Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | PSD | AUR | PNL | USR | SOSRO | POT | RMDSZ | SENS | FD | PMP | REPER | DREPT | MINOR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 December 2024 | General Election | 22.0% 86 |
18.0% 63 |
13.2% 49 |
12.4% 40 |
7.4% 28 |
6.5% 24 |
6.3% 22 |
3.0% 0 |
2.0% 0 |
2.0% 0 |
1.2% 0 |
1.2% 0 |
0.0% 19 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 18–24% 64–82 |
33–40% 108–138 |
14–21% 47–72 |
8–13% 25–47 |
1–6% 0–20 |
2–4% 0 |
4–6% 13–21 |
3–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 19 |
| 10–19 December 2025 | CURS | 20–25% 65–84 |
32–38% 107–130 |
17–22% 56–73 |
7–11% 24–37 |
4–6% 0–21 |
2–4% 0 |
4–6% 12–21 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 19 |
| 25 October–2 November 2025 | INSCOP Informat.ro |
18–21% 63–73 |
36–40% 127–139 |
13–16% 47–55 |
11–14% 40–47 |
1–2% 0 |
3–4% 0 |
4–6% 14–19 |
3–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 19 |
| 1 December 2024 | General Election | 22.0% 86 |
18.0% 63 |
13.2% 49 |
12.4% 40 |
7.4% 28 |
6.5% 24 |
6.3% 22 |
3.0% 0 |
2.0% 0 |
2.0% 0 |
1.2% 0 |
1.2% 0 |
0.0% 19 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Camera Deputaților (95% confidence interval)
- PSD: Partidul Social Democrat
- AUR: Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
- PNL: Partidul Național Liberal
- USR: Uniunea Salvați România
- SOSRO: Partidul S.O.S. România
- POT: Partidul Oamenilor Tineri
- RMDSZ: Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
- SENS: Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate
- FD: Forța Dreptei
- PMP: Partidul Mișcarea Populară
- REPER: Reînnoim Proiectul European al României
- DREPT: Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți
- MINOR: Parties of ethnic minorities
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat | 22.0% | 20.5% | 18.9–23.1% | 18.6–23.7% | 18.3–24.2% | 17.9–25.1% |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 18.0% | 36.9% | 33.8–38.8% | 33.1–39.2% | 32.6–39.5% | 31.6–40.1% |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 13.2% | 16.2% | 14.1–20.1% | 13.8–20.6% | 13.6–21.1% | 13.2–22.0% |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.3–12.8% | 8.0–13.1% | 7.7–13.3% | 7.1–13.8% |
| Partidul S.O.S. România | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.5–5.6% | 1.4–5.9% | 1.4–6.2% | 1.2–6.7% |
| Partidul Oamenilor Tineri | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.6–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.0–4.4% |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.6–6.7% |
| Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8–3.7% | 2.7–3.8% | 2.6–3.9% | 2.5–4.1% |
| Forța Dreptei | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Reînnoim Proiectul European al României | 1.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți | 1.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Parties of ethnic minorities | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 23% | 95% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 24% | 73% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 15% | 48% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 16% | 33% | Last Result |
| 22.5–23.5% | 11% | 17% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 6% | 98% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 11% | 92% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 13% | 81% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 13% | 67% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 18% | 55% | Median |
| 37.5–38.5% | 23% | 37% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 12% | 14% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41.5–42.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 13.5–14.5% | 21% | 98% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 23% | 77% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 16.5–17.5% | 4% | 49% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 12% | 45% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 16% | 33% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 11% | 17% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% |
Uniunea Salvați România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 12% | 98% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 22% | 86% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 12% | 64% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 11.5–12.5% | 28% | 45% | Last Result |
| 12.5–13.5% | 17% | 18% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partidul S.O.S. România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 12% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 38% | 88% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.4% | 50% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 11% | 50% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 27% | 38% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 10% | 11% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 9% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 77% | 91% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 14% | 14% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 24% | 99.6% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 63% | 76% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 12% | 13% | Last Result |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 83% | 98.8% | Last Result, Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 16% | 16% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 70 | 66–78 | 65–80 | 64–82 | 62–86 |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 128 | 113–136 | 111–137 | 108–138 | 105–140 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 55 | 49–68 | 48–70 | 47–72 | 46–75 |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 40 | 39 | 28–45 | 26–46 | 25–47 | 24–48 |
| Partidul S.O.S. România | 28 | 0 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–22 |
| Partidul Oamenilor Tineri | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 22 | 16 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Forța Dreptei | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Reînnoim Proiectul European al României | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Parties of ethnic minorities | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 5% | 96% | |
| 66 | 6% | 91% | |
| 67 | 9% | 85% | |
| 68 | 9% | 76% | |
| 69 | 10% | 67% | |
| 70 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 71 | 7% | 47% | |
| 72 | 6% | 40% | |
| 73 | 6% | 34% | |
| 74 | 5% | 28% | |
| 75 | 4% | 23% | |
| 76 | 3% | 19% | |
| 77 | 4% | 16% | |
| 78 | 3% | 12% | |
| 79 | 2% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 7% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 109 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 110 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 111 | 2% | 95% | |
| 112 | 2% | 93% | |
| 113 | 3% | 91% | |
| 114 | 3% | 88% | |
| 115 | 3% | 85% | |
| 116 | 3% | 82% | |
| 117 | 3% | 79% | |
| 118 | 3% | 76% | |
| 119 | 3% | 73% | |
| 120 | 3% | 71% | |
| 121 | 4% | 68% | |
| 122 | 3% | 64% | |
| 123 | 3% | 61% | |
| 124 | 2% | 58% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 56% | |
| 126 | 2% | 55% | |
| 127 | 2% | 53% | |
| 128 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 129 | 4% | 49% | |
| 130 | 4% | 45% | |
| 131 | 6% | 42% | |
| 132 | 7% | 35% | |
| 133 | 6% | 28% | |
| 134 | 6% | 22% | |
| 135 | 5% | 17% | |
| 136 | 5% | 12% | |
| 137 | 3% | 7% | |
| 138 | 2% | 3% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 5% | 97% | |
| 49 | 7% | 92% | Last Result |
| 50 | 9% | 85% | |
| 51 | 9% | 76% | |
| 52 | 7% | 67% | |
| 53 | 5% | 60% | |
| 54 | 3% | 55% | |
| 55 | 2% | 52% | Median |
| 56 | 1.4% | 50% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 48% | |
| 58 | 2% | 47% | |
| 59 | 2% | 45% | |
| 60 | 3% | 42% | |
| 61 | 4% | 39% | |
| 62 | 4% | 35% | |
| 63 | 4% | 31% | |
| 64 | 4% | 27% | |
| 65 | 5% | 23% | |
| 66 | 4% | 18% | |
| 67 | 4% | 14% | |
| 68 | 3% | 11% | |
| 69 | 2% | 8% | |
| 70 | 2% | 6% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Uniunea Salvați România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 25 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 26 | 3% | 97% | |
| 27 | 4% | 95% | |
| 28 | 6% | 90% | |
| 29 | 6% | 84% | |
| 30 | 6% | 79% | |
| 31 | 6% | 72% | |
| 32 | 5% | 66% | |
| 33 | 4% | 61% | |
| 34 | 3% | 57% | |
| 35 | 2% | 54% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 52% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 51% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 51% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 50% | Median |
| 40 | 2% | 49% | Last Result |
| 41 | 4% | 48% | |
| 42 | 9% | 44% | |
| 43 | 9% | 35% | |
| 44 | 11% | 26% | |
| 45 | 7% | 15% | |
| 46 | 5% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul S.O.S. România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 25% | |
| 2 | 0% | 25% | |
| 3 | 0% | 25% | |
| 4 | 0% | 25% | |
| 5 | 0% | 25% | |
| 6 | 0% | 25% | |
| 7 | 0% | 25% | |
| 8 | 0% | 25% | |
| 9 | 0% | 25% | |
| 10 | 0% | 25% | |
| 11 | 0% | 25% | |
| 12 | 0% | 25% | |
| 13 | 0% | 25% | |
| 14 | 0% | 25% | |
| 15 | 0% | 25% | |
| 16 | 4% | 25% | |
| 17 | 8% | 22% | |
| 18 | 6% | 13% | |
| 19 | 4% | 7% | |
| 20 | 2% | 4% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 3% | 98% | |
| 14 | 7% | 95% | |
| 15 | 16% | 88% | |
| 16 | 24% | 72% | Median |
| 17 | 20% | 48% | |
| 18 | 14% | 28% | |
| 19 | 6% | 14% | |
| 20 | 5% | 7% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Forța Dreptei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forța Dreptei page.
Partidul Mișcarea Populară
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reînnoim Proiectul European al României page.
Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți page.
Parties of ethnic minorities
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parties of ethnic minorities page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség – Parties of ethnic minorities | 216 | 199 | 100% | 194–211 | 193–214 | 191–216 | 189–220 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 197 | 180 | 99.9% | 175–192 | 174–195 | 172–197 | 170–201 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség – Parties of ethnic minorities | 176 | 160 | 44% | 152–180 | 150–183 | 150–185 | 148–189 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România | 175 | 164 | 38% | 159–174 | 157–178 | 156–180 | 154–183 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 157 | 141 | 3% | 133–161 | 131–164 | 131–166 | 129–170 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal | 135 | 125 | 0% | 116–144 | 115–147 | 114–149 | 112–153 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség – Parties of ethnic minorities | 130 | 130 | 0% | 124–135 | 122–137 | 120–139 | 117–143 |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 128 | 0% | 113–136 | 111–137 | 108–138 | 105–140 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 111 | 111 | 0% | 105–116 | 103–118 | 101–120 | 98–124 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România | 126 | 109 | 0% | 100–114 | 97–116 | 95–117 | 92–119 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség – Parties of ethnic minorities | 90 | 91 | 0% | 84–104 | 83–106 | 82–108 | 81–112 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România | 89 | 94 | 0% | 89–99 | 87–101 | 86–103 | 82–107 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 71 | 72 | 0% | 65–85 | 64–87 | 63–89 | 62–93 |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 70 | 0% | 66–78 | 65–80 | 64–82 | 62–86 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 55 | 0% | 49–68 | 48–70 | 47–72 | 46–75 |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség – Parties of ethnic minorities
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 189 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 190 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 191 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 192 | 2% | 97% | |
| 193 | 3% | 96% | |
| 194 | 5% | 93% | |
| 195 | 6% | 88% | |
| 196 | 6% | 82% | |
| 197 | 8% | 75% | |
| 198 | 8% | 68% | |
| 199 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 200 | 9% | 50% | |
| 201 | 6% | 41% | |
| 202 | 5% | 35% | |
| 203 | 3% | 30% | |
| 204 | 3% | 27% | |
| 205 | 2% | 24% | |
| 206 | 2% | 22% | |
| 207 | 2% | 20% | |
| 208 | 3% | 18% | |
| 209 | 2% | 15% | |
| 210 | 3% | 13% | |
| 211 | 2% | 10% | |
| 212 | 2% | 8% | |
| 213 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 214 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 215 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 216 | 0.8% | 3% | Last Result |
| 217 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 218 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 219 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 220 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 221 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 224 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 225 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 170 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 171 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 172 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 173 | 2% | 97% | |
| 174 | 3% | 96% | |
| 175 | 5% | 93% | |
| 176 | 6% | 88% | |
| 177 | 6% | 82% | |
| 178 | 8% | 75% | |
| 179 | 8% | 68% | |
| 180 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 181 | 9% | 50% | |
| 182 | 6% | 41% | |
| 183 | 5% | 35% | |
| 184 | 3% | 30% | |
| 185 | 3% | 27% | |
| 186 | 2% | 24% | |
| 187 | 2% | 22% | |
| 188 | 2% | 20% | |
| 189 | 3% | 18% | |
| 190 | 2% | 15% | |
| 191 | 3% | 13% | |
| 192 | 2% | 10% | |
| 193 | 2% | 8% | |
| 194 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 195 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 196 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 197 | 0.8% | 3% | Last Result |
| 198 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 199 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség – Parties of ethnic minorities
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 146 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 148 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 149 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 150 | 3% | 98% | |
| 151 | 3% | 95% | |
| 152 | 6% | 92% | |
| 153 | 5% | 85% | |
| 154 | 8% | 81% | |
| 155 | 4% | 73% | |
| 156 | 7% | 69% | |
| 157 | 4% | 62% | |
| 158 | 4% | 58% | |
| 159 | 2% | 54% | |
| 160 | 2% | 52% | Median |
| 161 | 0.9% | 50% | |
| 162 | 1.2% | 49% | |
| 163 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 164 | 0.8% | 47% | |
| 165 | 2% | 46% | |
| 166 | 2% | 44% | Majority |
| 167 | 1.5% | 42% | |
| 168 | 2% | 41% | |
| 169 | 3% | 39% | |
| 170 | 2% | 36% | |
| 171 | 2% | 33% | |
| 172 | 3% | 31% | |
| 173 | 2% | 28% | |
| 174 | 2% | 25% | |
| 175 | 2% | 23% | |
| 176 | 3% | 21% | Last Result |
| 177 | 3% | 18% | |
| 178 | 2% | 15% | |
| 179 | 2% | 13% | |
| 180 | 2% | 11% | |
| 181 | 2% | 8% | |
| 182 | 2% | 7% | |
| 183 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 184 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 185 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 186 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 155 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 156 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 157 | 2% | 97% | |
| 158 | 4% | 95% | |
| 159 | 7% | 91% | |
| 160 | 6% | 84% | |
| 161 | 5% | 78% | |
| 162 | 6% | 73% | |
| 163 | 11% | 66% | |
| 164 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 165 | 9% | 47% | |
| 166 | 6% | 38% | Majority |
| 167 | 4% | 32% | |
| 168 | 3% | 28% | |
| 169 | 2% | 25% | |
| 170 | 2% | 23% | |
| 171 | 2% | 21% | |
| 172 | 3% | 19% | |
| 173 | 3% | 16% | |
| 174 | 3% | 13% | |
| 175 | 2% | 9% | Last Result |
| 176 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 177 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 178 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 180 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 181 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 129 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 131 | 3% | 98% | |
| 132 | 3% | 95% | |
| 133 | 6% | 92% | |
| 134 | 5% | 85% | |
| 135 | 8% | 81% | |
| 136 | 4% | 73% | |
| 137 | 7% | 69% | |
| 138 | 4% | 62% | |
| 139 | 4% | 58% | |
| 140 | 2% | 54% | |
| 141 | 2% | 52% | Median |
| 142 | 0.9% | 50% | |
| 143 | 1.2% | 49% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 145 | 0.8% | 47% | |
| 146 | 2% | 46% | |
| 147 | 2% | 44% | |
| 148 | 1.5% | 42% | |
| 149 | 2% | 41% | |
| 150 | 3% | 39% | |
| 151 | 2% | 36% | |
| 152 | 2% | 33% | |
| 153 | 3% | 31% | |
| 154 | 2% | 28% | |
| 155 | 2% | 25% | |
| 156 | 2% | 23% | |
| 157 | 3% | 21% | Last Result |
| 158 | 3% | 18% | |
| 159 | 2% | 15% | |
| 160 | 2% | 13% | |
| 161 | 2% | 11% | |
| 162 | 2% | 8% | |
| 163 | 2% | 7% | |
| 164 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 165 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 166 | 0.7% | 3% | Majority |
| 167 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 168 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 114 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 115 | 3% | 97% | |
| 116 | 5% | 94% | |
| 117 | 7% | 89% | |
| 118 | 6% | 82% | |
| 119 | 5% | 76% | |
| 120 | 6% | 71% | |
| 121 | 6% | 65% | |
| 122 | 4% | 60% | |
| 123 | 3% | 55% | |
| 124 | 2% | 52% | |
| 125 | 1.0% | 51% | Median |
| 126 | 0.8% | 50% | |
| 127 | 0.7% | 49% | |
| 128 | 1.2% | 48% | |
| 129 | 1.0% | 47% | |
| 130 | 2% | 46% | |
| 131 | 2% | 44% | |
| 132 | 2% | 42% | |
| 133 | 2% | 40% | |
| 134 | 3% | 38% | |
| 135 | 2% | 35% | Last Result |
| 136 | 3% | 33% | |
| 137 | 3% | 30% | |
| 138 | 2% | 27% | |
| 139 | 3% | 24% | |
| 140 | 3% | 21% | |
| 141 | 2% | 18% | |
| 142 | 3% | 16% | |
| 143 | 3% | 13% | |
| 144 | 2% | 10% | |
| 145 | 2% | 8% | |
| 146 | 2% | 7% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 148 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 149 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 150 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség – Parties of ethnic minorities
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 120 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 121 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 123 | 3% | 95% | |
| 124 | 3% | 92% | |
| 125 | 4% | 89% | |
| 126 | 6% | 85% | |
| 127 | 8% | 78% | |
| 128 | 7% | 70% | |
| 129 | 9% | 63% | Median |
| 130 | 11% | 54% | Last Result |
| 131 | 10% | 42% | |
| 132 | 8% | 32% | |
| 133 | 6% | 24% | |
| 134 | 5% | 18% | |
| 135 | 4% | 13% | |
| 136 | 2% | 9% | |
| 137 | 2% | 7% | |
| 138 | 2% | 5% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 109 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 110 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 111 | 2% | 95% | |
| 112 | 2% | 93% | |
| 113 | 3% | 91% | |
| 114 | 3% | 88% | |
| 115 | 3% | 85% | |
| 116 | 3% | 82% | |
| 117 | 3% | 79% | |
| 118 | 3% | 76% | |
| 119 | 3% | 73% | |
| 120 | 3% | 71% | |
| 121 | 4% | 68% | |
| 122 | 3% | 64% | |
| 123 | 3% | 61% | |
| 124 | 2% | 58% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 56% | |
| 126 | 2% | 55% | |
| 127 | 2% | 53% | |
| 128 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 129 | 4% | 49% | |
| 130 | 4% | 45% | |
| 131 | 6% | 42% | |
| 132 | 7% | 35% | |
| 133 | 6% | 28% | |
| 134 | 6% | 22% | |
| 135 | 5% | 17% | |
| 136 | 5% | 12% | |
| 137 | 3% | 7% | |
| 138 | 2% | 3% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 102 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 103 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 104 | 3% | 95% | |
| 105 | 3% | 92% | |
| 106 | 4% | 89% | |
| 107 | 6% | 85% | |
| 108 | 8% | 78% | |
| 109 | 7% | 70% | |
| 110 | 9% | 63% | Median |
| 111 | 11% | 54% | Last Result |
| 112 | 10% | 42% | |
| 113 | 8% | 32% | |
| 114 | 6% | 24% | |
| 115 | 5% | 18% | |
| 116 | 4% | 13% | |
| 117 | 2% | 9% | |
| 118 | 2% | 7% | |
| 119 | 2% | 5% | |
| 120 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 96 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 97 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 98 | 3% | 95% | |
| 99 | 2% | 92% | |
| 100 | 3% | 90% | |
| 101 | 3% | 87% | |
| 102 | 3% | 84% | |
| 103 | 4% | 81% | |
| 104 | 4% | 77% | |
| 105 | 3% | 74% | |
| 106 | 5% | 70% | |
| 107 | 5% | 66% | |
| 108 | 4% | 61% | |
| 109 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 110 | 9% | 48% | |
| 111 | 7% | 38% | |
| 112 | 7% | 31% | |
| 113 | 8% | 25% | |
| 114 | 8% | 16% | |
| 115 | 3% | 8% | |
| 116 | 2% | 5% | |
| 117 | 2% | 3% | |
| 118 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség – Parties of ethnic minorities
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 83 | 4% | 97% | |
| 84 | 5% | 93% | |
| 85 | 8% | 88% | |
| 86 | 8% | 81% | |
| 87 | 8% | 72% | |
| 88 | 6% | 64% | |
| 89 | 4% | 58% | |
| 90 | 3% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 91 | 2% | 51% | |
| 92 | 2% | 48% | |
| 93 | 2% | 46% | |
| 94 | 3% | 44% | |
| 95 | 3% | 42% | |
| 96 | 3% | 39% | |
| 97 | 4% | 37% | |
| 98 | 4% | 33% | |
| 99 | 4% | 29% | |
| 100 | 4% | 25% | |
| 101 | 4% | 21% | |
| 102 | 4% | 18% | |
| 103 | 3% | 14% | |
| 104 | 3% | 11% | |
| 105 | 2% | 8% | |
| 106 | 2% | 6% | |
| 107 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 108 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 86 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 87 | 2% | 96% | |
| 88 | 2% | 94% | |
| 89 | 4% | 92% | Last Result |
| 90 | 5% | 88% | |
| 91 | 7% | 83% | |
| 92 | 8% | 76% | |
| 93 | 11% | 68% | |
| 94 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 95 | 11% | 47% | |
| 96 | 9% | 36% | |
| 97 | 8% | 27% | |
| 98 | 5% | 19% | |
| 99 | 4% | 14% | |
| 100 | 3% | 10% | |
| 101 | 2% | 7% | |
| 102 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 4% | 97% | |
| 65 | 5% | 93% | |
| 66 | 8% | 88% | |
| 67 | 8% | 81% | |
| 68 | 8% | 72% | |
| 69 | 6% | 64% | |
| 70 | 4% | 58% | |
| 71 | 3% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 72 | 2% | 51% | |
| 73 | 2% | 48% | |
| 74 | 2% | 46% | |
| 75 | 3% | 44% | |
| 76 | 3% | 42% | |
| 77 | 3% | 39% | |
| 78 | 4% | 37% | |
| 79 | 4% | 33% | |
| 80 | 4% | 29% | |
| 81 | 4% | 25% | |
| 82 | 4% | 21% | |
| 83 | 4% | 18% | |
| 84 | 3% | 14% | |
| 85 | 3% | 11% | |
| 86 | 2% | 8% | |
| 87 | 2% | 6% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 5% | 96% | |
| 66 | 6% | 91% | |
| 67 | 9% | 85% | |
| 68 | 9% | 76% | |
| 69 | 10% | 67% | |
| 70 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 71 | 7% | 47% | |
| 72 | 6% | 40% | |
| 73 | 6% | 34% | |
| 74 | 5% | 28% | |
| 75 | 4% | 23% | |
| 76 | 3% | 19% | |
| 77 | 4% | 16% | |
| 78 | 3% | 12% | |
| 79 | 2% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 7% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 5% | 97% | |
| 49 | 7% | 92% | Last Result |
| 50 | 9% | 85% | |
| 51 | 9% | 76% | |
| 52 | 7% | 67% | |
| 53 | 5% | 60% | |
| 54 | 3% | 55% | |
| 55 | 2% | 52% | Median |
| 56 | 1.4% | 50% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 48% | |
| 58 | 2% | 47% | |
| 59 | 2% | 45% | |
| 60 | 3% | 42% | |
| 61 | 4% | 39% | |
| 62 | 4% | 35% | |
| 63 | 4% | 31% | |
| 64 | 4% | 27% | |
| 65 | 5% | 23% | |
| 66 | 4% | 18% | |
| 67 | 4% | 14% | |
| 68 | 3% | 11% | |
| 69 | 2% | 8% | |
| 70 | 2% | 6% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 2
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 4,194,304
- Error estimate: 1.01%