Opinion Poll by Verifield, 24–28 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 31.7% 30.0–33.6% 29.5–34.1% 29.0–34.6% 28.2–35.4%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 21.2% 19.7–22.8% 19.2–23.3% 18.9–23.7% 18.2–24.5%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 15.0% 13.7–16.5% 13.3–16.9% 13.0–17.2% 12.4–18.0%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 12.9% 11.7–14.3% 11.3–14.7% 11.1–15.0% 10.5–15.7%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.2%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.0%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.4–5.3%
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.3%
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8%
Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–14
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 7–9
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 6 5–6 5–6 5–7 4–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 1.4% 100%  
11 22% 98.6%  
12 49% 77% Median
13 27% 28%  
14 0.6% 0.6%  
15 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.4% 100%  
7 21% 99.6%  
8 65% 78% Median
9 13% 13%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 1.3% 100%  
5 49% 98.7%  
6 47% 50% Median
7 3% 3%  
8 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.2% 100%  
4 57% 99.8% Median
5 40% 43%  
6 4% 4%  
7 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 99.8%  
2 84% 99.8% Median
3 16% 16%  
4 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 50%  
2 39% 39%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.0% 1.5%  
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 99.9%  
2 83% 99.8% Median
3 16% 17%  
4 0.4% 0.5%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations