Opinion Poll by INSCOP for informat.ro, 1–9 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 40.8% 38.9–42.7% 38.4–43.3% 37.9–43.7% 37.0–44.7%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 17.9% 16.4–19.4% 16.0–19.9% 15.7–20.2% 15.1–21.0%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 15.1% 13.8–16.6% 13.5–17.0% 13.1–17.4% 12.5–18.1%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 12.8% 11.6–14.2% 11.2–14.6% 10.9–14.9% 10.4–15.6%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.4–4.5% 2.1–4.9%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.8–4.4%
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–2.9% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 16 15–17 15–17 15–17 14–18
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–8 6–8
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 1.3% 100%  
15 25% 98.6%  
16 58% 74% Median
17 15% 15% Majority
18 0.5% 0.5%  
19 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.4% 100%  
6 34% 99.6%  
7 61% 66% Median
8 5% 5%  
9 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.4% 100%  
5 39% 99.6%  
6 58% 61% Median
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 35% 99.9%  
5 62% 64% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.3% 7%  
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.3%  
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.3%  
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations