Opinion Poll by CURS, 14–26 October 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 35.0% 33.2–37.0% 32.6–37.5% 32.2–38.0% 31.3–38.9%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 24.0% 22.4–25.8% 21.9–26.3% 21.5–26.7% 20.8–27.6%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–16.9% 12.9–17.3% 12.3–18.0%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.4–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 13 12–14 12–14 12–14 11–15
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 9 8–9 8–10 8–10 7–10
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 4–6 4–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0–2 0–2
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–2 0–2

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.6% 100%  
12 17% 99.4%  
13 56% 82% Median
14 25% 26%  
15 1.0% 1.0%  
16 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.6% 100%  
8 26% 99.4%  
9 64% 74% Median
10 10% 10%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 3% 100%  
5 63% 97% Median
6 33% 34%  
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.4% 100%  
3 60% 99.6% Median
4 39% 39%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 99.8%  
2 78% 99.6% Median
3 22% 22%  
4 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 4%  
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 6%  
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–4 2–4

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 99.8%  
2 74% 99.7% Median
3 22% 26%  
4 3% 4%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations