Opinion Poll by Sociopol, 26 March–4 April 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 35.9% 34.0–37.9% 33.5–38.4% 33.0–38.9% 32.1–39.9%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 18.0% 16.5–19.6% 16.1–20.1% 15.7–20.5% 15.0–21.3%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 18.0% 16.5–19.6% 16.1–20.1% 15.7–20.5% 15.0–21.3%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 16.0% 14.6–17.5% 14.2–18.0% 13.8–18.4% 13.2–19.1%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.8%
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Forța Dreptei (EPP) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 14 13–15 13–15 13–15 12–15
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–8 5–8
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–8 5–8
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 5–7
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Forța Dreptei (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 2% 100%  
13 29% 98%  
14 56% 68% Median
15 12% 12%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0% Majority

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.9% 100%  
6 50% 99.1% Median
7 45% 49%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.9% 100%  
6 42% 99.1%  
7 54% 57% Median
8 3% 3%  
9 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 15% 99.9%  
6 69% 85% Median
7 16% 16%  
8 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.0% 6%  
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reînnoim Proiectul European al României (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Forța Dreptei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forța Dreptei (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) – Forța Dreptei (EPP) 0 6 0% 5–7 5–7 5–8 5–8
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) – Forța Dreptei (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 13% 99.9%  
6 66% 87% Median
7 19% 22%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations