Opinion Poll by FlashData, 10–12 July 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 38.0% 37.3–38.7% 37.1–38.9% 36.9–39.1% 36.6–39.5%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 18.0% 17.4–18.6% 17.3–18.7% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 16.0% 15.5–16.6% 15.3–16.7% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 16.0% 15.5–16.6% 15.3–16.7% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 4.5% 4.2–4.8% 4.1–4.9% 4.1–5.0% 3.9–5.2%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 1.5% 1.3–1.7% 1.3–1.8% 1.2–1.8% 1.2–1.9%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 0.5% 0.4–0.6% 0.4–0.7% 0.4–0.7% 0.3–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 14 14–15 14–15 14–15 14–15
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 6 6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 6 6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 100%  
14 59% 99.9% Median
15 41% 41%  
16 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 33% 100%  
7 67% 67% Median
8 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 5% 100%  
6 95% 95% Median
7 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 5% 100%  
6 95% 95% Median
7 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 3%  
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations