Opinion Poll by CURS, 21–25 January 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) |
0.0% |
24.0% |
22.4–25.7% |
21.9–26.2% |
21.6–26.6% |
20.8–27.5% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) |
0.0% |
22.0% |
20.5–23.7% |
20.0–24.1% |
19.6–24.6% |
18.9–25.4% |
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) |
0.0% |
15.0% |
13.7–16.5% |
13.3–16.9% |
13.0–17.2% |
12.4–18.0% |
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) |
0.0% |
13.0% |
11.8–14.4% |
11.4–14.8% |
11.1–15.1% |
10.6–15.8% |
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (*) |
0.0% |
10.0% |
8.9–11.3% |
8.6–11.6% |
8.4–11.9% |
7.9–12.5% |
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) |
0.0% |
5.0% |
4.3–6.0% |
4.0–6.2% |
3.9–6.5% |
3.5–7.0% |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) |
0.0% |
5.0% |
4.3–6.0% |
4.0–6.2% |
3.9–6.5% |
3.5–7.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
8 |
19% |
99.7% |
|
9 |
56% |
80% |
Median |
10 |
23% |
24% |
|
11 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
10% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
56% |
90% |
Median |
9 |
31% |
34% |
|
10 |
3% |
3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
5 |
51% |
98.6% |
Median |
6 |
46% |
48% |
|
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Uniunea Salvați România (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
34% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
62% |
66% |
Median |
6 |
4% |
4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (*) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
3 |
52% |
99.8% |
Median |
4 |
47% |
48% |
|
5 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
40% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
15% |
60% |
Median |
2 |
45% |
45% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
48% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
7% |
52% |
Median |
2 |
44% |
44% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
0–2 |
0–2 |
0–2 |
0–2 |
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
40% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
15% |
60% |
Median |
2 |
45% |
45% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: CURS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 21–25 January 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1100
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.01%