Opinion Poll by FlashData, 14–16 February 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 25.0% 24.3–25.7% 24.1–25.9% 24.0–26.0% 23.7–26.4%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 19.0% 18.4–19.6% 18.2–19.8% 18.1–20.0% 17.8–20.3%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 17.0% 16.4–17.6% 16.2–17.8% 16.1–17.9% 15.8–18.2%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 11.0% 10.5–11.5% 10.4–11.6% 10.3–11.8% 10.0–12.0%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (*) 0.0% 6.0% 5.6–6.4% 5.5–6.5% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 5.0% 4.7–5.4% 4.6–5.5% 4.5–5.6% 4.3–5.7%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.7–3.3% 2.7–3.4% 2.6–3.4% 2.5–3.6%
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) 0.0% 1.0% 0.9–1.2% 0.8–1.2% 0.8–1.3% 0.7–1.4%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE) 0.0% 1.0% 0.9–1.2% 0.8–1.2% 0.8–1.3% 0.7–1.4%
Forța Dreptei (EPP) 0.0% 0.5% 0.4–0.6% 0.4–0.7% 0.4–0.7% 0.3–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 11 10–11 10–11 10–11 10–12
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 8 8 7–9 7–9 7–9
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 7 7–8 7–8 7–8 6–8
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (*) 0 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 2 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Forța Dreptei (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 48% 100%  
11 51% 52% Median
12 1.3% 1.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 8% 100%  
8 86% 92% Median
9 5% 5%  
10 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 1.3% 100%  
7 88% 98.7% Median
8 11% 11%  
9 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 69% 100% Median
5 31% 31%  
6 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 97% 100% Median
3 3% 3%  
4 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 0% 53%  
2 53% 53% Median
3 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Forța Dreptei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forța Dreptei (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) – Forța Dreptei (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 2 0% 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) – Forța Dreptei (EPP)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 69% 100% Median
5 31% 31%  
6 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 0% 53%  
2 53% 53% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations