Opinion Poll by CURS, 13–27 August 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 33.0% 31.2–34.9% 30.7–35.4% 30.2–35.9% 29.4–36.8%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 23.0% 21.4–24.7% 20.9–25.2% 20.5–25.6% 19.8–26.4%
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 14.0% 12.7–15.4% 12.3–15.8% 12.0–16.2% 11.4–16.9%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7% 9.2–13.0% 8.7–13.6%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE) 0.0% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 13 12–14 12–14 11–15 11–15
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–11
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 5 5–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 4 3–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE) 0 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 3% 100%  
12 30% 97%  
13 44% 67% Median
14 20% 23%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 2% 100%  
8 30% 98%  
9 52% 69% Median
10 16% 16%  
11 0.7% 0.7%  
12 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 8% 100%  
5 65% 92% Median
6 26% 27%  
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 100%  
4 75% 87% Median
5 12% 12%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 50%  
2 47% 47%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 4% 51% Median
2 47% 47%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.5% 7%  
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 5 0% 5–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0% 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 8% 100%  
5 65% 92% Median
6 26% 27%  
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 50%  
2 47% 47%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations