| 2 | 6% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 37% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.3% | 63% | |
| 2 | 60% | 62% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților (*) page.
Alianța pentru Patrie (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Patrie (*) page.
Blocul Suveranist Român (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Blocul Suveranist Român (*) page.
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRO România (S&D) – Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) – Partidul Umanist Social Liberal (S&D) | 0 | 12 | 0% | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| Forța Dreptei (EPP) – Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 6–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–11 |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) – Partidul Național Conservator Român (ECR) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS (RE) – Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE) – Partidul Libertății, Unității și Solidarității (RE) – Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE) – Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) – Uniunea Salvați România (RE) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| Alianța AER pentru România (Greens/EFA) – Partidul Ecologist Român (Greens/EFA) – Partidul Verde (Greens/EFA) – Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alianța pentru Patrie () – Blocul Suveranist Român () – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților (*) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
PRO România (S&D) – Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) – Partidul Umanist Social Liberal (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 6% | 100% | |
| 11 | 35% | 94% | |
| 12 | 39% | 59% | Median |
| 13 | 18% | 20% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Forța Dreptei (EPP) – Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 13% | 98.6% | |
| 7 | 19% | 85% | |
| 8 | 16% | 66% | |
| 9 | 14% | 50% | Median |
| 10 | 28% | 36% | |
| 11 | 7% | 7% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) – Partidul Național Conservator Român (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 14% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 39% | 85% | Median |
| 7 | 18% | 47% | |
| 8 | 23% | 28% | |
| 9 | 6% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS (RE) – Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE) – Partidul Libertății, Unității și Solidarității (RE) – Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE) – Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) – Uniunea Salvați România (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 4 | 33% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 45% | 66% | Median |
| 6 | 21% | 22% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 37% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.3% | 63% | |
| 2 | 60% | 62% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța AER pentru România (Greens/EFA) – Partidul Ecologist Român (Greens/EFA) – Partidul Verde (Greens/EFA) – Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Alianța pentru Patrie () – Blocul Suveranist Român () – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților (*)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 3
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 6,291,456
- Error estimate: 2.23%