Opinion Poll by CURS, 21–25 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 24.0% 22.4–25.7% 21.9–26.2% 21.6–26.6% 20.8–27.5%
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 22.0% 20.5–23.7% 20.0–24.1% 19.6–24.6% 18.9–25.4%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 15.0% 13.7–16.5% 13.3–16.9% 13.0–17.2% 12.4–18.0%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 13.0% 11.8–14.4% 11.4–14.8% 11.1–15.1% 10.6–15.8%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.4–11.9% 7.9–12.5%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 8 8–9 7–9 7–10 7–10
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.3% 100%  
8 19% 99.7%  
9 56% 80% Median
10 23% 24%  
11 1.1% 1.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 10% 99.9%  
8 56% 90% Median
9 31% 34%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 1.4% 100%  
5 51% 98.6% Median
6 46% 48%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.2% 100%  
4 34% 99.8%  
5 62% 66% Median
6 4% 4%  
7 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.2% 100%  
3 52% 99.8% Median
4 47% 48%  
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100% Last Result
1 15% 60% Median
2 45% 45%  
3 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 7% 52% Median
2 44% 44%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 5 0% 3–6 3–6 3–6 3–6

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 16% 100%  
4 31% 84% Median
5 38% 53%  
6 15% 16%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations