Opinion Poll by Gazeta Civică, 26–29 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partidul Social Democrat |
28.9% |
27.7% |
26.1–29.4% |
25.6–29.9% |
25.2–30.3% |
24.5–31.1% |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
15.4% |
17.8% |
16.4–19.3% |
16.1–19.7% |
15.7–20.1% |
15.1–20.8% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor |
9.1% |
17.3% |
16.0–18.8% |
15.6–19.2% |
15.3–19.6% |
14.6–20.3% |
Partidul Național Liberal |
25.2% |
16.8% |
15.5–18.3% |
15.1–18.7% |
14.8–19.0% |
14.2–19.8% |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
4.8% |
5.4% |
4.6–6.3% |
4.4–6.6% |
4.3–6.8% |
3.9–7.3% |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
5.7% |
5.0% |
4.3–5.9% |
4.1–6.2% |
3.9–6.4% |
3.6–6.8% |
PRO România |
4.1% |
5.0% |
4.3–5.9% |
4.1–6.2% |
3.9–6.4% |
3.6–6.8% |
Alianța pentru Patrie |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.5–3.7% |
2.3–3.9% |
2.2–4.1% |
1.9–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-seats-pmf-partidulsocialdemocrat.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
83 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
85 |
2% |
97% |
|
86 |
2% |
95% |
|
87 |
2% |
94% |
|
88 |
5% |
91% |
|
89 |
5% |
86% |
|
90 |
6% |
81% |
|
91 |
7% |
75% |
|
92 |
7% |
68% |
|
93 |
5% |
61% |
|
94 |
4% |
56% |
|
95 |
6% |
51% |
Median |
96 |
8% |
45% |
|
97 |
5% |
37% |
|
98 |
6% |
32% |
|
99 |
7% |
27% |
|
100 |
3% |
20% |
|
101 |
2% |
17% |
|
102 |
4% |
14% |
|
103 |
3% |
10% |
|
104 |
3% |
7% |
|
105 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
106 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
108 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
109 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
110 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
111 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
112 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-seats-pmf-alianța2020usr-plus.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
53 |
3% |
98% |
|
54 |
2% |
95% |
|
55 |
3% |
93% |
Last Result |
56 |
8% |
90% |
|
57 |
6% |
81% |
|
58 |
7% |
76% |
|
59 |
8% |
68% |
|
60 |
9% |
60% |
|
61 |
9% |
51% |
Median |
62 |
8% |
43% |
|
63 |
7% |
35% |
|
64 |
6% |
28% |
|
65 |
7% |
22% |
|
66 |
3% |
15% |
|
67 |
3% |
12% |
|
68 |
5% |
10% |
|
69 |
2% |
5% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-seats-pmf-alianțapentruunirearomânilor.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
51 |
2% |
98% |
|
52 |
2% |
96% |
|
53 |
4% |
94% |
|
54 |
3% |
90% |
|
55 |
9% |
87% |
|
56 |
9% |
79% |
|
57 |
9% |
69% |
|
58 |
7% |
60% |
|
59 |
8% |
53% |
Median |
60 |
7% |
45% |
|
61 |
6% |
38% |
|
62 |
10% |
32% |
|
63 |
7% |
22% |
|
64 |
3% |
15% |
|
65 |
2% |
12% |
|
66 |
4% |
10% |
|
67 |
2% |
5% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
69 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-seats-pmf-partidulnaționalliberal.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
49 |
1.5% |
98.7% |
|
50 |
2% |
97% |
|
51 |
4% |
95% |
|
52 |
3% |
92% |
|
53 |
5% |
88% |
|
54 |
10% |
84% |
|
55 |
10% |
74% |
|
56 |
7% |
64% |
|
57 |
11% |
56% |
Median |
58 |
8% |
45% |
|
59 |
7% |
37% |
|
60 |
7% |
30% |
|
61 |
4% |
23% |
|
62 |
6% |
19% |
|
63 |
4% |
13% |
|
64 |
3% |
9% |
|
65 |
2% |
7% |
|
66 |
3% |
5% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-seats-pmf-partidulmișcareapopulară.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
29% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
71% |
|
2 |
0% |
71% |
|
3 |
0% |
71% |
|
4 |
0% |
71% |
|
5 |
0% |
71% |
|
6 |
0% |
71% |
|
7 |
0% |
71% |
|
8 |
0% |
71% |
|
9 |
0% |
71% |
|
10 |
0% |
71% |
|
11 |
0% |
71% |
|
12 |
0% |
71% |
|
13 |
0% |
71% |
|
14 |
0% |
71% |
|
15 |
0% |
71% |
|
16 |
5% |
71% |
|
17 |
9% |
66% |
|
18 |
17% |
57% |
Median |
19 |
12% |
40% |
|
20 |
15% |
28% |
|
21 |
6% |
13% |
|
22 |
4% |
7% |
|
23 |
2% |
3% |
|
24 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-seats-pmf-uniuneademocratămaghiarădinromânia.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
13 |
3% |
97% |
|
14 |
10% |
95% |
|
15 |
14% |
85% |
|
16 |
10% |
71% |
|
17 |
21% |
61% |
Median |
18 |
17% |
40% |
|
19 |
9% |
23% |
|
20 |
8% |
14% |
|
21 |
3% |
6% |
Last Result |
22 |
2% |
3% |
|
23 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
PRO România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-seats-pmf-proromânia.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
48% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
52% |
|
2 |
0% |
52% |
|
3 |
0% |
52% |
|
4 |
0% |
52% |
|
5 |
0% |
52% |
|
6 |
0% |
52% |
|
7 |
0% |
52% |
|
8 |
0% |
52% |
|
9 |
0% |
52% |
|
10 |
0% |
52% |
|
11 |
0% |
52% |
|
12 |
0% |
52% |
|
13 |
0% |
52% |
|
14 |
0% |
52% |
|
15 |
0% |
52% |
|
16 |
5% |
52% |
Median |
17 |
16% |
47% |
|
18 |
14% |
31% |
|
19 |
8% |
16% |
|
20 |
5% |
9% |
|
21 |
2% |
4% |
|
22 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța pentru Patrie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Patrie page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-seats-pmf-alianțapentrupatrie.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
169 |
149 |
1.4% |
137–159 |
135–162 |
134–163 |
129–167 |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
169 |
135 |
0% |
125–146 |
124–148 |
122–150 |
119–154 |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
148 |
132 |
0% |
120–142 |
117–144 |
115–146 |
113–150 |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal |
148 |
117 |
0% |
110–128 |
108–131 |
106–132 |
103–137 |
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România |
110 |
104 |
0% |
93–114 |
91–117 |
89–119 |
86–123 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
114 |
89 |
0% |
75–98 |
73–100 |
72–101 |
68–104 |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
55 |
76 |
0% |
62–83 |
60–86 |
58–88 |
56–90 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
114 |
74 |
0% |
68–81 |
66–83 |
65–84 |
62–88 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
93 |
73 |
0% |
57–80 |
56–82 |
54–84 |
52–87 |
Partidul Național Liberal |
93 |
57 |
0% |
52–63 |
51–65 |
49–66 |
47–69 |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-coalitions-seats-pmf-a2020–pnl–pmp–udmr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
126 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
127 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
128 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
129 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
130 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
131 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
132 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
133 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
134 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
135 |
4% |
97% |
|
136 |
3% |
93% |
|
137 |
2% |
90% |
|
138 |
1.0% |
88% |
|
139 |
1.1% |
87% |
|
140 |
2% |
86% |
|
141 |
2% |
84% |
|
142 |
3% |
82% |
|
143 |
3% |
78% |
|
144 |
4% |
75% |
|
145 |
3% |
71% |
|
146 |
5% |
68% |
|
147 |
4% |
63% |
|
148 |
6% |
58% |
|
149 |
6% |
53% |
|
150 |
5% |
47% |
|
151 |
7% |
42% |
|
152 |
3% |
35% |
|
153 |
4% |
32% |
Median |
154 |
2% |
28% |
|
155 |
4% |
25% |
|
156 |
2% |
21% |
|
157 |
5% |
19% |
|
158 |
3% |
15% |
|
159 |
3% |
12% |
|
160 |
2% |
9% |
|
161 |
2% |
7% |
|
162 |
2% |
5% |
|
163 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
164 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
165 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
Majority |
166 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
167 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
168 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
169 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
170 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
171 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
172 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-coalitions-seats-pmf-a2020–pnl–udmr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
116 |
0% |
100% |
|
117 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
118 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
119 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
120 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
121 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
122 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
123 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
124 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
125 |
5% |
95% |
|
126 |
2% |
89% |
|
127 |
4% |
87% |
|
128 |
1.4% |
83% |
|
129 |
4% |
82% |
|
130 |
4% |
78% |
|
131 |
9% |
74% |
|
132 |
6% |
65% |
|
133 |
3% |
59% |
|
134 |
4% |
56% |
|
135 |
6% |
52% |
Median |
