Opinion Poll by CURS, 28 April–1 May 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 34.0% 32.2–35.8% 31.7–36.4% 31.2–36.8% 30.4–37.7%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 23.0% 21.5–24.7% 21.0–25.2% 20.6–25.6% 19.9–26.5%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 18.0% 16.6–19.6% 16.2–20.0% 15.9–20.4% 15.2–21.2%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.4–11.9% 7.9–12.6%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 13 12–14 12–14 12–14 11–15
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 9 8–9 8–10 8–10 7–10
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–8 6–8 6–8
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.8% 100%  
12 21% 99.2%  
13 54% 79% Median
14 23% 25%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 1.4% 100%  
8 34% 98.6%  
9 56% 65% Median
10 9% 9%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.5% 100%  
6 33% 99.5%  
7 60% 67% Median
8 6% 6%  
9 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.2% 100%  
3 49% 99.8%  
4 50% 51% Median
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 4% 52% Median
2 47% 47%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations