Opinion Poll by INSOMAR, 15–23 July 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 18.0% | 36.5% | 34.6–38.4% | 34.0–39.0% | 33.5–39.5% | 32.6–40.4% |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 22.0% | 17.0% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.1–20.2% |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 13.2% | 14.4% | 13.1–15.9% | 12.7–16.4% | 12.4–16.7% | 11.8–17.5% |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.9–14.7% | 11.6–15.1% | 11.3–15.5% | 10.7–16.2% |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| Partidul Oamenilor Tineri | 6.5% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.4–4.0% |
| Partidul S.O.S. România | 7.4% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
| Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| Reînnoim Proiectul European al României | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.1–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 131 | 126–139 | 123–143 | 122–144 | 119–145 |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 63 | 56–67 | 55–68 | 54–70 | 52–72 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 53 | 47–57 | 45–58 | 44–60 | 42–63 |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 40 | 48 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 41–55 | 39–58 |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 22 | 17 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 13–23 | 12–25 |
| Partidul Oamenilor Tineri | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Partidul S.O.S. România | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Reînnoim Proiectul European al României | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 122 | 1.3% | 98.5% | |
| 123 | 3% | 97% | |
| 124 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 125 | 2% | 93% | |
| 126 | 7% | 91% | |
| 127 | 6% | 84% | |
| 128 | 16% | 78% | |
| 129 | 4% | 62% | |
| 130 | 5% | 58% | |
| 131 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 132 | 2% | 48% | |
| 133 | 5% | 45% | |
| 134 | 8% | 40% | |
| 135 | 5% | 33% | |
| 136 | 10% | 28% | |
| 137 | 3% | 18% | |
| 138 | 3% | 15% | |
| 139 | 2% | 11% | |
| 140 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 142 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 143 | 3% | 6% | |
| 144 | 2% | 3% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 5% | 96% | |
| 56 | 4% | 92% | |
| 57 | 5% | 87% | |
| 58 | 8% | 82% | |
| 59 | 6% | 74% | |
| 60 | 4% | 69% | |
| 61 | 4% | 65% | |
| 62 | 3% | 61% | |
| 63 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 64 | 18% | 49% | |
| 65 | 9% | 31% | |
| 66 | 7% | 22% | |
| 67 | 6% | 15% | |
| 68 | 4% | 9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 44 | 3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 46 | 3% | 94% | |
| 47 | 2% | 92% | |
| 48 | 2% | 89% | |
| 49 | 6% | 87% | Last Result |
| 50 | 6% | 81% | |
| 51 | 9% | 75% | |
| 52 | 16% | 66% | |
| 53 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 54 | 18% | 42% | |
| 55 | 9% | 23% | |
| 56 | 4% | 14% | |
| 57 | 3% | 10% | |
| 58 | 3% | 7% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Uniunea Salvați România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 41 | 2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 5% | 96% | |
| 43 | 5% | 91% | |
| 44 | 7% | 86% | |
| 45 | 7% | 79% | |
| 46 | 7% | 72% | |
| 47 | 10% | 65% | |
| 48 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 49 | 17% | 47% | |
| 50 | 6% | 29% | |
| 51 | 3% | 23% | |
| 52 | 8% | 20% | |
| 53 | 5% | 12% | |
| 54 | 3% | 8% | |
| 55 | 3% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 3% | 95% | |
| 15 | 7% | 92% | |
| 16 | 14% | 84% | |
| 17 | 24% | 70% | Median |
| 18 | 12% | 46% | |
| 19 | 9% | 34% | |
| 20 | 9% | 26% | |
| 21 | 8% | 16% | |
| 22 | 5% | 8% | Last Result |
| 23 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul S.O.S. România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reînnoim Proiectul European al României page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 197 | 181 | 99.8% | 173–186 | 169–189 | 168–190 | 167–193 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România | 175 | 164 | 38% | 155–168 | 152–172 | 151–172 | 149–175 |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 131 | 0% | 126–139 | 123–143 | 122–144 | 119–145 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 157 | 133 | 0% | 125–140 | 123–141 | 121–142 | 119–145 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 111 | 120 | 0% | 111–123 | 110–128 | 109–129 | 103–131 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal | 135 | 115 | 0% | 108–120 | 106–122 | 104–124 | 101–127 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România | 126 | 111 | 0% | 103–116 | 100–119 | 100–120 | 97–122 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România | 89 | 101 | 0% | 94–107 | 92–108 | 90–110 | 87–113 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 71 | 71 | 0% | 65–75 | 62–77 | 60–79 | 58–82 |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 63 | 0% | 56–67 | 55–68 | 54–70 | 52–72 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 53 | 0% | 47–57 | 45–58 | 44–60 | 42–63 |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 167 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 168 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 169 | 3% | 97% | |
| 170 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 171 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 172 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 173 | 2% | 91% | |
| 174 | 3% | 89% | |
| 175 | 3% | 85% | |
| 176 | 10% | 82% | |
| 177 | 5% | 72% | |
| 178 | 8% | 67% | |
| 179 | 5% | 60% | |
| 180 | 2% | 55% | |
| 181 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 182 | 5% | 48% | |
| 183 | 4% | 42% | |
| 184 | 16% | 38% | |
| 185 | 6% | 22% | |
| 186 | 7% | 16% | |
| 187 | 2% | 9% | |
| 188 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 189 | 3% | 6% | |
| 190 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 191 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 193 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 149 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 151 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 152 | 4% | 97% | |
| 153 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 154 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 155 | 3% | 91% | |
| 156 | 2% | 88% | |
| 157 | 5% | 86% | |
| 158 | 7% | 81% | |
| 159 | 4% | 74% | |
| 160 | 8% | 70% | |
| 161 | 5% | 62% | |
| 162 | 3% | 57% | |
| 163 | 2% | 54% | |
| 164 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 165 | 6% | 44% | |
| 166 | 11% | 38% | Majority |
| 167 | 16% | 27% | |
| 168 | 2% | 11% | |
| 169 | 2% | 9% | |
| 170 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 171 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 172 | 3% | 5% | |
| 173 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 174 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 176 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 122 | 1.3% | 98.5% | |
| 123 | 3% | 97% | |
| 124 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 125 | 2% | 93% | |
| 126 | 7% | 91% | |
| 127 | 6% | 84% | |
| 128 | 16% | 78% | |
| 129 | 4% | 62% | |
| 130 | 5% | 58% | |
| 131 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 132 | 2% | 48% | |
| 133 | 5% | 45% | |
| 134 | 8% | 40% | |
| 135 | 5% | 33% | |
| 136 | 10% | 28% | |
| 137 | 3% | 18% | |
| 138 | 3% | 15% | |
| 139 | 2% | 11% | |
| 140 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 142 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 143 | 3% | 6% | |
| 144 | 2% | 3% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 121 | 1.3% | 98.5% | |
| 122 | 2% | 97% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 124 | 3% | 94% | |
| 125 | 1.5% | 91% | |
| 126 | 5% | 90% | |
| 127 | 5% | 85% | |
| 128 | 5% | 80% | |
| 129 | 5% | 75% | |
| 130 | 4% | 70% | |
| 131 | 8% | 66% | |
| 132 | 4% | 58% | |
| 133 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 134 | 7% | 45% | |
| 135 | 17% | 39% | |
| 136 | 2% | 22% | |
| 137 | 4% | 20% | |
| 138 | 2% | 16% | |
| 139 | 3% | 14% | |
| 140 | 5% | 11% | |
| 141 | 3% | 6% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 109 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 110 | 4% | 97% | |
| 111 | 6% | 93% | Last Result |
| 112 | 9% | 88% | |
| 113 | 8% | 79% | |
| 114 | 3% | 71% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 68% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 68% | |
| 117 | 0.5% | 68% | |
| 118 | 5% | 67% | Median |
| 119 | 10% | 62% | |
| 120 | 24% | 52% | |
| 121 | 11% | 28% | |
| 122 | 7% | 18% | |
| 123 | 3% | 10% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 128 | 2% | 6% | |
| 129 | 2% | 4% | |
| 130 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 106 | 3% | 96% | |
| 107 | 3% | 93% | |
| 108 | 4% | 90% | |
| 109 | 4% | 86% | |
| 110 | 6% | 82% | |
| 111 | 4% | 77% | |
| 112 | 7% | 72% | |
| 113 | 6% | 65% | |
| 114 | 5% | 59% | |
| 115 | 7% | 55% | |
| 116 | 5% | 48% | Median |
| 117 | 5% | 43% | |
| 118 | 20% | 38% | |
| 119 | 4% | 18% | |
| 120 | 4% | 14% | |
| 121 | 4% | 10% | |
| 122 | 2% | 6% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 125 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 99 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 100 | 3% | 98% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 102 | 2% | 93% | |
| 103 | 4% | 91% | |
| 104 | 3% | 87% | |
| 105 | 6% | 84% | |
| 106 | 7% | 78% | |
| 107 | 5% | 71% | |
| 108 | 5% | 67% | |
| 109 | 4% | 62% | |
| 110 | 4% | 58% | |
| 111 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 112 | 8% | 49% | |
| 113 | 21% | 41% | |
| 114 | 3% | 20% | |
| 115 | 5% | 16% | |
| 116 | 2% | 12% | |
| 117 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 118 | 2% | 8% | |
| 119 | 2% | 7% | |
| 120 | 3% | 5% | |
| 121 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 92 | 2% | 96% | |
| 93 | 3% | 95% | |
| 94 | 5% | 92% | |
| 95 | 5% | 87% | |
| 96 | 7% | 83% | |
| 97 | 8% | 75% | |
| 98 | 5% | 67% | |
| 99 | 5% | 62% | |
| 100 | 5% | 58% | |
| 101 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 102 | 5% | 45% | |
| 103 | 16% | 40% | |
| 104 | 6% | 24% | |
| 105 | 5% | 17% | |
| 106 | 3% | 13% | |
| 107 | 3% | 10% | |
| 108 | 3% | 8% | |
| 109 | 2% | 4% | |
| 110 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 63 | 2% | 95% | |
| 64 | 3% | 93% | |
| 65 | 2% | 90% | |
| 66 | 6% | 88% | |
| 67 | 6% | 82% | |
| 68 | 6% | 76% | |
| 69 | 10% | 70% | |
| 70 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 71 | 19% | 51% | Last Result |
| 72 | 5% | 32% | |
| 73 | 10% | 27% | |
| 74 | 3% | 17% | |
| 75 | 6% | 14% | |
| 76 | 2% | 8% | |
| 77 | 2% | 6% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 5% | 96% | |
| 56 | 4% | 92% | |
| 57 | 5% | 87% | |
| 58 | 8% | 82% | |
| 59 | 6% | 74% | |
| 60 | 4% | 69% | |
| 61 | 4% | 65% | |
| 62 | 3% | 61% | |
| 63 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 64 | 18% | 49% | |
| 65 | 9% | 31% | |
| 66 | 7% | 22% | |
| 67 | 6% | 15% | |
| 68 | 4% | 9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 44 | 3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 46 | 3% | 94% | |
| 47 | 2% | 92% | |
| 48 | 2% | 89% | |
| 49 | 6% | 87% | Last Result |
| 50 | 6% | 81% | |
| 51 | 9% | 75% | |
| 52 | 16% | 66% | |
| 53 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 54 | 18% | 42% | |
| 55 | 9% | 23% | |
| 56 | 4% | 14% | |
| 57 | 3% | 10% | |
| 58 | 3% | 7% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: INSOMAR
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15–23 July 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1012
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.31%