Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 29.9% 21.0–32.8% 20.6–33.4% 20.2–34.0% 19.5–35.0%
10–16 January 2025 Avangarde 22.0% 20.6–23.5% 20.2–23.9% 19.9–24.3% 19.2–25.0%
26–28 November 2024 Atlas Intel
HotNews		 21.4% 20.3–22.6% 20.0–22.9% 19.7–23.2% 19.2–23.8%
9–13 November 2024 CIRA
Newsweek		 31.0% 29.2–32.8% 28.7–33.4% 28.2–33.9% 27.4–34.8%
7–12 November 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea		 31.1% 29.3–32.9% 28.8–33.4% 28.4–33.9% 27.6–34.8%
30 October–5 November 2024 CURS 32.0% 30.2–33.8% 29.7–34.4% 29.2–34.8% 28.4–35.7%
24–28 October 2024 BCS
Newsweek		 30.8% 29.1–32.6% 28.6–33.1% 28.2–33.5% 27.4–34.4%
11–18 October 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea		 30.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 October 2024 CURS 31.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 September 2024 INSCOP
Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație		 30.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–27 August 2024 CURS 33.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–27 June 2024 INSCOP
News.ro		 29.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat (S&D).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0.5% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 4% 99.4%  
20.5–21.5% 13% 95%  
21.5–22.5% 14% 82%  
22.5–23.5% 6% 69%  
23.5–24.5% 2% 62%  
24.5–25.5% 0.3% 60%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 60%  
26.5–27.5% 0.2% 60%  
27.5–28.5% 1.3% 60%  
28.5–29.5% 5% 58%  
29.5–30.5% 11% 53% Median
30.5–31.5% 16% 43%  
31.5–32.5% 14% 27%  
32.5–33.5% 8% 13%  
33.5–34.5% 3% 4%  
34.5–35.5% 0.9% 1.1%  
35.5–36.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
36.5–37.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 11 8–13 8–13 8–14 7–14
10–16 January 2025 Avangarde 8 8–9 7–9 7–9 7–10
26–28 November 2024 Atlas Intel
HotNews		 8 8–9 8–9 8–9 8–10
9–13 November 2024 CIRA
Newsweek		 12 11–13 11–14 11–14 10–14
7–12 November 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea		 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–14
30 October–5 November 2024 CURS 12 11–13 11–14 11–14 11–14
24–28 October 2024 BCS
Newsweek		 11 10–12 10–12 10–12 10–13
11–18 October 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea		          
11–16 October 2024 CURS          
11–16 September 2024 INSCOP
Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație		          
13–27 August 2024 CURS          
19–27 June 2024 INSCOP
News.ro		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat (S&D).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 1.2% 100%  
8 22% 98.8%  
9 16% 77%  
10 1.2% 61%  
11 13% 60% Median
12 29% 47%  
13 16% 19%  
14 3% 3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%