Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 16.2% | 12.7–20.9% | 12.3–21.5% | 11.9–22.0% | 11.3–22.9% |
| 10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | 13.0% | 11.9–14.3% | 11.6–14.6% | 11.3–14.9% | 10.8–15.5% |
| 26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
13.4% | 12.5–14.4% | 12.3–14.7% | 12.0–15.0% | 11.6–15.4% |
| 9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
20.0% | 18.5–21.7% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.7–22.5% | 17.0–23.4% |
| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
16.2% | 14.8–17.7% | 14.4–18.1% | 14.1–18.5% | 13.5–19.2% |
| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 20.0% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.7–22.5% | 17.0–23.3% |
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
22.3% | 20.8–24.0% | 20.4–24.4% | 20.0–24.9% | 19.3–25.7% |
| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
13.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
14.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
18.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partidul Național Liberal (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 17% | 92% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 13% | 75% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 7% | 61% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 16.5–17.5% | 6% | 48% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 6% | 42% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 10% | 36% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 13% | 26% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 9% | 13% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 | 4–9 |
| 10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–10 |
| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
6 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 |
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
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| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
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| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partidul Național Liberal (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 5% | 100% | |
| 5 | 30% | 95% | |
| 6 | 20% | 65% | Median |
| 7 | 19% | 45% | |
| 8 | 21% | 26% | |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |