Opinion Poll by FlashData, 24–26 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 26.0% 25.3–26.7% 25.2–26.9% 25.0–27.0% 24.7–27.3%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 19.0% 18.4–19.6% 18.3–19.8% 18.1–19.9% 17.8–20.2%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 15.0% 14.5–15.5% 14.3–15.7% 14.2–15.8% 14.0–16.1%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 9.0% 8.6–9.4% 8.5–9.6% 8.4–9.7% 8.2–9.9%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.7–4.3% 3.6–4.4% 3.6–4.5% 3.4–4.6%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 3.0% 2.8–3.3% 2.7–3.4% 2.6–3.4% 2.5–3.6%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 2.0% 1.8–2.2% 1.8–2.3% 1.7–2.3% 1.6–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 13 12–13 12–13 12–13 12–13
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 9 9 9–10 9–10 9–10
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 7 7 7 7–8 7–8
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 4 4 4 4 4–5
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 11% 100%  
13 89% 89% Median
14 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 93% 99.9% Median
10 6% 6%  
11 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 96% 99.9% Median
8 4% 4%  
9 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 99.3% 100% Median
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations