Partidul Social Democrat

Voting Intentions

Last result: 22.0% (General Election of 1 December 2024)

Period	Polling firm/Commissioner(s)	Median	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
N/A	Poll Average	19.2%	16.6–23.2%	16.1–24.0%	15.6–24.5%	14.8–25.6%
5–19 September 2025	CURS	23.0%	21.4–24.7%	21.0–25.2%	20.6–25.6%	19.9–26.4%
9–18 September 2025	Avangarde	19.0%	17.6–20.5%	17.3–20.9%	16.9–21.2%	16.3–21.9%
1–9 September 2025	INSCOP informat.ro	17.9%	16.4–19.4%	16.0–19.9%	15.7–20.2%	15.1–21.0%
21–23 July 2025	Sociopol RomâniaTV	21.0%	19.4–22.7%	18.9–23.2%	18.5–23.6%	17.8–24.4%
15–23 July 2025	INSOMAR	17.0%	15.6–18.6%	15.2–19.1%	14.8–19.4%	14.1–20.2%
10–12 July 2025	FlashData	18.0%	17.4–18.6%	17.3–18.7%	17.1–18.9%	16.9–19.2%
4–10 July 2025	CURS	20.0%	18.5–21.6%	18.0–22.1%	17.7–22.5%	17.0–23.3%
20–26 June 2025	INSCOP informat.ro	13.7%	12.5–15.1%	12.2–15.5%	11.9–15.9%	11.3–16.5%
26–30 May 2025	INSCOP	17.4%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
26–30 May 2025	CURS	24.0%	22.5–25.6%	22.1–26.0%	21.7–26.4%	21.0–27.2%
26–28 May 2025	Sociopol RomâniaTV	17.0%	15.5–18.6%	15.1–19.1%	14.8–19.4%	14.1–20.2%
23–28 May 2025	Avangarde	20.0%	18.6–21.5%	18.2–21.9%	17.9–22.3%	17.3–23.0%
24–26 April 2025	FlashData	19.0%	18.4–19.6%	18.3–19.8%	18.1–19.9%	17.8–20.2%
3–5 April 2025	FlashData	18.5%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
24–28 March 2025	Verifield	21.2%	19.7–22.8%	19.2–23.3%	18.9–23.7%	18.2–24.5%
14–16 February 2025	FlashData	21.2%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
21–25 January 2025	CURS	24.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
10–16 January 2025	Avangarde	22.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
12.5–13.5%	0%	100%
13.5–14.5%	0.3%	100%
14.5–15.5%	2%	99.7%
15.5–16.5%	7%	98%
16.5–17.5%	13%	91%
17.5–18.5%	17%	77%
18.5–19.5%	15%	61%	Median
19.5–20.5%	11%	46%
20.5–21.5%	10%	34%
21.5–22.5%	9%	25%	Last Result
22.5–23.5%	8%	15%
23.5–24.5%	5%	7%
24.5–25.5%	2%	2%
25.5–26.5%	0.5%	0.5%
26.5–27.5%	0.1%	0.1%
27.5–28.5%	0%	0%

Last result: 86 seats (General Election of 1 December 2024)

Period	Polling firm/Commissioner(s)	Median	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
N/A	Poll Average	67	58–78	57–81	55–83	53–87
5–19 September 2025	CURS	77	71–84	70–86	68–87	66–90
9–18 September 2025	Avangarde	65	60–70	59–72	58–73	56–75
1–9 September 2025	INSCOP informat.ro	61	57–67	55–68	54–70	52–72
21–23 July 2025	Sociopol RomâniaTV	71	67–78	65–79	63–82	61–83
15–23 July 2025	INSOMAR	63	56–67	55–68	54–70	52–72
10–12 July 2025	FlashData	61	59–63	58–63	58–64	57–65
4–10 July 2025	CURS	69	63–75	62–76	60–77	58–80
20–26 June 2025	INSCOP informat.ro	47	43–52	42–54	40–55	39–57
26–30 May 2025	INSCOP
26–30 May 2025	CURS	79	74–85	72–87	71–88	68–91
26–28 May 2025	Sociopol RomâniaTV	62	57–68	56–69	54–71	52–74
23–28 May 2025	Avangarde	70	66–76	65–78	64–79	61–81
24–26 April 2025	FlashData	81	79–84	78–84	78–85	77–86
3–5 April 2025	FlashData
24–28 March 2025	Verifield	73	67–77	66–78	64–79	61–82
14–16 February 2025	FlashData
21–25 January 2025	CURS
10–16 January 2025	Avangarde

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
50	0%	100%
51	0.1%	99.9%
52	0.3%	99.9%
53	0.4%	99.6%
54	0.6%	99.2%
55	2%	98.7%
56	2%	97%
57	2%	95%
58	3%	93%
59	4%	90%
60	4%	86%
61	4%	82%
62	4%	78%
63	5%	74%
64	7%	69%
65	7%	61%
66	4%	55%
67	6%	51%	Median
68	3%	44%
69	3%	41%
70	5%	38%
71	5%	33%
72	3%	29%
73	2%	26%
74	4%	24%
75	3%	20%
76	2%	17%
77	2%	15%
78	3%	13%
79	2%	10%
80	2%	7%
81	1.1%	6%
82	2%	5%
83	0.8%	3%
84	0.7%	2%
85	0.4%	1.4%
86	0.4%	1.0%	Last Result
87	0.2%	0.6%
88	0.2%	0.4%
89	0.1%	0.2%
90	0.1%	0.2%
91	0%	0.1%
92	0%	0%