Opinion Poll by CURS, 26–30 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 35.0% 33.3–36.7% 32.8–37.2% 32.4–37.6% 31.6–38.5%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 24.0% 22.5–25.6% 22.1–26.0% 21.7–26.4% 21.0–27.2%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 14.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.7% 12.2–16.0% 11.6–16.6%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 14.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.7% 12.2–16.0% 11.6–16.6%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.8%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.8%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.8% 1.4–3.0% 1.2–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 13 12–14 12–14 12–14 11–15
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 9 8–9 8–10 8–10 7–10
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 5 4–5 4–6 4–6 4–6
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 5 4–5 4–6 4–6 4–6
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 2% 100%  
12 28% 98%  
13 50% 70% Median
14 19% 20%  
15 0.8% 0.8%  
16 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 1.2% 100%  
8 35% 98.8%  
9 55% 64% Median
10 9% 9%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 20% 100%  
5 73% 80% Median
6 7% 7%  
7 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 19% 100%  
5 74% 81% Median
6 7% 7%  
7 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Last Result, Median
1 14% 49%  
2 35% 35%  
3 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Last Result, Median
1 16% 47%  
2 31% 31%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0% 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Last Result, Median
1 14% 49%  
2 35% 35%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations