Opinion Poll by INSOMAR, 15–23 July 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 36.5% 34.6–38.4% 34.0–39.0% 33.5–39.5% 32.6–40.4%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 17.0% 15.6–18.6% 15.2–19.1% 14.8–19.4% 14.1–20.2%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 14.4% 13.1–15.9% 12.7–16.4% 12.4–16.7% 11.8–17.5%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 13.2% 11.9–14.7% 11.6–15.1% 11.3–15.5% 10.7–16.2%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 4.9% 4.2–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.4–7.0%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.3%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.2% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 15 14–16 14–16 13–16 13–17
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–8 5–8
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 6 5–6 5–6 5–7 4–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 2% 99.9%  
14 32% 97%  
15 46% 65% Median
16 18% 20%  
17 1.4% 1.4% Majority
18 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.7% 100%  
6 33% 99.3%  
7 61% 66% Median
8 5% 5%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 2% 100%  
5 40% 98%  
6 56% 58% Median
7 3% 3%  
8 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 14% 100%  
5 72% 86% Median
6 14% 15%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 58% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 42%  
2 42% 42%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations