Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 28.3% | 26.6–32.9% | 26.3–33.6% | 26.2–34.1% | 25.8–35.1% |
3–5 April 2025 | FlashData | 27.0% | 26.3–27.7% | 26.2–27.9% | 26.0–28.0% | 25.7–28.3% |
24–28 March 2025 | Verifield | 31.7% | 30.0–33.6% | 29.5–34.1% | 29.0–34.6% | 28.2–35.4% |
14–16 February 2025 | FlashData | 27.9% | 27.2–28.7% | 27.0–28.9% | 26.9–29.0% | 26.5–29.4% |
21–25 January 2025 | CURS | 22.0% | 20.5–23.7% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.6–24.6% | 18.9–25.4% |
10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | 29.0% | 27.5–30.7% | 27.0–31.1% | 26.7–31.5% | 25.9–32.3% |
26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
20.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
17.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–16 October 2024 | CURS | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
14.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
13–27 August 2024 | CURS | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
14.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
24.5–25.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
25.5–26.5% | 9% | 99.9% | |
26.5–27.5% | 34% | 91% | |
27.5–28.5% | 7% | 57% | Median |
28.5–29.5% | 2% | 50% | |
29.5–30.5% | 7% | 47% | |
30.5–31.5% | 13% | 40% | |
31.5–32.5% | 14% | 28% | |
32.5–33.5% | 9% | 14% | |
33.5–34.5% | 4% | 5% | |
34.5–35.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
35.5–36.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
36.5–37.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–13 |
3–5 April 2025 | FlashData | 13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 12–13 |
24–28 March 2025 | Verifield | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 |
14–16 February 2025 | FlashData | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 |
21–25 January 2025 | CURS | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 |
10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 |
26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
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9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
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7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
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30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | |||||
24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
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11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
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11–16 October 2024 | CURS | |||||
11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
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13–27 August 2024 | CURS | |||||
19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0% | 100% | |
4 | 0% | 100% | |
5 | 0% | 100% | |
6 | 0% | 100% | |
7 | 0% | 100% | |
8 | 0% | 100% | |
9 | 0% | 100% | |
10 | 0.7% | 100% | |
11 | 11% | 99.3% | |
12 | 45% | 88% | Median |
13 | 43% | 43% | |
14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
15 | 0% | 0% |