Opinion Poll by CURS, 10–19 December 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 35.0% 33.1–36.9% 32.6–37.4% 32.1–37.9% 31.3–38.8%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 22.0% 20.5–23.7% 20.0–24.2% 19.6–24.6% 18.9–25.4%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 19.0% 17.5–20.6% 17.1–21.1% 16.8–21.5% 16.1–22.3%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.5%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 13 12–14 12–14 12–15 11–15
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 7–10
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 3 3–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 1.1% 100%  
12 20% 98.9%  
13 48% 79% Median
14 27% 31%  
15 4% 4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0% Majority

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.2% 100%  
7 16% 99.8%  
8 60% 84% Median
9 23% 24%  
10 1.1% 1.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.2% 100%  
6 22% 99.8%  
7 62% 78% Median
8 16% 16%  
9 0.3% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 7% 100%  
3 83% 93% Median
4 11% 11%  
5 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 9% 51% Median
2 42% 42%  
3 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Last Result, Median
1 12% 49%  
2 37% 37%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 1 0% 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 9% 51% Median
2 42% 42%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations