Opinion Poll by CURS, 1–14 May 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 32.0% 30.5–33.5% 30.1–33.9% 29.8–34.3% 29.1–35.0%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 24.0% 22.7–25.4% 22.3–25.8% 22.0–26.1% 21.4–26.8%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 20.0% 18.8–21.3% 18.4–21.7% 18.2–22.0% 17.6–22.6%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 10.0% 9.1–11.0% 8.8–11.3% 8.6–11.5% 8.2–12.0%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.1% 3.7–6.5%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 11–14
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 7 7–8 7–8 7–8 6–9
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 12% 99.9%  
12 59% 88% Median
13 28% 29%  
14 1.0% 1.0%  
15 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 15% 100%  
9 69% 85% Median
10 16% 16%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 2% 100%  
7 55% 98% Median
8 42% 43%  
9 1.0% 1.0%  
10 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 56% 100% Median
4 44% 44%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 9% 51% Median
2 42% 42%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:———:|:———–:|:——:|:———:|:———————–:|:———————–:|:———————–:|:———————–:|

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations