Opinion Poll by Gazeta Civică, 26–29 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partidul Social Democrat |
28.9% |
27.7% |
26.1–29.4% |
25.6–29.9% |
25.2–30.3% |
24.5–31.1% |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
15.4% |
17.8% |
16.4–19.3% |
16.1–19.7% |
15.7–20.1% |
15.1–20.8% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor |
9.1% |
17.3% |
16.0–18.8% |
15.6–19.2% |
15.3–19.6% |
14.6–20.3% |
Partidul Național Liberal |
25.2% |
16.8% |
15.5–18.3% |
15.1–18.7% |
14.8–19.0% |
14.2–19.8% |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
4.8% |
5.4% |
4.6–6.3% |
4.4–6.6% |
4.3–6.8% |
3.9–7.3% |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
5.7% |
5.0% |
4.3–5.9% |
4.1–6.2% |
3.9–6.4% |
3.6–6.8% |
PRO România |
4.1% |
5.0% |
4.3–5.9% |
4.1–6.2% |
3.9–6.4% |
3.6–6.8% |
Alianța pentru Patrie |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.5–3.7% |
2.3–3.9% |
2.2–4.1% |
1.9–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
83 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
85 |
2% |
97% |
|
86 |
2% |
95% |
|
87 |
2% |
94% |
|
88 |
5% |
91% |
|
89 |
5% |
86% |
|
90 |
6% |
81% |
|
91 |
7% |
75% |
|
92 |
7% |
68% |
|
93 |
5% |
61% |
|
94 |
4% |
56% |
|
95 |
6% |
51% |
Median |
96 |
8% |
45% |
|
97 |
5% |
37% |
|
98 |
6% |
32% |
|
99 |
7% |
27% |
|
100 |
3% |
20% |
|
101 |
2% |
17% |
|
102 |
4% |
14% |
|
103 |
3% |
10% |
|
104 |
3% |
7% |
|
105 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
106 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
108 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
109 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
110 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
111 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
112 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
53 |
3% |
98% |
|
54 |
2% |
95% |
|
55 |
3% |
93% |
Last Result |
56 |
8% |
90% |
|
57 |
6% |
81% |
|
58 |
7% |
76% |
|
59 |
8% |
68% |
|
60 |
9% |
60% |
|
61 |
9% |
51% |
Median |
62 |
8% |
43% |
|
63 |
7% |
35% |
|
64 |
6% |
28% |
|
65 |
7% |
22% |
|
66 |
3% |
15% |
|
67 |
3% |
12% |
|
68 |
5% |
10% |
|
69 |
2% |
5% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
51 |
2% |
98% |
|
52 |
2% |
96% |
|
53 |
4% |
94% |
|
54 |
3% |
90% |
|
55 |
9% |
87% |
|
56 |
9% |
79% |
|
57 |
9% |
69% |
|
58 |
7% |
60% |
|
59 |
8% |
53% |
Median |
60 |
7% |
45% |
|
61 |
6% |
38% |
|
62 |
10% |
32% |
|
63 |
7% |
22% |
|
64 |
3% |
15% |
|
65 |
2% |
12% |
|
66 |
4% |
10% |
|
67 |
2% |
5% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
69 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
49 |
1.5% |
98.7% |
|
50 |
2% |
97% |
|
51 |
4% |
95% |
|
52 |
3% |
92% |
|
53 |
5% |
88% |
|
54 |
10% |
84% |
|
55 |
10% |
74% |
|
56 |
7% |
64% |
|
57 |
11% |
56% |
Median |
58 |
8% |
45% |
|
59 |
7% |
37% |
|
60 |
7% |
30% |
|
61 |
4% |
23% |
|
62 |
6% |
19% |
|
63 |
4% |
13% |
|
64 |
3% |
9% |
|
65 |
2% |
7% |
|
66 |
3% |
5% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
29% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
71% |
|
2 |
0% |
71% |
|
3 |
0% |
71% |
|
4 |
0% |
71% |
|
5 |
0% |
71% |
|
6 |
0% |
71% |
|
7 |
0% |
71% |
|
8 |
0% |
71% |
|
9 |
0% |
71% |
|
10 |
0% |
71% |
|
11 |
0% |
71% |
|
12 |
0% |
71% |
|
13 |
0% |
71% |
|
14 |
0% |
71% |
|
15 |
0% |
71% |
|
16 |
5% |
71% |
|
17 |
9% |
66% |
|
18 |
17% |
57% |
Median |
19 |
12% |
40% |
|
20 |
15% |
28% |
|
21 |
6% |
13% |
|
22 |
4% |
7% |
|
23 |
2% |
3% |
|
24 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
13 |
3% |
97% |
|
14 |
10% |
95% |
|
15 |
14% |
85% |
|
16 |
10% |
71% |
|
17 |
21% |
61% |
Median |
18 |
17% |
40% |
|
19 |
9% |
23% |
|
20 |
8% |
14% |
|
21 |
3% |
6% |
Last Result |
22 |
2% |
3% |
|
23 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
PRO România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
48% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
52% |
|
2 |
0% |
52% |
|
3 |
0% |
52% |
|
4 |
0% |
52% |
|
5 |
0% |
52% |
|
6 |
0% |
52% |
|
7 |
0% |
52% |
|
8 |
0% |
52% |
|
9 |
0% |
52% |
|
10 |
0% |
52% |
|
11 |
0% |
52% |
|
12 |
0% |
52% |
|
13 |
0% |
52% |
|
14 |
0% |
52% |
|
15 |
0% |
52% |
|
16 |
5% |
52% |
Median |
17 |
16% |
47% |
|
18 |
14% |
31% |
|
19 |
8% |
16% |
|
20 |
5% |
9% |
|
21 |
2% |
4% |
|
22 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța pentru Patrie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Patrie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
169 |
149 |
1.4% |
137–159 |
135–162 |
134–163 |
129–167 |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
169 |
135 |
0% |
125–146 |
124–148 |
122–150 |
119–154 |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
148 |
132 |
0% |
120–142 |
117–144 |
115–146 |
113–150 |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal |
148 |
117 |
0% |
110–128 |
108–131 |
106–132 |
103–137 |
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România |
110 |
104 |
0% |
93–114 |
91–117 |
89–119 |
86–123 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
114 |
89 |
0% |
75–98 |
73–100 |
72–101 |
68–104 |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
55 |
76 |
0% |
62–83 |
60–86 |
58–88 |
56–90 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
114 |
74 |
0% |
68–81 |
66–83 |
65–84 |
62–88 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
93 |
73 |
0% |
57–80 |
56–82 |
54–84 |
52–87 |
Partidul Național Liberal |
93 |
57 |
0% |
52–63 |
51–65 |
49–66 |
47–69 |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
126 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
127 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
128 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
129 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
130 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
131 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
132 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
133 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
134 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
135 |
4% |
97% |
|
136 |
3% |
93% |
|
137 |
2% |
90% |
|
138 |
1.0% |
88% |
|
139 |
1.1% |
87% |
|
140 |
2% |
86% |
|
141 |
2% |
84% |
|
142 |
3% |
82% |
|
143 |
3% |
78% |
|
144 |
4% |
75% |
|
145 |
3% |
71% |
|
146 |
5% |
68% |
|
147 |
4% |
63% |
|
148 |
6% |
58% |
|
149 |
6% |
53% |
|
150 |
5% |
47% |
|
151 |
7% |
42% |
|
152 |
3% |
35% |
|
153 |
4% |
32% |
Median |
154 |
2% |
28% |
|
155 |
4% |
25% |
|
156 |
2% |
21% |
|
157 |
5% |
19% |
|
158 |
3% |
15% |
|
159 |
3% |
12% |
|
160 |
2% |
9% |
|
161 |
2% |
7% |
|
162 |
2% |
5% |
|
163 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
164 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
165 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
Majority |
166 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
167 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
168 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
169 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
170 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
171 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
172 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
116 |
0% |
100% |
|
117 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
118 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
119 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
120 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
121 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
122 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
123 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
124 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
125 |
5% |
95% |
|
126 |
2% |
89% |
|
127 |
4% |
87% |
|
128 |
1.4% |
83% |
|
129 |
4% |
82% |
|
130 |
4% |
78% |
|
131 |
9% |
74% |
|
132 |
6% |
65% |
|
133 |
3% |
59% |
|
134 |
4% |
56% |
|
135 |
6% |
52% |
Median |
136 |
5% |
46% |
|
137 |
5% |
41% |
|
138 |
4% |
35% |
|
139 |
4% |
32% |
|
140 |
4% |
28% |
|
141 |
4% |
23% |
|
142 |
3% |
20% |
|
143 |
2% |
16% |
|
144 |
1.2% |
14% |
|
145 |
1.1% |
13% |
|
146 |
3% |
12% |
|
147 |
2% |
9% |
|
148 |
4% |
8% |
|
149 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
150 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
151 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
152 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
153 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
154 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
155 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
156 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
157 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
158 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
159 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
110 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
113 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
114 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
115 |
1.4% |
98.6% |
|
116 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
117 |
4% |
97% |
|
118 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
119 |
2% |
92% |
|
120 |
2% |
91% |
|
121 |
0.9% |
88% |
|
122 |
1.3% |
88% |
|
123 |
2% |
86% |
|
124 |
2% |
84% |
|
125 |
2% |
82% |
|
126 |
2% |
80% |
|
127 |
4% |
78% |
|
128 |
5% |
73% |
|
129 |
5% |
69% |
|
130 |
5% |
64% |
|
131 |
6% |
59% |
|
132 |
5% |
53% |
|
133 |
4% |
48% |
|
134 |
8% |
44% |
|
135 |
3% |
37% |
|
136 |
6% |
34% |
Median |
137 |
4% |
28% |
|
138 |
6% |
25% |
|
139 |
4% |
19% |
|
140 |
2% |
16% |
|
141 |
2% |
13% |
|
142 |
4% |
12% |
|
143 |
0.8% |
8% |
|
144 |
3% |
7% |
|
145 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
146 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
147 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
148 |
0.9% |
2% |
Last Result |
149 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
150 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
151 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
152 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
153 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
100 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
102 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
103 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
104 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
106 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
108 |
2% |
97% |
|
109 |
2% |
95% |
|
110 |
5% |
93% |
|
111 |
4% |
88% |
|
112 |
4% |
83% |
|
113 |
4% |
80% |
|
114 |
5% |
75% |
|
115 |
7% |
70% |
|
116 |
8% |
64% |
|
117 |
8% |
56% |
|
118 |
4% |
48% |
Median |
119 |
4% |
44% |
|
120 |
5% |
39% |
|
121 |
5% |
34% |
|
122 |
4% |
29% |
|
123 |
3% |
25% |
|
124 |
4% |
22% |
|
125 |
3% |
18% |
|
126 |
1.0% |
15% |
|
127 |
2% |
14% |
|
128 |
2% |
12% |
|
129 |
2% |
10% |
|
130 |
2% |
8% |
|
131 |
3% |
5% |
|
132 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
133 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
134 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
135 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
136 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
137 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
138 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
139 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
140 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
89 |
1.5% |
98.6% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
91 |
3% |
96% |
|
92 |
2% |
93% |
|
93 |
3% |
91% |
|
94 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
95 |
4% |
87% |
|
96 |
3% |
84% |
|
97 |
4% |
81% |
|
98 |
4% |
77% |
|
99 |
6% |
73% |
|
100 |
2% |
67% |
|
101 |
2% |
65% |
|
102 |
5% |
63% |
|
103 |
3% |
58% |
|
104 |
6% |
54% |
|
105 |
3% |
48% |
|
106 |
5% |
46% |
|
107 |
7% |
41% |
|
108 |
3% |
34% |
|
109 |
2% |
31% |
|
110 |
4% |
29% |
Last Result |
111 |
5% |
25% |
Median |
112 |
2% |
20% |
|
113 |
3% |
18% |
|
114 |
5% |
14% |
|
115 |
1.5% |
9% |
|
116 |
2% |
8% |
|
117 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
118 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
119 |
2% |
4% |
|
120 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
121 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
122 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
123 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
124 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
125 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
126 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
127 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
98.5% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
73 |
3% |
97% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
75 |
5% |
93% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
88% |
|
77 |
1.2% |
87% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
86% |
|
79 |
3% |
85% |
|
80 |
3% |
82% |
|
81 |
3% |
79% |
|
82 |
1.0% |
76% |
|
83 |
4% |
75% |
|
84 |
3% |
71% |
|
85 |
2% |
68% |
|
86 |
4% |
66% |
|
87 |
4% |
63% |
|
88 |
6% |
58% |
|
89 |
6% |
52% |
|
90 |
4% |
47% |
|
91 |
4% |
43% |
|
92 |
6% |
39% |
Median |
93 |
5% |
33% |
|
94 |
6% |
28% |
|
95 |
5% |
22% |
|
96 |
4% |
17% |
|
97 |
3% |
13% |
|
98 |
2% |
10% |
|
99 |
3% |
9% |
|
100 |
2% |
6% |
|
101 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
60 |
4% |
96% |
|
61 |
2% |
93% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
90% |
|
63 |
2% |
89% |
|
64 |
3% |
87% |
|
65 |
4% |
84% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
80% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
79% |
|
68 |
4% |
78% |
|
69 |
3% |
73% |
|
70 |
2% |
71% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
69% |
|
72 |
5% |
68% |
|
73 |
2% |
63% |
|
74 |
2% |
60% |
|
75 |
5% |
58% |
|
76 |
6% |
53% |
|
77 |
2% |
47% |
|
78 |
5% |
45% |
|
79 |
10% |
40% |
Median |
80 |
7% |
30% |
|
81 |
4% |
23% |
|
82 |
5% |
19% |
|
83 |
5% |
14% |
|
84 |
1.1% |
9% |
|
85 |
2% |
8% |
|
86 |
2% |
6% |
|
87 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
88 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
66 |
2% |
97% |
|
67 |
3% |
95% |
|
68 |
6% |
92% |
|
69 |
5% |
86% |
|
70 |
7% |
82% |
|
71 |
6% |
75% |
|
72 |
6% |
69% |
|
73 |
7% |
63% |
|
74 |
7% |
55% |
Median |
75 |
10% |
49% |
|
76 |
6% |
39% |
|
77 |
5% |
33% |
|
78 |
5% |
28% |
|
79 |
6% |
23% |
|
80 |
5% |
17% |
|
81 |
4% |
13% |
|
82 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
83 |
3% |
7% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
54 |
2% |
98% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
56 |
3% |
96% |
|
57 |
4% |
93% |
|
58 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
59 |
2% |
88% |
|
60 |
2% |
86% |
|
61 |
2% |
84% |
|
62 |
3% |
82% |
|
63 |
3% |
79% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
77% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
75% |
|
66 |
3% |
74% |
|
67 |
2% |
71% |
|
68 |
2% |
70% |
|
69 |
2% |
68% |
|
70 |
3% |
65% |
|
71 |
3% |
62% |
|
72 |
5% |
59% |
|
73 |
6% |
54% |
|
74 |
8% |
48% |
|
75 |
7% |
40% |
Median |
76 |
7% |
33% |
|
77 |
4% |
26% |
|
78 |
6% |
22% |
|
79 |
4% |
16% |
|
80 |
4% |
12% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
8% |
|
82 |
2% |
7% |
|
83 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
84 |
2% |
3% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
49 |
1.5% |
98.7% |
|
50 |
2% |
97% |
|
51 |
4% |
95% |
|
52 |
3% |
92% |
|
53 |
5% |
88% |
|
54 |
10% |
84% |
|
55 |
10% |
74% |
|
56 |
7% |
64% |
|
57 |
11% |
56% |
Median |
58 |
8% |
45% |
|
59 |
7% |
37% |
|
60 |
7% |
30% |
|
61 |
4% |
23% |
|
62 |
6% |
19% |
|
63 |
4% |
13% |
|
64 |
3% |
9% |
|
65 |
2% |
7% |
|
66 |
3% |
5% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Gazeta Civică
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26–29 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1202
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.07%