Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 19.2% | 16.5–23.2% | 16.0–24.0% | 15.5–24.5% | 14.7–25.6% |
| 6–10 October 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
17.6% | 16.2–19.2% | 15.8–19.6% | 15.5–20.0% | 14.8–20.8% |
| 5–19 September 2025 | CURS | 23.0% | 21.4–24.7% | 21.0–25.2% | 20.6–25.6% | 19.9–26.4% |
| 9–18 September 2025 | Avangarde | 19.0% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.3–20.9% | 16.9–21.2% | 16.3–21.9% |
| 1–9 September 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
17.9% | 16.4–19.4% | 16.0–19.9% | 15.7–20.2% | 15.1–21.0% |
| 21–23 July 2025 | Sociopol RomâniaTV |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 18.9–23.2% | 18.5–23.6% | 17.8–24.4% |
| 15–23 July 2025 | INSOMAR | 17.0% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.1–20.2% |
| 10–12 July 2025 | FlashData | 18.0% | 17.4–18.6% | 17.3–18.7% | 17.1–18.9% | 16.9–19.2% |
| 4–10 July 2025 | CURS | 20.0% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.7–22.5% | 17.0–23.3% |
| 20–26 June 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
13.7% | 12.5–15.1% | 12.2–15.5% | 11.9–15.9% | 11.3–16.5% |
| 26–30 May 2025 | INSCOP | 17.4% | 16.0–18.9% | 15.6–19.3% | 15.3–19.7% | 14.7–20.4% |
| 26–30 May 2025 | CURS | 24.0% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.7–26.4% | 21.0–27.2% |
| 26–28 May 2025 | Sociopol RomâniaTV |
17.0% | 15.5–18.6% | 15.1–19.1% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.1–20.2% |
| 23–28 May 2025 | Avangarde | 20.0% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.2–21.9% | 17.9–22.3% | 17.3–23.0% |
| 24–26 April 2025 | FlashData | 19.0% | 18.4–19.6% | 18.3–19.8% | 18.1–19.9% | 17.8–20.2% |
| 3–5 April 2025 | FlashData | 18.5% | 17.9–19.1% | 17.8–19.3% | 17.6–19.4% | 17.4–19.7% |
| 24–28 March 2025 | Verifield | 21.2% | 19.7–22.8% | 19.2–23.3% | 18.9–23.7% | 18.2–24.5% |
| 14–16 February 2025 | FlashData | 21.2% | 20.6–21.9% | 20.4–22.1% | 20.3–22.2% | 20.0–22.5% |
| 21–25 January 2025 | CURS | 24.0% | 22.4–25.7% | 21.9–26.2% | 21.6–26.6% | 20.8–27.5% |
| 10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | 22.0% | 20.6–23.5% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.9–24.3% | 19.2–25.0% |
| 26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
31.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 32.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | 31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | 33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 8% | 97% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 14% | 90% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 16% | 76% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 19.5–20.5% | 11% | 45% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 10% | 34% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 9% | 25% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 8% | 15% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 5% | 7% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 |
| 6–10 October 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| 5–19 September 2025 | CURS | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 |
| 9–18 September 2025 | Avangarde | 7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 1–9 September 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 21–23 July 2025 | Sociopol RomâniaTV |
8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 |
| 15–23 July 2025 | INSOMAR | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| 10–12 July 2025 | FlashData | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 4–10 July 2025 | CURS | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| 20–26 June 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 26–30 May 2025 | INSCOP | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| 26–30 May 2025 | CURS | 9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 |
| 26–28 May 2025 | Sociopol RomâniaTV |
7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| 23–28 May 2025 | Avangarde | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 6–9 |
| 24–26 April 2025 | FlashData | 9 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 |
| 3–5 April 2025 | FlashData | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 24–28 March 2025 | Verifield | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 14–16 February 2025 | FlashData | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 21–25 January 2025 | CURS | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
| 10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 |
| 26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
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| 9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
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| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
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| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
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| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
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| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
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| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 18% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 44% | 82% | Median |
| 8 | 26% | 38% | |
| 9 | 11% | 11% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |