Opinion Poll by INSCOP for informat.ro, 20–26 June 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 18.0% | 40.5% | 38.7–42.4% | 38.2–42.9% | 37.7–43.4% | 36.8–44.3% |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 13.2% | 17.3% | 15.9–18.8% | 15.5–19.2% | 15.2–19.6% | 14.6–20.3% |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 22.0% | 13.7% | 12.5–15.1% | 12.2–15.5% | 11.9–15.9% | 11.3–16.5% |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.9–14.5% | 11.6–14.9% | 11.3–15.2% | 10.7–15.9% |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% | 3.7–7.1% |
| Partidul Oamenilor Tineri | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.0% | 3.3–5.3% | 3.2–5.5% | 2.9–5.9% |
| Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.8–3.3% | 1.7–3.5% | 1.5–3.9% |
| Partidul S.O.S. România | 7.4% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.1–3.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 140 | 133–147 | 131–149 | 129–150 | 125–153 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 60 | 54–65 | 53–66 | 52–68 | 50–70 |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 47 | 43–52 | 42–54 | 40–55 | 39–57 |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 40 | 45 | 41–50 | 39–51 | 38–52 | 37–55 |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 22 | 18 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 14–23 | 13–24 |
| Partidul Oamenilor Tineri | 24 | 0 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 |
| Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Partidul S.O.S. România | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 128 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 129 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 130 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 131 | 2% | 96% | |
| 132 | 3% | 94% | |
| 133 | 3% | 91% | |
| 134 | 4% | 88% | |
| 135 | 5% | 85% | |
| 136 | 6% | 80% | |
| 137 | 5% | 74% | |
| 138 | 5% | 69% | |
| 139 | 10% | 64% | |
| 140 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 141 | 6% | 47% | |
| 142 | 10% | 41% | |
| 143 | 6% | 31% | |
| 144 | 5% | 25% | |
| 145 | 6% | 21% | |
| 146 | 4% | 15% | |
| 147 | 2% | 10% | |
| 148 | 3% | 8% | |
| 149 | 2% | 6% | |
| 150 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 4% | 94% | |
| 55 | 4% | 90% | |
| 56 | 6% | 85% | |
| 57 | 8% | 79% | |
| 58 | 7% | 71% | |
| 59 | 11% | 64% | |
| 60 | 14% | 53% | Median |
| 61 | 6% | 39% | |
| 62 | 10% | 33% | |
| 63 | 8% | 23% | |
| 64 | 4% | 15% | |
| 65 | 5% | 11% | |
| 66 | 2% | 7% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 42 | 5% | 96% | |
| 43 | 6% | 91% | |
| 44 | 3% | 85% | |
| 45 | 12% | 81% | |
| 46 | 14% | 69% | |
| 47 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 48 | 10% | 49% | |
| 49 | 14% | 38% | |
| 50 | 4% | 24% | |
| 51 | 7% | 20% | |
| 52 | 6% | 13% | |
| 53 | 2% | 7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Uniunea Salvați România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 39 | 3% | 97% | |
| 40 | 4% | 95% | Last Result |
| 41 | 4% | 91% | |
| 42 | 7% | 86% | |
| 43 | 11% | 80% | |
| 44 | 11% | 69% | |
| 45 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 46 | 11% | 45% | |
| 47 | 8% | 34% | |
| 48 | 7% | 26% | |
| 49 | 5% | 19% | |
| 50 | 7% | 14% | |
| 51 | 3% | 7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 4% | 98% | |
| 15 | 9% | 93% | |
| 16 | 13% | 85% | |
| 17 | 18% | 72% | |
| 18 | 17% | 54% | Median |
| 19 | 12% | 37% | |
| 20 | 12% | 24% | |
| 21 | 6% | 12% | |
| 22 | 3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 23 | 2% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 89% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 11% | |
| 2 | 0% | 11% | |
| 3 | 0% | 11% | |
| 4 | 0% | 11% | |
| 5 | 0% | 11% | |
| 6 | 0% | 11% | |
| 7 | 0% | 11% | |
| 8 | 0% | 11% | |
| 9 | 0% | 11% | |
| 10 | 0% | 11% | |
| 11 | 0% | 11% | |
| 12 | 0% | 11% | |
| 13 | 0% | 11% | |
| 14 | 0% | 11% | |
| 15 | 0% | 11% | |
| 16 | 2% | 11% | |
| 17 | 6% | 9% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Partidul S.O.S. România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 197 | 170 | 81% | 163–177 | 160–179 | 158–180 | 154–183 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România | 175 | 153 | 0.6% | 145–159 | 143–161 | 141–162 | 137–166 |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 140 | 0% | 133–147 | 131–149 | 129–150 | 125–153 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 157 | 125 | 0% | 118–131 | 116–133 | 114–135 | 111–138 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 111 | 123 | 0% | 116–129 | 114–131 | 112–133 | 109–136 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat | 135 | 107 | 0% | 101–114 | 99–115 | 97–117 | 94–120 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România | 89 | 105 | 0% | 99–111 | 97–113 | 95–115 | 92–118 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România | 126 | 93 | 0% | 87–99 | 85–100 | 83–102 | 80–105 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 71 | 78 | 0% | 72–83 | 70–85 | 69–86 | 66–89 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 60 | 0% | 54–65 | 53–66 | 52–68 | 50–70 |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 47 | 0% | 43–52 | 42–54 | 40–55 | 39–57 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 157 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 159 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 160 | 2% | 96% | |
| 161 | 2% | 95% | |
| 162 | 2% | 93% | |
| 163 | 3% | 91% | |
| 164 | 4% | 88% | |
| 165 | 3% | 84% | |
| 166 | 5% | 81% | Majority |
| 167 | 6% | 76% | |
| 168 | 5% | 70% | |
| 169 | 6% | 65% | |
| 170 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 171 | 6% | 49% | |
| 172 | 6% | 43% | |
| 173 | 10% | 37% | |
| 174 | 5% | 26% | |
| 175 | 4% | 22% | |
| 176 | 5% | 18% | |
| 177 | 4% | 13% | |
| 178 | 2% | 9% | |
| 179 | 2% | 6% | |
| 180 | 2% | 4% | |
| 181 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 141 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 142 | 2% | 97% | |
| 143 | 2% | 95% | |
| 144 | 2% | 94% | |
| 145 | 2% | 92% | |
| 146 | 4% | 89% | |
| 147 | 5% | 86% | |
| 148 | 6% | 81% | |
| 149 | 4% | 75% | |
| 150 | 7% | 71% | |
| 151 | 8% | 65% | |
| 152 | 5% | 57% | Median |
| 153 | 9% | 52% | |
| 154 | 7% | 43% | |
| 155 | 9% | 36% | |
| 156 | 5% | 27% | |
| 157 | 5% | 23% | |
| 158 | 5% | 18% | |
| 159 | 3% | 13% | |
| 160 | 3% | 10% | |
| 161 | 2% | 6% | |
| 162 | 2% | 4% | |
| 163 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 128 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 129 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 130 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 131 | 2% | 96% | |
| 132 | 3% | 94% | |
| 133 | 3% | 91% | |
| 134 | 4% | 88% | |
| 135 | 5% | 85% | |
| 136 | 6% | 80% | |
| 137 | 5% | 74% | |
| 138 | 5% | 69% | |
| 139 | 10% | 64% | |
| 140 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 141 | 6% | 47% | |
| 142 | 10% | 41% | |
| 143 | 6% | 31% | |
| 144 | 5% | 25% | |
| 145 | 6% | 21% | |
| 146 | 4% | 15% | |
| 147 | 2% | 10% | |
| 148 | 3% | 8% | |
| 149 | 2% | 6% | |
| 150 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 115 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 117 | 2% | 95% | |
| 118 | 4% | 93% | |
| 119 | 5% | 89% | |
| 120 | 4% | 84% | |
| 121 | 5% | 80% | |
| 122 | 5% | 75% | |
| 123 | 9% | 71% | |
| 124 | 8% | 62% | |
| 125 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 126 | 6% | 44% | |
| 127 | 7% | 38% | |
| 128 | 8% | 31% | |
| 129 | 5% | 23% | |
| 130 | 4% | 19% | |
| 131 | 5% | 14% | |
| 132 | 2% | 9% | |
| 133 | 2% | 7% | |
| 134 | 2% | 5% | |
| 135 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 112 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 113 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 114 | 2% | 96% | |
| 115 | 4% | 95% | |
| 116 | 2% | 91% | |
| 117 | 4% | 89% | |
| 118 | 7% | 85% | |
| 119 | 4% | 78% | |
| 120 | 3% | 74% | |
| 121 | 10% | 71% | |
| 122 | 9% | 61% | |
| 123 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 124 | 10% | 46% | |
| 125 | 6% | 36% | |
| 126 | 3% | 31% | |
| 127 | 8% | 28% | |
| 128 | 7% | 20% | |
| 129 | 2% | 12% | |
| 130 | 3% | 10% | |
| 131 | 3% | 7% | |
| 132 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 133 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 98 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 99 | 3% | 96% | |
| 100 | 3% | 93% | |
| 101 | 2% | 90% | |
| 102 | 5% | 88% | |
| 103 | 6% | 83% | |
| 104 | 6% | 77% | |
| 105 | 9% | 71% | |
| 106 | 7% | 62% | |
| 107 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 108 | 12% | 48% | |
| 109 | 6% | 36% | |
| 110 | 4% | 30% | |
| 111 | 9% | 26% | |
| 112 | 4% | 17% | |
| 113 | 2% | 13% | |
| 114 | 4% | 10% | |
| 115 | 2% | 6% | |
| 116 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 117 | 2% | 3% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 96 | 2% | 97% | |
| 97 | 2% | 95% | |
| 98 | 2% | 93% | |
| 99 | 5% | 90% | |
| 100 | 5% | 86% | |
| 101 | 4% | 81% | |
| 102 | 9% | 77% | |
| 103 | 5% | 68% | |
| 104 | 9% | 64% | |
| 105 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 106 | 5% | 46% | |
| 107 | 10% | 41% | |
| 108 | 7% | 31% | |
| 109 | 4% | 24% | |
| 110 | 7% | 20% | |
| 111 | 3% | 12% | |
| 112 | 4% | 9% | |
| 113 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 114 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 115 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | |
| 86 | 3% | 93% | |
| 87 | 4% | 91% | |
| 88 | 6% | 87% | |
| 89 | 6% | 81% | |
| 90 | 8% | 75% | |
| 91 | 7% | 67% | |
| 92 | 8% | 60% | Median |
| 93 | 9% | 51% | |
| 94 | 6% | 42% | |
| 95 | 10% | 36% | |
| 96 | 5% | 26% | |
| 97 | 6% | 21% | |
| 98 | 4% | 15% | |
| 99 | 3% | 11% | |
| 100 | 4% | 8% | |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 72 | 4% | 91% | |
| 73 | 6% | 87% | |
| 74 | 6% | 81% | |
| 75 | 6% | 75% | |
| 76 | 9% | 69% | |
| 77 | 10% | 60% | |
| 78 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 79 | 8% | 40% | |
| 80 | 7% | 32% | |
| 81 | 6% | 24% | |
| 82 | 5% | 19% | |
| 83 | 5% | 14% | |
| 84 | 3% | 9% | |
| 85 | 2% | 6% | |
| 86 | 2% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 4% | 94% | |
| 55 | 4% | 90% | |
| 56 | 6% | 85% | |
| 57 | 8% | 79% | |
| 58 | 7% | 71% | |
| 59 | 11% | 64% | |
| 60 | 14% | 53% | Median |
| 61 | 6% | 39% | |
| 62 | 10% | 33% | |
| 63 | 8% | 23% | |
| 64 | 4% | 15% | |
| 65 | 5% | 11% | |
| 66 | 2% | 7% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 42 | 5% | 96% | |
| 43 | 6% | 91% | |
| 44 | 3% | 85% | |
| 45 | 12% | 81% | |
| 46 | 14% | 69% | |
| 47 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 48 | 10% | 49% | |
| 49 | 14% | 38% | |
| 50 | 4% | 24% | |
| 51 | 7% | 20% | |
| 52 | 6% | 13% | |
| 53 | 2% | 7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: INSCOP
- Commissioner(s): informat.ro
- Fieldwork period: 20–26 June 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1150
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.10%