Opinion Poll by INSCOP for Informat.ro, 11–14 May 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 38.2% 36.3–40.1% 35.8–40.6% 35.3–41.1% 34.5–42.0%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 20.3% 18.8–21.9% 18.4–22.4% 18.0–22.8% 17.3–23.5%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 17.5% 16.0–19.0% 15.7–19.4% 15.3–19.8% 14.7–20.6%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.4–11.9% 7.9–12.5%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.1–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–3.9%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 15 14–16 13–16 13–16 13–16
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 7 7–8 7–8 7–9 6–9
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 6 6–7 6–7 5–7 5–8
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 5% 99.9%  
14 35% 95%  
15 47% 59% Median
16 12% 12%  
17 0.3% 0.3% Majority
18 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 2% 100%  
7 49% 98% Median
8 45% 49%  
9 4% 4%  
10 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 3% 100%  
6 55% 97% Median
7 40% 42%  
8 1.4% 1.4%  
9 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.2% 100%  
3 54% 99.8% Median
4 45% 45%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 9% 53% Median
2 44% 44%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) – Partidul Oamenilor Tineri (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations