Opinion Poll by FlashData, 3–5 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 27.0% 26.3–27.7% 26.2–27.9% 26.0–28.0% 25.7–28.3%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 18.5% 17.9–19.1% 17.8–19.3% 17.6–19.4% 17.4–19.7%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 14.0% 13.5–14.5% 13.4–14.7% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 13.0% 12.5–13.5% 12.4–13.7% 12.3–13.8% 12.0–14.0%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 4.0% 3.7–4.3% 3.6–4.4% 3.6–4.5% 3.4–4.6%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 3.5% 3.2–3.8% 3.2–3.9% 3.1–3.9% 3.0–4.1%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.8–3.3% 2.7–3.4% 2.6–3.4% 2.5–3.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 13 12–13 12–13 12–13 12–13
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 8 8–9 8–9 8–9 8–9
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 6 6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 42% 100%  
13 58% 58% Median
14 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 63% 100% Median
9 37% 37%  
10 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 89% 100% Median
7 11% 11%  
8 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 6% 100%  
6 93% 94% Median
7 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations