Opinion Poll by INSCOP for Informat.ro, 1–7 April 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 37.0% 35.2–38.9% 34.6–39.4% 34.2–39.9% 33.3–40.8%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 20.1% 18.6–21.7% 18.2–22.2% 17.8–22.6% 17.1–23.4%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 15.5% 14.1–16.9% 13.7–17.4% 13.4–17.7% 12.8–18.4%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 12.7% 11.5–14.1% 11.2–14.5% 10.9–14.8% 10.3–15.5%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.6% 2.9–6.1%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.4–5.3%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.8–4.4%
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.4% 1.4–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 15 14–15 13–16 13–16 13–16
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 8 7–8 7–9 7–9 6–9
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 6 5–6 5–7 5–7 5–7
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0–2
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 6% 99.9%  
14 40% 94%  
15 47% 53% Median
16 7% 7%  
17 0.1% 0.1% Majority
18 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 1.0% 100%  
7 34% 99.0%  
8 60% 65% Median
9 5% 5%  
10 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 29% 99.9%  
6 65% 71% Median
7 6% 6%  
8 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 33% 99.9%  
5 64% 67% Median
6 3% 3%  
7 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 14%  
2 12% 12%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 2%  
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–2

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) – Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 2%  
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations