Opinion Poll by CURS, 23–27 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 33.0% 31.5–34.6% 31.1–35.1% 30.7–35.4% 30.0–36.2%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 24.0% 22.6–25.5% 22.2–25.9% 21.9–26.2% 21.3–26.9%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 16.0% 14.9–17.3% 14.5–17.6% 14.3–18.0% 13.7–18.6%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.3–11.1%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 13 12–14 12–14 12–14 12–15
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 9 9–10 9–10 8–10 8–11
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 6 6–7 5–7 5–7 5–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0–2 0–2
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.3% 100%  
12 15% 99.7%  
13 53% 84% Median
14 29% 32%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 4% 100%  
9 53% 96% Median
10 41% 43%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 7% 100%  
6 73% 93% Median
7 20% 20%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.7% 100%  
3 77% 99.3% Median
4 23% 23%  
5 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 50%  
2 49% 49%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 4%  
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–2 0–2

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 4%  
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations