Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 34.5% | 26.0–38.3% | 25.7–39.2% | 25.4–39.8% | 25.0–40.9% |
| 26–30 May 2025 | INSCOP | 38.1% | 36.3–39.9% | 35.8–40.5% | 35.3–40.9% | 34.5–41.8% |
| 26–30 May 2025 | CURS | 35.0% | 33.3–36.7% | 32.8–37.2% | 32.4–37.6% | 31.6–38.5% |
| 26–28 May 2025 | Sociopol | 36.0% | 34.0–38.0% | 33.5–38.5% | 33.0–39.0% | 32.1–39.9% |
| 23–28 May 2025 | Avangarde | 32.0% | 30.4–33.7% | 29.9–34.2% | 29.5–34.6% | 28.7–35.4% |
| 24–26 April 2025 | FlashData | 26.0% | 25.3–26.7% | 25.2–26.9% | 25.0–27.0% | 24.7–27.3% |
| 3–5 April 2025 | FlashData | 27.0% | 26.3–27.7% | 26.2–27.9% | 26.0–28.0% | 25.7–28.3% |
| 24–28 March 2025 | Verifield | 31.7% | 30.0–33.6% | 29.5–34.1% | 29.0–34.6% | 28.2–35.4% |
| 14–16 February 2025 | FlashData | 27.9% | 27.2–28.7% | 27.0–28.9% | 26.9–29.0% | 26.5–29.4% |
| 21–25 January 2025 | CURS | 22.0% | 20.5–23.7% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.6–24.6% | 18.9–25.4% |
| 10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | 29.0% | 27.5–30.7% | 27.0–31.1% | 26.7–31.5% | 25.9–32.3% |
| 26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
20.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
17.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
14.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
14.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 4% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 14% | 96% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 3% | 83% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.5% | 80% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 2% | 79% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 5% | 77% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 7% | 73% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 7% | 66% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 34.5–35.5% | 11% | 50% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 12% | 38% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 10% | 27% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 8% | 17% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 5% | 9% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 41.5–42.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 42.5–43.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 13 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 26–30 May 2025 | INSCOP | 15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–17 |
| 26–30 May 2025 | CURS | 13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–15 |
| 26–28 May 2025 | Sociopol | 14 | 14–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| 23–28 May 2025 | Avangarde | 13 | 12–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| 24–26 April 2025 | FlashData | 13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 12–13 |
| 3–5 April 2025 | FlashData | 13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 12–13 |
| 24–28 March 2025 | Verifield | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 |
| 14–16 February 2025 | FlashData | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 |
| 21–25 January 2025 | CURS | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 |
| 10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 |
| 26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
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| 9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
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| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
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| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
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| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
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| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
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| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 15% | 98% | |
| 13 | 39% | 83% | Median |
| 14 | 18% | 44% | |
| 15 | 18% | 26% | |
| 16 | 7% | 8% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |