Partidul Social Democrat

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 22.0% (General Election of 1 December 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 19.2% 16.5–23.2% 16.0–24.0% 15.5–24.5% 14.7–25.6%
6–10 October 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 17.6% 16.2–19.2% 15.8–19.6% 15.5–20.0% 14.8–20.8%
5–19 September 2025 CURS 23.0% 21.4–24.7% 21.0–25.2% 20.6–25.6% 19.9–26.4%
9–18 September 2025 Avangarde 19.0% 17.6–20.5% 17.3–20.9% 16.9–21.2% 16.3–21.9%
1–9 September 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 17.9% 16.4–19.4% 16.0–19.9% 15.7–20.2% 15.1–21.0%
21–23 July 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 18.9–23.2% 18.5–23.6% 17.8–24.4%
15–23 July 2025 INSOMAR 17.0% 15.6–18.6% 15.2–19.1% 14.8–19.4% 14.1–20.2%
10–12 July 2025 FlashData 18.0% 17.4–18.6% 17.3–18.7% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2%
4–10 July 2025 CURS 20.0% 18.5–21.6% 18.0–22.1% 17.7–22.5% 17.0–23.3%
20–26 June 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 13.7% 12.5–15.1% 12.2–15.5% 11.9–15.9% 11.3–16.5%
26–30 May 2025 INSCOP 17.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 May 2025 CURS 24.0% 22.5–25.6% 22.1–26.0% 21.7–26.4% 21.0–27.2%
26–28 May 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 17.0% 15.5–18.6% 15.1–19.1% 14.8–19.4% 14.1–20.2%
23–28 May 2025 Avangarde 20.0% 18.6–21.5% 18.2–21.9% 17.9–22.3% 17.3–23.0%
24–26 April 2025 FlashData 19.0% 18.4–19.6% 18.3–19.8% 18.1–19.9% 17.8–20.2%
3–5 April 2025 FlashData 18.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 March 2025 Verifield 21.2% 19.7–22.8% 19.2–23.3% 18.9–23.7% 18.2–24.5%
14–16 February 2025 FlashData 21.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–25 January 2025 CURS 24.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 January 2025 Avangarde 22.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0.3% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 2% 99.7%  
15.5–16.5% 8% 97%  
16.5–17.5% 14% 90%  
17.5–18.5% 16% 76%  
18.5–19.5% 14% 60% Median
19.5–20.5% 11% 45%  
20.5–21.5% 10% 34%  
21.5–22.5% 9% 25% Last Result
22.5–23.5% 8% 15%  
23.5–24.5% 5% 7%  
24.5–25.5% 2% 2%  
25.5–26.5% 0.5% 0.5%  
26.5–27.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 86 seats (General Election of 1 December 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 67 58–78 57–81 55–83 53–87
6–10 October 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 62 57–67 55–68 54–70 52–73
5–19 September 2025 CURS 77 71–84 70–86 68–87 66–90
9–18 September 2025 Avangarde 65 60–70 59–72 58–73 56–75
1–9 September 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 61 57–67 55–68 54–70 52–72
21–23 July 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 71 67–78 65–79 63–82 61–83
15–23 July 2025 INSOMAR 63 56–67 55–68 54–70 52–72
10–12 July 2025 FlashData 61 59–63 58–63 58–64 57–65
4–10 July 2025 CURS 69 63–75 62–76 60–77 58–80
20–26 June 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 47 43–52 42–54 40–55 39–57
26–30 May 2025 INSCOP          
26–30 May 2025 CURS 79 74–85 72–87 71–88 68–91
26–28 May 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 62 57–68 56–69 54–71 52–74
23–28 May 2025 Avangarde 70 66–76 65–78 64–79 61–81
24–26 April 2025 FlashData 81 79–84 78–84 78–85 77–86
3–5 April 2025 FlashData          
24–28 March 2025 Verifield 73 67–77 66–78 64–79 61–82
14–16 February 2025 FlashData          
21–25 January 2025 CURS          
10–16 January 2025 Avangarde          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partidul Social Democrat.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.9%  
53 0.4% 99.6%  
54 0.6% 99.2%  
55 2% 98.6%  
56 2% 97%  
57 2% 95%  
58 3% 93%  
59 3% 90%  
60 3% 87%  
61 4% 83%  
62 4% 80%  
63 6% 76%  
64 8% 70%  
65 7% 62%  
66 5% 56%  
67 6% 51% Median
68 3% 44%  
69 3% 41%  
70 4% 38%  
71 5% 34%  
72 3% 29%  
73 2% 26%  
74 4% 24%  
75 3% 20%  
76 2% 17%  
77 2% 15%  
78 3% 13%  
79 2% 10%  
80 2% 7%  
81 1.1% 6%  
82 2% 5%  
83 0.8% 3%  
84 0.7% 2%  
85 0.4% 1.4%  
86 0.4% 1.0% Last Result
87 0.2% 0.6%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%