Opinion Poll by CURS, 5–19 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 18.0% 34.0% 32.2–35.9% 31.7–36.4% 31.3–36.9% 30.4–37.8%
Partidul Social Democrat 22.0% 23.0% 21.4–24.7% 21.0–25.2% 20.6–25.6% 19.9–26.4%
Partidul Național Liberal 13.2% 16.0% 14.6–17.5% 14.3–17.9% 13.9–18.3% 13.3–19.0%
Uniunea Salvați România 12.4% 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.5–13.7% 10.2–14.1% 9.7–14.7%
Partidul S.O.S. România 7.4% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 6.3% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 6.5% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 114 107–122 105–124 103–126 101–129
Partidul Social Democrat 86 77 71–84 70–86 68–87 66–90
Partidul Național Liberal 49 54 49–59 47–61 46–62 44–65
Uniunea Salvați România 40 40 36–45 35–46 34–47 32–50
Partidul S.O.S. România 28 16 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–22
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 22 16 14–20 13–20 12–21 11–23
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 24 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.2% 99.8%  
101 0.4% 99.5%  
102 0.6% 99.1%  
103 1.0% 98.5%  
104 1.2% 97%  
105 2% 96%  
106 2% 94%  
107 4% 92%  
108 4% 88%  
109 5% 85%  
110 6% 79%  
111 6% 74%  
112 6% 68%  
113 7% 62%  
114 8% 55% Median
115 6% 48%  
116 6% 42%  
117 6% 36%  
118 6% 30%  
119 4% 24%  
120 5% 20%  
121 4% 15%  
122 3% 12%  
123 2% 8%  
124 2% 6%  
125 2% 4%  
126 0.8% 3%  
127 0.7% 2%  
128 0.4% 1.2%  
129 0.3% 0.8%  
130 0.2% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0.1% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 0.4% 99.5%  
67 0.6% 99.2%  
68 1.4% 98.5%  
69 2% 97%  
70 3% 95%  
71 4% 93%  
72 4% 89%  
73 7% 85%  
74 6% 78%  
75 6% 72%  
76 9% 66%  
77 8% 56% Median
78 8% 48%  
79 7% 40%  
80 8% 33%  
81 5% 25%  
82 6% 20%  
83 3% 14%  
84 4% 10%  
85 2% 7%  
86 2% 5% Last Result
87 1.1% 3%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 0.4% 1.1%  
90 0.4% 0.8%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.7%  
45 0.8% 99.3%  
46 1.5% 98.5%  
47 2% 97%  
48 4% 95%  
49 5% 91% Last Result
50 7% 86%  
51 7% 79%  
52 9% 71%  
53 10% 63%  
54 10% 52% Median
55 9% 43%  
56 8% 33%  
57 7% 25%  
58 5% 17%  
59 4% 12%  
60 3% 8%  
61 2% 6%  
62 1.3% 3%  
63 0.9% 2%  
64 0.4% 1.0%  
65 0.3% 0.6%  
66 0.2% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.2% 99.9%  
32 0.6% 99.7%  
33 1.2% 99.1%  
34 2% 98%  
35 4% 96%  
36 5% 92%  
37 8% 86%  
38 9% 78%  
39 11% 69%  
40 12% 58% Last Result, Median
41 11% 46%  
42 10% 35%  
43 7% 26%  
44 7% 18%  
45 4% 12%  
46 3% 7%  
47 2% 4%  
48 1.3% 2%  
49 0.6% 1.2%  
50 0.3% 0.6%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100%  
1 0% 52%  
2 0% 52%  
3 0% 52%  
4 0% 52%  
5 0% 52%  
6 0% 52%  
7 0% 52%  
8 0% 52%  
9 0% 52%  
10 0% 52%  
11 0% 52%  
12 0% 52%  
13 0% 52%  
14 0% 52%  
15 0% 52%  
16 8% 52% Median
17 17% 44%  
18 12% 28%  
19 9% 16%  
20 4% 7%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.9% 1.3%  
23 0.3% 0.4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.3%  
13 4% 97%  
14 8% 93%  
15 16% 85%  
16 20% 69% Median
17 15% 49%  
18 13% 34%  
19 9% 22%  
20 8% 13%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.1% 2% Last Result
23 0.6% 1.0%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 197 188 100% 179–198 177–200 175–202 172–205
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 175 171 78% 162–181 161–183 159–185 156–188
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 157 148 0.2% 140–157 138–159 136–161 133–164
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal 135 131 0% 123–139 121–142 120–143 117–147
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România 126 118 0% 110–125 108–127 107–129 104–133