136 |
5% |
46% |
|
137 |
5% |
41% |
|
138 |
4% |
35% |
|
139 |
4% |
32% |
|
140 |
4% |
28% |
|
141 |
4% |
23% |
|
142 |
3% |
20% |
|
143 |
2% |
16% |
|
144 |
1.2% |
14% |
|
145 |
1.1% |
13% |
|
146 |
3% |
12% |
|
147 |
2% |
9% |
|
148 |
4% |
8% |
|
149 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
150 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
151 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
152 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
153 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
154 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
155 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
156 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
157 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
158 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
159 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-coalitions-seats-pmf-a2020–pnl–pmp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
110 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
113 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
114 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
115 |
1.4% |
98.6% |
|
116 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
117 |
4% |
97% |
|
118 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
119 |
2% |
92% |
|
120 |
2% |
91% |
|
121 |
0.9% |
88% |
|
122 |
1.3% |
88% |
|
123 |
2% |
86% |
|
124 |
2% |
84% |
|
125 |
2% |
82% |
|
126 |
2% |
80% |
|
127 |
4% |
78% |
|
128 |
5% |
73% |
|
129 |
5% |
69% |
|
130 |
5% |
64% |
|
131 |
6% |
59% |
|
132 |
5% |
53% |
|
133 |
4% |
48% |
|
134 |
8% |
44% |
|
135 |
3% |
37% |
|
136 |
6% |
34% |
Median |
137 |
4% |
28% |
|
138 |
6% |
25% |
|
139 |
4% |
19% |
|
140 |
2% |
16% |
|
141 |
2% |
13% |
|
142 |
4% |
12% |
|
143 |
0.8% |
8% |
|
144 |
3% |
7% |
|
145 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
146 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
147 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
148 |
0.9% |
2% |
Last Result |
149 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
150 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
151 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
152 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
153 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-coalitions-seats-pmf-a2020–pnl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
100 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
102 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
103 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
104 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
106 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
108 |
2% |
97% |
|
109 |
2% |
95% |
|
110 |
5% |
93% |
|
111 |
4% |
88% |
|
112 |
4% |
83% |
|
113 |
4% |
80% |
|
114 |
5% |
75% |
|
115 |
7% |
70% |
|
116 |
8% |
64% |
|
117 |
8% |
56% |
|
118 |
4% |
48% |
Median |
119 |
4% |
44% |
|
120 |
5% |
39% |
|
121 |
5% |
34% |
|
122 |
4% |
29% |
|
123 |
3% |
25% |
|
124 |
4% |
22% |
|
125 |
3% |
18% |
|
126 |
1.0% |
15% |
|
127 |
2% |
14% |
|
128 |
2% |
12% |
|
129 |
2% |
10% |
|
130 |
2% |
8% |
|
131 |
3% |
5% |
|
132 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
133 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
134 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
135 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
136 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
137 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
138 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
139 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
140 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-coalitions-seats-pmf-psd–pro.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
89 |
1.5% |
98.6% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
91 |
3% |
96% |
|
92 |
2% |
93% |
|
93 |
3% |
91% |
|
94 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
95 |
4% |
87% |
|
96 |
3% |
84% |
|
97 |
4% |
81% |
|
98 |
4% |
77% |
|
99 |
6% |
73% |
|
100 |
2% |
67% |
|
101 |
2% |
65% |
|
102 |
5% |
63% |
|
103 |
3% |
58% |
|
104 |
6% |
54% |
|
105 |
3% |
48% |
|
106 |
5% |
46% |
|
107 |
7% |
41% |
|
108 |
3% |
34% |
|
109 |
2% |
31% |
|
110 |
4% |
29% |
Last Result |
111 |
5% |
25% |
Median |
112 |
2% |
20% |
|
113 |
3% |
18% |
|
114 |
5% |
14% |
|
115 |
1.5% |
9% |
|
116 |
2% |
8% |
|
117 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
118 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
119 |
2% |
4% |
|
120 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
121 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
122 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
123 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
124 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
125 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
126 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
127 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-coalitions-seats-pmf-pnl–pmp–udmr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
98.5% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
73 |
3% |
97% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
75 |
5% |
93% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
88% |
|
77 |
1.2% |
87% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
86% |
|
79 |
3% |
85% |
|
80 |
3% |
82% |
|
81 |
3% |
79% |
|
82 |
1.0% |
76% |
|
83 |
4% |
75% |
|
84 |
3% |
71% |
|
85 |
2% |
68% |
|
86 |
4% |
66% |
|
87 |
4% |
63% |
|
88 |
6% |
58% |
|
89 |
6% |
52% |
|
90 |
4% |
47% |
|
91 |
4% |
43% |
|
92 |
6% |
39% |
Median |
93 |
5% |
33% |
|
94 |
6% |
28% |
|
95 |
5% |
22% |
|
96 |
4% |
17% |
|
97 |
3% |
13% |
|
98 |
2% |
10% |
|
99 |
3% |
9% |
|
100 |
2% |
6% |
|
101 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-coalitions-seats-pmf-a2020–pmp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
60 |
4% |
96% |
|
61 |
2% |
93% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
90% |
|
63 |
2% |
89% |
|
64 |
3% |
87% |
|
65 |
4% |
84% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
80% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
79% |
|
68 |
4% |
78% |
|
69 |
3% |
73% |
|
70 |
2% |
71% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
69% |
|
72 |
5% |
68% |
|
73 |
2% |
63% |
|
74 |
2% |
60% |
|
75 |
5% |
58% |
|
76 |
6% |
53% |
|
77 |
2% |
47% |
|
78 |
5% |
45% |
|
79 |
10% |
40% |
Median |
80 |
7% |
30% |
|
81 |
4% |
23% |
|
82 |
5% |
19% |
|
83 |
5% |
14% |
|
84 |
1.1% |
9% |
|
85 |
2% |
8% |
|
86 |
2% |
6% |
|
87 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
88 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-coalitions-seats-pmf-pnl–udmr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
66 |
2% |
97% |
|
67 |
3% |
95% |
|
68 |
6% |
92% |
|
69 |
5% |
86% |
|
70 |
7% |
82% |
|
71 |
6% |
75% |
|
72 |
6% |
69% |
|
73 |
7% |
63% |
|
74 |
7% |
55% |
Median |
75 |
10% |
49% |
|
76 |
6% |
39% |
|
77 |
5% |
33% |
|
78 |
5% |
28% |
|
79 |
6% |
23% |
|
80 |
5% |
17% |
|
81 |
4% |
13% |
|
82 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
83 |
3% |
7% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-coalitions-seats-pmf-pnl–pmp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
54 |
2% |
98% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
56 |
3% |
96% |
|
57 |
4% |
93% |
|
58 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
59 |
2% |
88% |
|
60 |
2% |
86% |
|
61 |
2% |
84% |
|
62 |
3% |
82% |
|
63 |
3% |
79% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
77% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
75% |
|
66 |
3% |
74% |
|
67 |
2% |
71% |
|
68 |
2% |
70% |
|
69 |
2% |
68% |
|
70 |
3% |
65% |
|
71 |
3% |
62% |
|
72 |
5% |
59% |
|
73 |
6% |
54% |
|
74 |
8% |
48% |
|
75 |
7% |
40% |
Median |
76 |
7% |
33% |
|
77 |
4% |
26% |
|
78 |
6% |
22% |
|
79 |
4% |
16% |
|
80 |
4% |
12% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
8% |
|
82 |
2% |
7% |
|
83 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
84 |
2% |
3% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-29-GazetaCivică-coalitions-seats-pmf-pnl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
49 |
1.5% |
98.7% |
|
50 |
2% |
97% |
|
51 |
4% |
95% |
|
52 |
3% |
92% |
|
53 |
5% |
88% |
|
54 |
10% |
84% |
|
55 |
10% |
74% |
|
56 |
7% |
64% |
|
57 |
11% |
56% |
Median |
58 |
8% |
45% |
|
59 |
7% |
37% |
|
60 |
7% |
30% |
|
61 |
4% |
23% |
|
62 |
6% |
19% |
|
63 |
4% |
13% |
|
64 |
3% |
9% |
|
65 |
2% |
7% |
|
66 |
3% |
5% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Gazeta Civică
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26–29 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1202
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.07%