Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 18.8% | 16.3–24.2% | 15.8–24.8% | 15.3–25.3% | 14.4–26.1% |
| 11–14 May 2026 | INSCOP Informat.ro |
17.5% | 16.0–19.0% | 15.7–19.4% | 15.3–19.8% | 14.7–20.6% |
| 1–14 May 2026 | CURS | 24.0% | 22.7–25.4% | 22.3–25.8% | 22.0–26.1% | 21.4–26.8% |
| 28 April–1 May 2026 | CURS | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–10 April 2026 | ARP | 17.2% | 15.4–19.2% | 14.9–19.8% | 14.4–20.3% | 13.6–21.3% |
| 1–7 April 2026 | INSCOP Informat.ro |
20.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 March–4 April 2026 | Sociopol | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| 23–27 March 2026 | CURS | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–17 March 2026 | Avangarde | 22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 2–6 March 2026 | INSCOP informat.ro |
19.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11 February 2026 | ARA Antena3CNN |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–23 January 2026 | CURS | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 January 2026 | INSCOP informat.ro |
18.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–19 December 2025 | CURS | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–17 December 2025 | IRES | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 October–2 November 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
19.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–26 October 2025 | CURS | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–10 October 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
17.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–19 September 2025 | CURS | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–18 September 2025 | Avangarde | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–9 September 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
17.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 July 2025 | Sociopol RomâniaTV |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–23 July 2025 | INSOMAR | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 July 2025 | FlashData | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 July 2025 | CURS | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–26 June 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
13.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–30 May 2025 | INSCOP | 17.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–30 May 2025 | CURS | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–28 May 2025 | Sociopol RomâniaTV |
17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–28 May 2025 | Avangarde | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 April 2025 | FlashData | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 April 2025 | FlashData | 18.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 March 2025 | Verifield | 21.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 February 2025 | FlashData | 21.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–25 January 2025 | CURS | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
31.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 32.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | 31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | 33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 9% | 96% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 16% | 87% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 17% | 71% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 19.5–20.5% | 5% | 44% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 6% | 38% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 8% | 33% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 9% | 25% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 9% | 16% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 5% | 7% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 5–10 |
| 11–14 May 2026 | INSCOP Informat.ro |
6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 1–14 May 2026 | CURS | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 28 April–1 May 2026 | CURS | |||||
| 1–10 April 2026 | ARP | 6 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 1–7 April 2026 | INSCOP Informat.ro |
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| 26 March–4 April 2026 | Sociopol | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| 23–27 March 2026 | CURS | |||||
| 10–17 March 2026 | Avangarde | 9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 |
| 2–6 March 2026 | INSCOP informat.ro |
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| 11 February 2026 | ARA Antena3CNN |
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| 14–23 January 2026 | CURS | |||||
| 12–15 January 2026 | INSCOP informat.ro |
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| 10–19 December 2025 | CURS | |||||
| 4–17 December 2025 | IRES | |||||
| 25 October–2 November 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
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| 14–26 October 2025 | CURS | |||||
| 6–10 October 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
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| 5–19 September 2025 | CURS | |||||
| 9–18 September 2025 | Avangarde | |||||
| 1–9 September 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
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| 21–23 July 2025 | Sociopol RomâniaTV |
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| 15–23 July 2025 | INSOMAR | |||||
| 10–12 July 2025 | FlashData | |||||
| 4–10 July 2025 | CURS | |||||
| 20–26 June 2025 | INSCOP informat.ro |
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| 26–30 May 2025 | INSCOP | |||||
| 26–30 May 2025 | CURS | |||||
| 26–28 May 2025 | Sociopol RomâniaTV |
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| 23–28 May 2025 | Avangarde | |||||
| 24–26 April 2025 | FlashData | |||||
| 3–5 April 2025 | FlashData | |||||
| 24–28 March 2025 | Verifield | |||||
| 14–16 February 2025 | FlashData | |||||
| 21–25 January 2025 | CURS | |||||
| 10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | |||||
| 26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
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| 9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
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| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
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| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
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| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
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| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
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| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 30% | 98% | |
| 7 | 26% | 68% | Median |
| 8 | 13% | 42% | |
| 9 | 25% | 29% | |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |