Opinion Poll by CURS, 11–16 October 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 31.0% 29.2–32.9% 28.7–33.5% 28.2–33.9% 27.4–34.9%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 20.0% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 18.0% 16.5–19.6% 16.1–20.1% 15.7–20.5% 15.0–21.3%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 15.0% 13.6–16.6% 13.3–17.0% 12.9–17.4% 12.3–18.1%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Forța Dreptei (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 12 11–12 11–13 10–13 10–13
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 7 7–8 7–8 6–8 6–9
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–8
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–7
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–3
Forța Dreptei (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 3% 100%  
11 42% 97%  
12 49% 55% Median
13 6% 6%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 5% 100%  
7 60% 95% Median
8 34% 35%  
9 0.9% 0.9%  
10 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 1.3% 100%  
6 46% 98.7%  
7 50% 53% Median
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 2% 100%  
5 61% 98% Median
6 37% 37%  
7 0.8% 0.8%  
8 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 99.7%  
2 79% 99.5% Median
3 20% 20%  
4 0% 0%  

Forța Dreptei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forța Dreptei (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) – Forța Dreptei (EPP) – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 7 0% 7–8 7–8 6–8 6–9
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–3

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) – Forța Dreptei (EPP) – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 5% 100%  
7 60% 95% Median
8 35% 36%  
9 1.0% 1.0%  
10 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 99.7%  
2 79% 99.5% Median
3 20% 20%  
4 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations