Opinion Poll by INSCOP, 26–30 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 38.1% 36.3–39.9% 35.8–40.5% 35.3–40.9% 34.5–41.8%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 17.4% 16.0–18.9% 15.6–19.3% 15.3–19.7% 14.7–20.4%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 16.0% 14.7–17.5% 14.3–17.9% 14.0–18.2% 13.4–19.0%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 12.2% 11.0–13.5% 10.7–13.9% 10.4–14.2% 9.9–14.9%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.4% 3.6–5.7% 3.5–5.9% 3.2–6.3%
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.4–4.5% 2.2–4.9%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.5–4.2% 2.3–4.4% 2.1–4.8%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.4% 1.8–3.6% 1.5–4.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 15 14–16 14–16 14–17 13–17
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–8 5–8
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 5–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.9% 100%  
14 17% 99.1%  
15 48% 82% Median
16 31% 34%  
17 3% 3% Majority
18 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.7% 100%  
6 35% 99.3%  
7 59% 64% Median
8 5% 5%  
9 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 10% 100%  
6 72% 90% Median
7 17% 17%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.4% 100%  
4 47% 99.6%  
5 51% 52% Median
6 1.3% 1.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 27%  
2 26% 26%  
3 0% 0%  

Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations