Opinion Poll by CURS, 14–24 July 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0.0% 34.0% 32.2–35.9% 31.7–36.4% 31.3–36.9% 30.4–37.8%
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0.0% 23.0% 21.4–24.7% 21.0–25.2% 20.6–25.6% 19.9–26.4%
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0.0% 21.0% 19.5–22.7% 19.1–23.1% 18.7–23.5% 18.0–24.3%
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0.0% 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.5–10.9% 7.0–11.5%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.7%
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) 0 13 12–14 12–14 12–14 12–15
Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) 0 9 8–9 8–10 8–10 7–10
Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) 0 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 7–9
Uniunea Salvați România (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–4
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–2 0–2
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.3% 100%  
12 14% 99.7%  
13 59% 86% Median
14 26% 26%  
15 0.9% 0.9%  
16 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.8% 100%  
8 33% 99.2%  
9 60% 67% Median
10 7% 7%  
11 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.2% 100%  
7 20% 99.8%  
8 67% 80% Median
9 13% 13%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 82% 97% Median
4 15% 15%  
5 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 6%  
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul S.O.S. România (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partidul S.O.S. România (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations