Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 5.3% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.9–7.3% | 3.7–7.6% | 3.3–8.2% |
7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.5–5.9% | 3.1–6.4% |
30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 5.0% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.4% | 3.5–6.9% |
24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
6.4% | 5.6–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.2–8.0% | 4.8–8.5% |
11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
3.7% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.8–5.0% | 2.5–5.5% |
11–16 October 2024 | CURS | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
13–27 August 2024 | CURS | 5.0% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.4% | 3.5–6.9% |
19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 1.4% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 22% | 98.6% | |
4.5–5.5% | 36% | 76% | Median |
5.5–6.5% | 24% | 40% | |
6.5–7.5% | 13% | 16% | |
7.5–8.5% | 3% | 3% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
11–16 October 2024 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
13–27 August 2024 | CURS | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 40% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 4% | 60% | |
2 | 55% | 56% | Median |
3 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
4 | 0% | 0% |