Opinion Poll by INSCOP for informat.ro, 1–9 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 18.0% 40.8% 38.9–42.7% 38.4–43.3% 37.9–43.7% 37.0–44.7%
Partidul Social Democrat 22.0% 17.9% 16.4–19.4% 16.0–19.9% 15.7–20.2% 15.1–21.0%
Partidul Național Liberal 13.2% 15.1% 13.8–16.6% 13.5–17.0% 13.1–17.4% 12.5–18.1%
Uniunea Salvați România 12.4% 12.8% 11.6–14.2% 11.2–14.6% 10.9–14.9% 10.4–15.6%
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 6.3% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 6.5% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.4–4.5% 2.1–4.9%
Partidul S.O.S. România 7.4% 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.8–4.4%
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate 3.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–2.9% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 141 135–147 133–149 131–150 128–153
Partidul Social Democrat 86 61 57–67 55–68 54–70 52–72
Partidul Național Liberal 49 52 48–57 46–58 45–60 43–62
Uniunea Salvați România 40 44 39–48 38–50 37–51 36–53
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 22 14 11–16 10–17 10–18 9–19
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 24 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul S.O.S. România 28 0 0 0 0 0
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.2% 99.8%  
128 0.4% 99.6%  
129 0.5% 99.2%  
130 0.6% 98.7%  
131 0.9% 98%  
132 2% 97%  
133 2% 96%  
134 3% 93%  
135 4% 90%  
136 5% 86%  
137 8% 81%  
138 6% 73%  
139 5% 67%  
140 7% 62%  
141 8% 55% Median
142 11% 47%  
143 7% 36%  
144 7% 29%  
145 7% 22%  
146 4% 15%  
147 3% 11%  
148 2% 8%  
149 2% 6%  
150 2% 4%  
151 0.9% 2%  
152 0.6% 1.3%  
153 0.4% 0.8%  
154 0.2% 0.4%  
155 0.1% 0.2%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.8%  
52 0.5% 99.6%  
53 0.8% 99.2%  
54 1.3% 98%  
55 3% 97%  
56 3% 94%  
57 5% 91%  
58 8% 86%  
59 10% 78%  
60 9% 68%  
61 11% 58% Median
62 12% 48%  
63 9% 36%  
64 8% 28%  
65 6% 20%  
66 3% 13%  
67 4% 10%  
68 2% 7%  
69 2% 4%  
70 1.4% 3%  
71 0.7% 1.4%  
72 0.4% 0.8%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 0.4% 99.7%  
44 1.2% 99.3%  
45 1.5% 98%  
46 2% 97%  
47 4% 94%  
48 6% 90%  
49 7% 84% Last Result
50 9% 78%  
51 12% 69%  
52 10% 57% Median
53 9% 46%  
54 13% 37%  
55 8% 25%  
56 6% 17%  
57 4% 11%  
58 3% 7%  
59 2% 4%  
60 1.3% 3%  
61 0.5% 1.2%  
62 0.3% 0.7%  
63 0.2% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.3% 99.8%  
36 0.8% 99.5%  
37 1.2% 98.7%  
38 3% 97%  
39 5% 95%  
40 6% 90% Last Result
41 7% 83%  
42 11% 76%  
43 11% 65%  
44 10% 54% Median
45 12% 44%  
46 9% 32%  
47 8% 23%  
48 6% 15%  
49 3% 9%  
50 3% 6%  
51 2% 3%  
52 0.7% 2%  
53 0.4% 0.9%  
54 0.3% 0.5%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 1.1% 99.8%  
10 4% 98.7%  
11 10% 94%  
12 15% 84%  
13 19% 69%  
14 18% 50% Median
15 14% 33%  
16 11% 19%  
17 5% 8%  
18 2% 4%  
19 0.9% 1.3%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0% 0.3%  
5 0% 0.3%  
6 0% 0.3%  
7 0% 0.3%  
8 0% 0.3%  
9 0% 0.3%  
10 0% 0.3%  
11 0% 0.3%  
12 0% 0.3%  
13 0% 0.3%  
14 0% 0.3%  
15 0% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.3%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul S.O.S. România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 197 171 89% 165–177 163–179 162–181 159–184
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 175 157 6% 151–164 150–166 148–168 145–171
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 141 0% 135–147 133–149 131–150 128–153
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 157 127 0% 121–134 119–135 118–137 115–140
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal 135 113 0% 108–120 106–122 104–123 101–126
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 111 110 0% 104–116 102–118 101–119 98–122
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România 126 105 0% 99–111 98–113 97–115 94–118
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 89 96 0% 90–102 89–104 87–105 85–108
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 71 66 0% 61–71 59–73 58–74 56–76
Partidul Social Democrat 86 61 0% 57–67 55–68 54–70 52–72
Partidul Național Liberal 49 52 0% 48–57 46–58 45–60 43–62

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.8%  
158 0.2% 99.7%  
159 0.4% 99.5%  
160 0.6% 99.2%  
161 1.0% 98.6%  
162 2% 98%  
163 2% 96%  
164 2% 94%  
165 3% 92%  
166 4% 89% Majority
167 7% 85%  
168 7% 78%  
169 7% 71%  
170 11% 64%  
171 8% 53% Median
172 7% 45%  
173 5% 38%  
174 6% 33%  
175 8% 27%  
176 5% 19%  
177 4% 13%  
178 3% 10%  
179 2% 7%  
180 2% 4%  
181 0.9% 3%  
182 0.6% 2%  
183 0.5% 1.2%  
184 0.4% 0.8%  
185 0.2% 0.4%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0% 100%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.2% 99.8%  
145 0.3% 99.6%  
146 0.4% 99.2%  
147 0.6% 98.9%  
148 1.4% 98%  
149 2% 97%  
150 2% 95%  
151 4% 93%  
152 3% 89%  
153 7% 86%  
154 7% 79%  
155 6% 72%  
156 6% 65%  
157 10% 59% Median
158 6% 50%  
159 9% 43%  
160 7% 34%  
161 6% 28%  
162 7% 22%  
163 4% 14%  
164 2% 10%  
165 2% 8%  
166 2% 6% Majority
167 1.3% 4%  
168 0.9% 3%  
169 0.6% 2%  
170 0.4% 1.0%  
171 0.3% 0.6%  
172 0.2% 0.3%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.2% 99.8%  
128 0.4% 99.6%  
129 0.5% 99.2%  
130 0.6% 98.7%  
131 0.9% 98%  
132 2% 97%  
133 2% 96%  
134 3% 93%  
135 4% 90%  
136 5% 86%  
137 8% 81%  
138 6% 73%  
139 5% 67%  
140 7% 62%  
141 8% 55% Median
142 11% 47%  
143 7% 36%  
144 7% 29%  
145 7% 22%  
146 4% 15%  
147 3% 11%  
148 2% 8%  
149 2% 6%  
150 2% 4%  
151 0.9% 2%  
152 0.6% 1.3%  
153 0.4% 0.8%  
154 0.2% 0.4%  
155 0.1% 0.2%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.2% 99.7%  
115 0.3% 99.5%  
116 0.6% 99.2%  
117 0.8% 98.5%  
118 1.1% 98%  
119 2% 97%  
120 2% 95%  
121 3% 93%  
122 4% 89%  
123 6% 85%  
124 7% 79%  
125 9% 72%  
126 8% 63%  
127 9% 55% Median
128 7% 46%  
129 9% 39%  
130 6% 29%  
131 6% 24%  
132 4% 18%  
133 4% 14%  
134 3% 10%  
135 2% 7%  
136 2% 5%  
137 0.9% 3%  
138 1.0% 2%  
139 0.4% 1.1%  
140 0.3% 0.7%  
141 0.2% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.2% 99.9%  
101 0.2% 99.7%  
102 0.6% 99.5%  
103 0.7% 98.9%  
104 1.2% 98%  
105 2% 97%  
106 1.3% 95%  
107 3% 94%  
108 3% 91%  
109 5% 89%  
110 8% 84%  
111 7% 76%  
112 11% 69%  
113 10% 58% Median
114 9% 48%  
115 9% 39%  
116 7% 31%  
117 5% 24%  
118 4% 18%  
119 3% 15%  
120 3% 12%  
121 3% 9%  
122 2% 6%  
123 2% 4%  
124 1.1% 2%  
125 0.5% 1.2%  
126 0.3% 0.7%  
127 0.2% 0.4%  
128 0.1% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.3% 99.8%  
98 0.3% 99.5%  
99 0.6% 99.2%  
100 0.9% 98.6%  
101 2% 98%  
102 2% 96%  
103 2% 94%  
104 4% 91%  
105 6% 87%  
106 6% 81%  
107 7% 75%  
108 9% 69%  
109 8% 60%  
110 7% 52% Median
111 9% 45% Last Result
112 8% 36%  
113 7% 28%  
114 5% 21%  
115 4% 16%  
116 4% 12%  
117 2% 7%  
118 2% 5%  
119 1.3% 3%  
120 0.9% 2%  
121 0.5% 1.2%  
122 0.4% 0.8%  
123 0.2% 0.4%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.2% 99.7%  
94 0.3% 99.5%  
95 0.7% 99.2%  
96 0.9% 98%  
97 2% 98%  
98 3% 96%  
99 3% 93%  
100 5% 90%  
101 6% 85%  
102 6% 79%  
103 7% 73%  
104 9% 66%  
105 8% 57% Median
106 8% 49%  
107 9% 41%  
108 8% 31%  
109 5% 23%  
110 5% 18%  
111 4% 13%  
112 3% 9%  
113 2% 6%  
114 1.1% 4%  
115 1.3% 3%  
116 0.7% 2%  
117 0.5% 1.1%  
118 0.3% 0.6%  
119 0.2% 0.3%  
120 0.1% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.4% 99.5%  
86 0.9% 99.2%  
87 1.3% 98%  
88 1.1% 97%  
89 4% 96% Last Result
90 4% 92%  
91 5% 89%  
92 5% 84%  
93 8% 79%  
94 6% 71%  
95 11% 65%  
96 7% 54% Median
97 10% 47%  
98 7% 37%  
99 6% 30%  
100 7% 24%  
101 6% 17%  
102 3% 12%  
103 3% 9%  
104 2% 6%  
105 1.4% 3%  
106 0.7% 2%  
107 0.7% 1.4%  
108 0.3% 0.7%  
109 0.2% 0.4%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0.1% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.5% 99.6%  
57 0.9% 99.1%  
58 2% 98%  
59 2% 97%  
60 4% 95%  
61 4% 91%  
62 6% 86%  
63 9% 80%  
64 10% 71%  
65 7% 61%  
66 11% 55% Median
67 11% 43%  
68 7% 32%  
69 7% 25%  
70 7% 18%  
71 4% 12% Last Result
72 3% 8%  
73 2% 5%  
74 1.4% 3%  
75 0.7% 2%  
76 0.5% 0.9%  
77 0.2% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.8%  
52 0.5% 99.6%  
53 0.8% 99.2%  
54 1.3% 98%  
55 3% 97%  
56 3% 94%  
57 5% 91%  
58 8% 86%  
59 10% 78%  
60 9% 68%  
61 11% 58% Median
62 12% 48%  
63 9% 36%  
64 8% 28%  
65 6% 20%  
66 3% 13%  
67 4% 10%  
68 2% 7%  
69 2% 4%  
70 1.4% 3%  
71 0.7% 1.4%  
72 0.4% 0.8%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 0.4% 99.7%  
44 1.2% 99.3%  
45 1.5% 98%  
46 2% 97%  
47 4% 94%  
48 6% 90%  
49 7% 84% Last Result
50 9% 78%  
51 12% 69%  
52 10% 57% Median
53 9% 46%  
54 13% 37%  
55 8% 25%  
56 6% 17%  
57 4% 11%  
58 3% 7%  
59 2% 4%  
60 1.3% 3%  
61 0.5% 1.2%  
62 0.3% 0.7%  
63 0.2% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations