Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 31.3% | 29.4–33.2% | 28.9–33.8% | 28.5–34.3% | 27.6–35.2% |
| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
31.1% | 29.3–32.9% | 28.8–33.4% | 28.4–33.9% | 27.6–34.8% |
| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 32.0% | 30.2–33.8% | 29.7–34.4% | 29.2–34.8% | 28.4–35.7% |
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
30.8% | 29.1–32.6% | 28.6–33.1% | 28.2–33.5% | 27.4–34.4% |
| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
30.2% | 28.4–32.0% | 28.0–32.5% | 27.5–33.0% | 26.7–33.9% |
| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | 31.0% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.7–33.5% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.4–34.9% |
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | 33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 9% | 97% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 19% | 88% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 26% | 69% | Median |
| 31.5–32.5% | 23% | 43% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 13% | 20% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 5% | 7% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 |
| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 12 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 |
| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–13 |
| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | 12 | 11–12 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 |
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
|||||
| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 6% | 100% | |
| 11 | 35% | 94% | |
| 12 | 39% | 59% | Median |
| 13 | 18% | 20% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |