Opinion Poll by CURS, 14–23 January 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 35.0% 33.1–36.9% 32.6–37.4% 32.1–37.9% 31.3–38.8%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 23.0% 21.4–24.7% 20.9–25.2% 20.5–25.6% 19.8–26.4%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 18.0% 16.6–19.6% 16.1–20.0% 15.8–20.4% 15.1–21.2%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.4–12.0% 7.9–12.6%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 13 12–14 12–14 12–14 11–15
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 8 8–9 7–9 7–10 7–10
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–8 5–8
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 2% 100%  
12 23% 98%  
13 51% 75% Median
14 22% 24%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 7% 100%  
8 51% 93% Median
9 38% 42%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 2% 100%  
6 51% 98% Median
7 44% 47%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.6% 100%  
3 60% 99.4% Median
4 39% 40%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 13% 51% Median
2 38% 38%  
3 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Last Result, Median
1 14% 49%  
2 35% 35%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 1 0% 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 13% 51% Median
2 38% 38%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations