Opinion Poll by INSCOP for informat.ro, 2–6 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 38.0% 36.1–39.9% 35.6–40.5% 35.2–40.9% 34.3–41.8%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 19.2% 17.7–20.8% 17.3–21.2% 17.0–21.6% 16.3–22.4%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 14.5% 13.3–16.0% 12.9–16.4% 12.6–16.8% 12.0–17.5%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 11.4% 10.2–12.7% 9.9–13.1% 9.6–13.4% 9.1–14.0%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.4–5.3%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.4–4.5% 2.1–4.9%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 15 15–16 14–17 14–17 14–17
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 7 7–8 7–8 7–9 6–9
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 6 5–6 5–6 5–7 4–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0–2
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.3% 100%  
14 8% 99.7%  
15 43% 92% Median
16 43% 48%  
17 5% 5% Majority
18 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 2% 100%  
7 49% 98% Median
8 46% 49%  
9 3% 3%  
10 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.5% 100%  
5 41% 99.5%  
6 55% 58% Median
7 3% 3%  
8 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 69% 98% Median
5 29% 29%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 6%  
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations