Opinion Poll by INSCOP for News.ro, 15–22 September 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat | 28.9% | 29.1% | 27.6–30.6% | 27.2–31.0% | 26.9–31.4% | 26.2–32.1% |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 9.1% | 22.4% | 21.1–23.8% | 20.7–24.2% | 20.4–24.5% | 19.8–25.2% |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 25.2% | 20.4% | 19.1–21.7% | 18.8–22.1% | 18.4–22.5% | 17.9–23.1% |
| Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 15.4% | 11.0% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.7–12.4% | 9.5–12.6% | 9.1–13.2% |
| Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.1% |
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.2% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.0–2.7% |
| PRO România | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.5% |
| Forța Dreptei | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% |
| Reînnoim Proiectul European al României | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat | 110 | 105 | 98–109 | 97–110 | 96–112 | 93–115 |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 33 | 80 | 75–85 | 74–86 | 72–88 | 71–89 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 93 | 73 | 68–78 | 67–79 | 66–80 | 64–83 |
| Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 55 | 38 | 35–43 | 34–45 | 34–46 | 33–47 |
| Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 21 | 16 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 13–20 | 11–22 |
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PRO România | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Forța Dreptei | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Reînnoim Proiectul European al României | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 96 | 3% | 98% | |
| 97 | 4% | 96% | |
| 98 | 3% | 91% | |
| 99 | 5% | 89% | |
| 100 | 4% | 84% | |
| 101 | 7% | 80% | |
| 102 | 6% | 73% | |
| 103 | 6% | 67% | |
| 104 | 10% | 61% | |
| 105 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 106 | 11% | 38% | |
| 107 | 9% | 27% | |
| 108 | 7% | 17% | |
| 109 | 5% | 11% | |
| 110 | 2% | 6% | Last Result |
| 111 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 112 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 96% | |
| 75 | 6% | 93% | |
| 76 | 5% | 88% | |
| 77 | 6% | 82% | |
| 78 | 9% | 76% | |
| 79 | 10% | 67% | |
| 80 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 81 | 9% | 48% | |
| 82 | 13% | 39% | |
| 83 | 5% | 26% | |
| 84 | 6% | 21% | |
| 85 | 10% | 16% | |
| 86 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 4% | 97% | |
| 68 | 5% | 92% | |
| 69 | 6% | 88% | |
| 70 | 6% | 81% | |
| 71 | 8% | 75% | |
| 72 | 12% | 67% | |
| 73 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 74 | 12% | 45% | |
| 75 | 9% | 33% | |
| 76 | 6% | 24% | |
| 77 | 6% | 18% | |
| 78 | 4% | 12% | |
| 79 | 4% | 8% | |
| 80 | 3% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 5% | 98% | |
| 35 | 6% | 93% | |
| 36 | 13% | 87% | |
| 37 | 15% | 75% | |
| 38 | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 39 | 13% | 43% | |
| 40 | 9% | 31% | |
| 41 | 5% | 22% | |
| 42 | 5% | 17% | |
| 43 | 4% | 12% | |
| 44 | 2% | 8% | |
| 45 | 3% | 6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 4% | 98% | |
| 14 | 15% | 93% | |
| 15 | 13% | 78% | |
| 16 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 17 | 22% | 47% | |
| 18 | 11% | 25% | |
| 19 | 8% | 14% | |
| 20 | 4% | 6% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
PRO România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Forța Dreptei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forța Dreptei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reînnoim Proiectul European al României page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 169 | 127 | 0% | 122–134 | 121–135 | 120–137 | 117–139 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 169 | 127 | 0% | 122–134 | 121–135 | 120–137 | 117–139 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 148 | 111 | 0% | 106–118 | 105–119 | 104–120 | 101–123 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 148 | 111 | 0% | 106–118 | 105–119 | 104–120 | 101–123 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România | 110 | 105 | 0% | 98–109 | 97–110 | 96–112 | 93–115 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 114 | 89 | 0% | 84–94 | 83–96 | 82–97 | 79–99 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 114 | 89 | 0% | 84–94 | 83–96 | 82–97 | 79–99 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 93 | 73 | 0% | 68–78 | 67–79 | 66–80 | 64–83 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 93 | 73 | 0% | 68–78 | 67–79 | 66–80 | 64–83 |
| Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 55 | 38 | 0% | 35–43 | 34–45 | 34–46 | 33–47 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 118 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 119 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 121 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 122 | 5% | 95% | |
| 123 | 6% | 90% | |
| 124 | 6% | 83% | |
| 125 | 9% | 77% | |
| 126 | 11% | 68% | |
| 127 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 128 | 7% | 50% | |
| 129 | 8% | 43% | |
| 130 | 8% | 35% | |
| 131 | 6% | 27% | |
| 132 | 6% | 21% | |
| 133 | 3% | 15% | |
| 134 | 4% | 12% | |
| 135 | 3% | 8% | |
| 136 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 137 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 138 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 118 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 119 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 121 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 122 | 5% | 95% | |
| 123 | 6% | 90% | |
| 124 | 6% | 83% | |
| 125 | 9% | 77% | |
| 126 | 11% | 68% | |
| 127 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 128 | 7% | 50% | |
| 129 | 8% | 43% | |
| 130 | 8% | 35% | |
| 131 | 6% | 27% | |
| 132 | 6% | 21% | |
| 133 | 3% | 15% | |
| 134 | 4% | 12% | |
| 135 | 3% | 8% | |
| 136 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 137 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 138 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 104 | 2% | 98% | |
| 105 | 5% | 96% | |
| 106 | 3% | 91% | |
| 107 | 5% | 88% | |
| 108 | 10% | 83% | |
| 109 | 7% | 73% | |
| 110 | 10% | 66% | |
| 111 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 112 | 11% | 49% | |
| 113 | 5% | 38% | |
| 114 | 4% | 33% | |
| 115 | 10% | 29% | |
| 116 | 4% | 19% | |
| 117 | 4% | 15% | |
| 118 | 4% | 11% | |
| 119 | 3% | 7% | |
| 120 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 104 | 2% | 98% | |
| 105 | 5% | 96% | |
| 106 | 3% | 91% | |
| 107 | 5% | 88% | |
| 108 | 10% | 83% | |
| 109 | 7% | 73% | |
| 110 | 10% | 66% | |
| 111 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 112 | 11% | 49% | |
| 113 | 5% | 38% | |
| 114 | 4% | 33% | |
| 115 | 10% | 29% | |
| 116 | 4% | 19% | |
| 117 | 4% | 15% | |
| 118 | 4% | 11% | |
| 119 | 3% | 7% | |
| 120 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 96 | 3% | 98% | |
| 97 | 4% | 96% | |
| 98 | 3% | 91% | |
| 99 | 5% | 89% | |
| 100 | 4% | 84% | |
| 101 | 7% | 80% | |
| 102 | 6% | 73% | |
| 103 | 6% | 67% | |
| 104 | 10% | 61% | |
| 105 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 106 | 11% | 38% | |
| 107 | 9% | 27% | |
| 108 | 7% | 17% | |
| 109 | 5% | 11% | |
| 110 | 2% | 6% | Last Result |
| 111 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 112 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98% | |
| 83 | 2% | 96% | |
| 84 | 5% | 94% | |
| 85 | 6% | 89% | |
| 86 | 9% | 83% | |
| 87 | 6% | 75% | |
| 88 | 9% | 69% | |
| 89 | 15% | 60% | Median |
| 90 | 7% | 46% | |
| 91 | 13% | 39% | |
| 92 | 6% | 26% | |
| 93 | 5% | 20% | |
| 94 | 8% | 15% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 96 | 2% | 6% | |
| 97 | 2% | 4% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98% | |
| 83 | 2% | 96% | |
| 84 | 5% | 94% | |
| 85 | 6% | 89% | |
| 86 | 9% | 83% | |
| 87 | 6% | 75% | |
| 88 | 9% | 69% | |
| 89 | 15% | 60% | Median |
| 90 | 7% | 46% | |
| 91 | 13% | 39% | |
| 92 | 6% | 26% | |
| 93 | 5% | 20% | |
| 94 | 8% | 15% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 96 | 2% | 6% | |
| 97 | 2% | 4% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 4% | 97% | |
| 68 | 5% | 92% | |
| 69 | 6% | 88% | |
| 70 | 6% | 81% | |
| 71 | 8% | 75% | |
| 72 | 12% | 67% | |
| 73 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 74 | 12% | 45% | |
| 75 | 9% | 33% | |
| 76 | 6% | 24% | |
| 77 | 6% | 18% | |
| 78 | 4% | 12% | |
| 79 | 4% | 8% | |
| 80 | 3% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 4% | 97% | |
| 68 | 5% | 92% | |
| 69 | 6% | 88% | |
| 70 | 6% | 81% | |
| 71 | 8% | 75% | |
| 72 | 12% | 67% | |
| 73 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 74 | 12% | 45% | |
| 75 | 9% | 33% | |
| 76 | 6% | 24% | |
| 77 | 6% | 18% | |
| 78 | 4% | 12% | |
| 79 | 4% | 8% | |
| 80 | 3% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 5% | 98% | |
| 35 | 6% | 93% | |
| 36 | 13% | 87% | |
| 37 | 15% | 75% | |
| 38 | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 39 | 13% | 43% | |
| 40 | 9% | 31% | |
| 41 | 5% | 22% | |
| 42 | 5% | 17% | |
| 43 | 4% | 12% | |
| 44 | 2% | 8% | |
| 45 | 3% | 6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: INSCOP
- Commissioner(s): News.ro
- Fieldwork period: 15–22 September 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1550
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.22%