Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 21.9% | 18.8–24.7% | 18.5–25.4% | 18.3–25.9% | 18.0–26.9% |
| 14–16 February 2025 | FlashData | 19.0% | 18.4–19.6% | 18.2–19.8% | 18.1–20.0% | 17.8–20.3% |
| 21–25 January 2025 | CURS | 24.0% | 22.4–25.7% | 21.9–26.2% | 21.6–26.6% | 20.8–27.5% |
| 10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | 22.0% | 20.6–23.5% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.9–24.3% | 19.2–25.0% |
| 26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
21.4% | 20.3–22.6% | 20.0–22.9% | 19.7–23.2% | 19.2–23.8% |
| 9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
31.0% | 29.2–32.8% | 28.7–33.4% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.4–34.8% |
| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
31.1% | 29.3–32.9% | 28.8–33.4% | 28.4–33.9% | 27.6–34.8% |
| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 32.0% | 30.2–33.8% | 29.7–34.4% | 29.2–34.8% | 28.4–35.7% |
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
30.8% | 29.1–32.6% | 28.6–33.1% | 28.2–33.5% | 27.4–34.4% |
| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | 31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | 33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 6% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 24% | 94% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 7% | 70% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 9% | 64% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 22.5–23.5% | 15% | 40% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 13% | 25% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 8% | 12% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 |
| 14–16 February 2025 | FlashData | 8 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 21–25 January 2025 | CURS | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
| 10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 |
| 26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 |
| 9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
12 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 |
| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 |
| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 12 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 |
| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
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| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
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| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 52% | 95% | Median |
| 9 | 35% | 44% | |
| 10 | 8% | 9% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |