Opinion Poll by CURS, 5–19 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 34.0% 32.2–35.9% 31.7–36.4% 31.3–36.9% 30.4–37.8%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 23.0% 21.4–24.7% 21.0–25.2% 20.6–25.6% 19.9–26.4%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 16.0% 14.6–17.5% 14.3–17.9% 13.9–18.3% 13.3–19.0%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.5–13.7% 10.2–14.1% 9.7–14.7%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 13 12–14 12–14 11–14 11–15
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 8 8–9 8–9 7–10 7–10
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 6 5–6 5–7 5–7 5–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 4 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 4% 100%  
12 34% 96%  
13 47% 62% Median
14 14% 14%  
15 0.9% 0.9%  
16 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 5% 100%  
8 49% 95% Median
9 42% 46%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.3% 100%  
5 31% 99.7%  
6 62% 69% Median
7 7% 7%  
8 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 4% 100%  
4 74% 96% Median
5 22% 22%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 9% 52% Median
2 44% 44%  
3 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 15% 53% Median
2 39% 39%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 1 0% 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 9% 52% Median
2 44% 44%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations