Opinion Poll by ARA for Antena3CNN, 11 February 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 37.0% 34.7–39.4% 34.0–40.1% 33.5–40.6% 32.4–41.8%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 25.0% 23.0–27.2% 22.4–27.8% 21.9–28.3% 21.0–29.4%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 17.0% 15.3–18.9% 14.8–19.5% 14.4–20.0% 13.6–20.9%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 11.0% 9.6–12.7% 9.2–13.1% 8.9–13.5% 8.3–14.4%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6% 3.6–6.9% 3.2–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 13 12–15 12–15 12–15 12–16
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–11
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 5–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.4% 100%  
12 10% 99.6%  
13 40% 90% Median
14 39% 49%  
15 10% 10%  
16 0.5% 0.5%  
17 0% 0% Majority

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 1.1% 100%  
8 23% 98.9%  
9 54% 75% Median
10 20% 21%  
11 1.2% 1.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.3% 100%  
5 21% 99.7%  
6 62% 78% Median
7 16% 17%  
8 0.4% 0.4%  
9 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.2% 100%  
3 35% 99.8%  
4 61% 65% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 16% 52% Median
2 37% 37%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:———:|:———–:|:——:|:———:|:———————–:|:———————–:|:———————–:|:———————–:|

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations