Opinion Poll by CURS, 26–30 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 18.0% 35.0% 33.3–36.7% 32.8–37.2% 32.4–37.6% 31.6–38.5%
Partidul Social Democrat 22.0% 24.0% 22.5–25.6% 22.1–26.0% 21.7–26.4% 21.0–27.2%
Partidul Național Liberal 13.2% 14.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.7% 12.2–16.0% 11.6–16.6%
Uniunea Salvați România 12.4% 14.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.7% 12.2–16.0% 11.6–16.6%
Partidul S.O.S. România 7.4% 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.8%
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 6.3% 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.8%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 6.5% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.8% 1.4–3.0% 1.2–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 115 109–123 107–124 106–126 103–129
Partidul Social Democrat 86 79 74–85 72–87 71–88 68–91
Partidul Național Liberal 49 46 42–51 41–52 40–53 38–55
Uniunea Salvați România 40 46 42–51 41–52 40–53 38–55
Partidul S.O.S. România 28 0 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–21
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 22 16 14–19 13–20 12–21 11–22
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 24 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.3% 99.8%  
103 0.4% 99.5%  
104 0.7% 99.2%  
105 1.0% 98%  
106 2% 98%  
107 2% 96%  
108 4% 94%  
109 3% 90%  
110 5% 87%  
111 5% 82%  
112 6% 77%  
113 7% 71%  
114 6% 64%  
115 8% 58% Median
116 5% 49%  
117 7% 44%  
118 5% 36%  
119 6% 31%  
120 6% 26%  
121 4% 19%  
122 4% 15%  
123 3% 11%  
124 3% 8%  
125 1.4% 5%  
126 1.3% 4%  
127 1.0% 2%  
128 0.5% 1.3%  
129 0.4% 0.8%  
130 0.2% 0.4%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0.1% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.7%  
69 0.5% 99.4%  
70 1.0% 98.9%  
71 2% 98%  
72 2% 96%  
73 3% 94%  
74 5% 90%  
75 7% 86%  
76 7% 79%  
77 8% 72%  
78 9% 64%  
79 7% 56% Median
80 9% 48%  
81 7% 39%  
82 6% 32%  
83 6% 25%  
84 6% 20%  
85 4% 13%  
86 2% 9% Last Result
87 3% 7%  
88 2% 5%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.5%  
91 0.5% 0.9%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 0.5% 99.6%  
39 1.1% 99.1%  
40 3% 98%  
41 4% 95%  
42 5% 91%  
43 9% 86%  
44 11% 77%  
45 11% 67%  
46 12% 55% Median
47 10% 43%  
48 9% 32%  
49 7% 23% Last Result
50 6% 16%  
51 4% 10%  
52 2% 6%  
53 1.4% 3%  
54 0.9% 2%  
55 0.7% 1.2%  
56 0.3% 0.5%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 0.7% 99.7%  
39 1.4% 99.0%  
40 2% 98% Last Result
41 4% 96%  
42 6% 92%  
43 9% 85%  
44 10% 77%  
45 10% 67%  
46 12% 57% Median
47 12% 45%  
48 9% 33%  
49 8% 24%  
50 6% 16%  
51 4% 10%  
52 3% 6%  
53 1.4% 3%  
54 1.0% 2%  
55 0.6% 1.0%  
56 0.2% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Median
1 0% 49%  
2 0% 49%  
3 0% 49%  
4 0% 49%  
5 0% 49%  
6 0% 49%  
7 0% 49%  
8 0% 49%  
9 0% 49%  
10 0% 49%  
11 0% 49%  
12 0% 49%  
13 0% 49%  
14 0% 49%  
15 0% 49%  
16 11% 49%  
17 19% 38%  
18 10% 19%  
19 6% 9%  
20 3% 4%  
21 0.7% 1.1%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.5%  
13 6% 97%  
14 12% 91%  
15 17% 79%  
16 20% 62% Median
17 16% 42%  
18 14% 26%  
19 7% 13%  
20 4% 6%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.5% 0.8% Last Result
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 197 188 100% 179–197 177–199 175–200 172–203
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 175 171 80% 163–180 161–182 159–184 157–187
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 157 142 0% 134–150 132–152 131–153 127–156
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România 126 125 0% 118–133 116–135 115–137 112–140
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal 135 125 0% 118–133 116–135 115–136 112–140
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 115 0% 109–123 107–124 106–126 103–129
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 111 108 0% 102–115 100–117 99–119 96–122
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 89 92 0% 86–98 85–100 83–102 80–105
Partidul Social Democrat 86 79 0% 74–85 72–87 71–88 68–91
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 71 62 0% 57–67 56–69 55–70 53–73
Partidul Național Liberal 49 46 0% 42–51 41–52 40–53 38–55

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0% 100%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.8%  
172 0.2% 99.7%  
173 0.5% 99.5%  
174 0.8% 99.0%  
175 1.0% 98%  
176 2% 97%  
177 2% 96%  
178 3% 94%  
179 3% 91%  
180 4% 87%  
181 5% 83%  
182 5% 78%  
183 5% 73%  
184 4% 69%  
185 5% 64%  
186 4% 59%  
187 4% 55% Median
188 5% 51%  
189 4% 46%  
190 5% 42%  
191 4% 37%  
192 6% 33%  
193 4% 27%  
194 4% 23%  
195 5% 20%  
196 3% 15%  
197 4% 12% Last Result
198 2% 8%  
199 2% 6%  
200 1.2% 3%  
201 0.9% 2%  
202 0.5% 1.3%  
203 0.3% 0.8%  
204 0.2% 0.5%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0.1% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.2% 99.7%  
157 0.4% 99.5%  
158 0.8% 99.1%  
159 0.8% 98%  
160 2% 97%  
161 2% 96%  
162 3% 94%  
163 3% 91%  
164 4% 88%  
165 5% 84%  
166 5% 80% Majority
167 5% 75%  
168 5% 69%  
169 4% 65%  
170 6% 60%  
171 5% 55% Median
172 4% 49%  
173 5% 45%  
174 6% 40%  
175 4% 34% Last Result
176 5% 30%  
177 5% 25%  
178 4% 20%  
179 3% 16%  
180 3% 13%  
181 3% 10%  
182 3% 7%  
183 1.3% 4%  
184 1.0% 3%  
185 0.8% 2%  
186 0.4% 1.0%  
187 0.3% 0.7%  
188 0.2% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.3% 99.7%  
128 0.4% 99.5%  
129 0.7% 99.1%  
130 0.8% 98%  
131 2% 98%  
132 2% 96%  
133 3% 93%  
134 3% 91%  
135 5% 88%  
136 5% 83%  
137 5% 78%  
138 5% 73%  
139 7% 68%  
140 6% 61%  
141 6% 56% Median
142 5% 50%  
143 6% 45%  
144 6% 39%  
145 5% 33%  
146 4% 28%  
147 5% 24%  
148 5% 19%  
149 4% 14%  
150 3% 10%  
151 2% 8%  
152 2% 5%  
153 1.1% 3%  
154 0.8% 2%  
155 0.5% 1.3%  
156 0.4% 0.8%  
157 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0.1% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0.1% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.2% 99.8%  
112 0.4% 99.6%  
113 0.5% 99.2%  
114 1.1% 98.7%  
115 1.2% 98%  
116 2% 96%  
117 2% 95%  
118 4% 92%  
119 3% 88%  
120 5% 85%  
121 6% 79%  
122 5% 73%  
123 7% 68%  
124 6% 61%  
125 6% 56% Median
126 6% 49% Last Result
127 7% 43%  
128 6% 37%  
129 5% 31%  
130 4% 25%  
131 5% 21%  
132 5% 16%  
133 3% 11%  
134 2% 8%  
135 2% 6%  
136 1.2% 4%  
137 0.8% 3%  
138 0.9% 2%  
139 0.4% 0.9%  
140 0.2% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0.1% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0.3% 99.6%  
113 0.7% 99.3%  
114 0.6% 98.6%  
115 1.3% 98%  
116 3% 97%  
117 2% 94%  
118 4% 92%  
119 4% 88%  
120 4% 84%  
121 7% 80%  
122 7% 74%  
123 4% 67%  
124 8% 63%  
125 6% 55% Median
126 5% 48%  
127 8% 44%  
128 6% 36%  
129 4% 30%  
130 6% 26%  
131 4% 20%  
132 4% 16%  
133 3% 12%  
134 3% 9%  
135 1.4% 5% Last Result
136 1.4% 4%  
137 0.9% 2%  
138 0.6% 1.4%  
139 0.3% 0.9%  
140 0.2% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.3% 99.8%  
103 0.4% 99.5%  
104 0.7% 99.2%  
105 1.0% 98%  
106 2% 98%  
107 2% 96%  
108 4% 94%  
109 3% 90%  
110 5% 87%  
111 5% 82%  
112 6% 77%  
113 7% 71%  
114 6% 64%  
115 8% 58% Median
116 5% 49%  
117 7% 44%  
118 5% 36%  
119 6% 31%  
120 6% 26%  
121 4% 19%  
122 4% 15%  
123 3% 11%  
124 3% 8%  
125 1.4% 5%  
126 1.3% 4%  
127 1.0% 2%  
128 0.5% 1.3%  
129 0.4% 0.8%  
130 0.2% 0.4%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0.1% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.2% 99.8%  
96 0.4% 99.6%  
97 0.6% 99.2%  
98 0.9% 98.6%  
99 2% 98%  
100 2% 96%  
101 3% 94%  
102 4% 92%  
103 5% 88%  
104 6% 83%  
105 7% 77%  
106 7% 70%  
107 8% 63%  
108 8% 55% Median
109 8% 47%  
110 7% 39%  
111 6% 33% Last Result
112 6% 27%  
113 4% 21%  
114 4% 17%  
115 3% 12%  
116 3% 10%  
117 2% 7%  
118 2% 5%  
119 1.1% 3%  
120 0.6% 2%  
121 0.5% 1.2%  
122 0.3% 0.7%  
123 0.2% 0.4%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.8%  
81 0.5% 99.5%  
82 0.8% 98.9%  
83 1.0% 98%  
84 2% 97%  
85 3% 95%  
86 3% 92%  
87 6% 89%  
88 5% 83%  
89 8% 78% Last Result
90 9% 70%  
91 7% 61%  
92 8% 54% Median
93 9% 46%  
94 7% 37%  
95 7% 30%  
96 5% 23%  
97 4% 18%  
98 4% 14%  
99 3% 10%  
100 2% 7%  
101 2% 5%  
102 1.3% 3%  
103 0.7% 2%  
104 0.5% 1.2%  
105 0.3% 0.7%  
106 0.2% 0.4%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.7%  
69 0.5% 99.4%  
70 1.0% 98.9%  
71 2% 98%  
72 2% 96%  
73 3% 94%  
74 5% 90%  
75 7% 86%  
76 7% 79%  
77 8% 72%  
78 9% 64%  
79 7% 56% Median
80 9% 48%  
81 7% 39%  
82 6% 32%  
83 6% 25%  
84 6% 20%  
85 4% 13%  
86 2% 9% Last Result
87 3% 7%  
88 2% 5%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.5%  
91 0.5% 0.9%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.8%  
53 0.6% 99.6%  
54 1.0% 99.0%  
55 2% 98%  
56 3% 96%  
57 4% 93%  
58 6% 89%  
59 8% 83%  
60 9% 75%  
61 10% 66%  
62 10% 56% Median
63 9% 46%  
64 9% 37%  
65 7% 28%  
66 6% 21%  
67 5% 14%  
68 4% 10%  
69 2% 6%  
70 2% 4%  
71 1.1% 2% Last Result
72 0.6% 1.3%  
73 0.4% 0.8%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 0.5% 99.6%  
39 1.1% 99.1%  
40 3% 98%  
41 4% 95%  
42 5% 91%  
43 9% 86%  
44 11% 77%  
45 11% 67%  
46 12% 55% Median
47 10% 43%  
48 9% 32%  
49 7% 23% Last Result
50 6% 16%  
51 4% 10%  
52 2% 6%  
53 1.4% 3%  
54 0.9% 2%  
55 0.7% 1.2%  
56 0.3% 0.5%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations