Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 19.9% | 15.6–23.1% | 15.1–23.7% | 14.7–24.2% | 13.9–25.1% |
7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
16.2% | 14.8–17.7% | 14.4–18.1% | 14.1–18.5% | 13.5–19.2% |
30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 20.0% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.7–22.5% | 17.0–23.3% |
24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
22.3% | 20.8–24.0% | 20.4–24.4% | 20.0–24.9% | 19.3–25.7% |
11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
13.2% | 11.9–14.6% | 11.6–15.0% | 11.3–15.3% | 10.7–16.0% |
11–16 October 2024 | CURS | 20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
14.3% | 12.9–15.8% | 12.6–16.2% | 12.2–16.6% | 11.6–17.3% |
13–27 August 2024 | CURS | 23.0% | 21.4–24.7% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.5–25.6% | 19.8–26.4% |
19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
18.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partidul Național Liberal (EPP).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 2% | 99.8% | |
14.5–15.5% | 7% | 98% | |
15.5–16.5% | 12% | 91% | |
16.5–17.5% | 9% | 79% | |
17.5–18.5% | 7% | 70% | |
18.5–19.5% | 9% | 64% | |
19.5–20.5% | 12% | 55% | Median |
20.5–21.5% | 14% | 42% | |
21.5–22.5% | 13% | 29% | |
22.5–23.5% | 10% | 15% | |
23.5–24.5% | 4% | 6% | |
24.5–25.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
25.5–26.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 |
24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
11–16 October 2024 | CURS | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
13–27 August 2024 | CURS | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–11 |
19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partidul Național Liberal (EPP).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0% | 100% | |
4 | 0% | 100% | |
5 | 4% | 100% | |
6 | 25% | 96% | |
7 | 21% | 71% | Median |
8 | 40% | 50% | |
9 | 10% | 10% | |
10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
11 | 0% | 0% |