Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 31.3% 29.4–33.2% 28.9–33.8% 28.5–34.3% 27.6–35.2%
7–12 November 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea
31.1% 29.3–32.9% 28.8–33.4% 28.4–33.9% 27.6–34.8%
30 October–5 November 2024 CURS 32.0% 30.2–33.8% 29.7–34.4% 29.2–34.8% 28.4–35.7%
24–28 October 2024 BCS
Newsweek
30.8% 29.1–32.6% 28.6–33.1% 28.2–33.5% 27.4–34.4%
11–18 October 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea
30.2% 28.4–32.0% 28.0–32.5% 27.5–33.0% 26.7–33.9%
11–16 October 2024 CURS 31.0% 29.2–32.9% 28.7–33.5% 28.2–33.9% 27.4–34.9%
11–16 September 2024 INSCOP
Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație
30.1% 28.3–32.1% 27.8–32.6% 27.4–33.1% 26.5–34.0%
13–27 August 2024 CURS 33.0% 31.2–34.9% 30.7–35.4% 30.2–35.9% 29.4–36.8%
19–27 June 2024 INSCOP
News.ro
29.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat (S&D).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 100%  
26.5–27.5% 0.4% 100%  
27.5–28.5% 2% 99.6%  
28.5–29.5% 9% 97%  
29.5–30.5% 19% 88%  
30.5–31.5% 26% 69% Median
31.5–32.5% 23% 43%  
32.5–33.5% 13% 20%  
33.5–34.5% 5% 7%  
34.5–35.5% 1.3% 2%  
35.5–36.5% 0.2% 0.3%  
36.5–37.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 12 11–13 10–13 10–14 10–14
7–12 November 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea
12 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–14
30 October–5 November 2024 CURS 12 12–13 11–14 11–14 11–14
24–28 October 2024 BCS
Newsweek
11 10–12 10–12 10–12 10–13
11–18 October 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea
12 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–13
11–16 October 2024 CURS 12 11–12 11–13 10–13 10–13
11–16 September 2024 INSCOP
Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație
12 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–13
13–27 August 2024 CURS 13 12–14 12–14 11–15 11–15
19–27 June 2024 INSCOP
News.ro
         

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat (S&D).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 6% 100%  
11 32% 94%  
12 36% 61% Median
13 22% 26%  
14 3% 3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%