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 114 0% 107–122 105–124 103–126 101–129
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 111 111 0% 103–118 102–120 100–122 97–126
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 89 94 0% 87–101 86–103 84–105 81–108
Partidul Social Democrat 86 77 0% 71–84 70–86 68–87 66–90
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 71 70 0% 65–76 63–78 62–80 59–83
Partidul Național Liberal 49 54 0% 49–59 47–61 46–62 44–65

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0% 100%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.8%  
172 0.3% 99.6%  
173 0.6% 99.3%  
174 0.7% 98.7%  
175 0.7% 98%  
176 2% 97%  
177 2% 96%  
178 3% 93%  
179 3% 91%  
180 3% 88%  
181 6% 85%  
182 4% 79%  
183 5% 75%  
184 3% 70%  
185 6% 67%  
186 5% 61%  
187 5% 56% Median
188 3% 52%  
189 5% 48%  
190 5% 44%  
191 4% 39%  
192 4% 35%  
193 4% 31%  
194 5% 27%  
195 4% 22%  
196 4% 18%  
197 3% 15% Last Result
198 3% 11%  
199 3% 9%  
200 2% 6%  
201 1.2% 4%  
202 1.0% 3%  
203 0.9% 2%  
204 0.5% 1.1%  
205 0.3% 0.6%  
206 0.2% 0.4%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0.1% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.2% 99.7%  
156 0.4% 99.5%  
157 0.6% 99.1%  
158 0.8% 98.5%  
159 0.9% 98%  
160 2% 97%  
161 3% 95%  
162 2% 92%  
163 3% 90%  
164 3% 87%  
165 6% 84%  
166 4% 78% Majority
167 6% 74%  
168 3% 68%  
169 6% 64%  
170 5% 58%  
171 5% 53% Median
172 5% 49%  
173 3% 43%  
174 6% 40%  
175 3% 34% Last Result
176 5% 31%  
177 4% 26%  
178 5% 22%  
179 2% 17%  
180 3% 14%  
181 3% 11%  
182 2% 8%  
183 2% 7%  
184 1.1% 4%  
185 1.2% 3%  
186 0.5% 2%  
187 0.6% 1.3%  
188 0.4% 0.7%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0.1% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
129 0% 100%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0.2% 99.7%  
133 0.4% 99.5%  
134 0.4% 99.1%  
135 0.8% 98.7%  
136 1.3% 98%  
137 1.4% 97%  
138 2% 95%  
139 2% 93%  
140 3% 90%  
141 5% 87%  
142 4% 82%  
143 6% 78%  
144 4% 72%  
145 6% 69%  
146 6% 62%  
147 5% 56% Median
148 6% 51%  
149 5% 45%  
150 6% 40%  
151 4% 35%  
152 6% 31%  
153 3% 25%  
154 5% 22%  
155 4% 17%  
156 3% 13%  
157 3% 11% Last Result
158 2% 7%  
159 2% 6%  
160 1.5% 4%  
161 0.8% 3%  
162 0.7% 2%  
163 0.5% 1.1%  
164 0.2% 0.6%  
165 0.2% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.2% Majority
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.2% 99.7%  
117 0.4% 99.5%  
118 0.4% 99.1%  
119 0.9% 98.7%  
120 1.1% 98%  
121 2% 97%  
122 2% 95%  
123 3% 92%  
124 3% 89%  
125 4% 86%  
126 6% 82%  
127 5% 76%  
128 6% 71%  
129 6% 66%  
130 7% 59%  
131 6% 53% Median
132 5% 46%  
133 5% 41%  
134 6% 36%  
135 5% 30% Last Result
136 5% 25%  
137 4% 20%  
138 3% 16%  
139 3% 13%  
140 2% 10%  
141 2% 7%  
142 2% 5%  
143 1.1% 4%  
144 0.9% 2%  
145 0.5% 1.5%  
146 0.4% 1.0%  
147 0.2% 0.6%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.2% 99.8%  
104 0.4% 99.6%  
105 0.6% 99.1%  
106 1.0% 98.5%  
107 1.3% 98%  
108 2% 96%  
109 2% 94%  
110 3% 92%  
111 4% 89%  
112 5% 85%  
113 4% 80%  
114 7% 76%  
115 6% 69%  
116 5% 63%  
117 7% 58% Median
118 6% 51%  
119 7% 44%  
120 6% 38%  
121 5% 31%  
122 5% 26%  
123 4% 21%  
124 4% 16%  
125 3% 13%  
126 3% 10% Last Result
127 2% 7%  
128 1.3% 5%  
129 1.2% 3%  
130 0.6% 2%  
131 0.7% 2%  
132 0.3% 0.9%  
133 0.3% 0.6%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.2% 99.8%  
101 0.4% 99.5%  
102 0.6% 99.1%  
103 1.0% 98.5%  
104 1.2% 97%  
105 2% 96%  
106 2% 94%  
107 4% 92%  
108 4% 88%  
109 5% 85%  
110 6% 79%  
111 6% 74%  
112 6% 68%  
113 7% 62%  
114 8% 55% Median
115 6% 48%  
116 6% 42%  
117 6% 36%  
118 6% 30%  
119 4% 24%  
120 5% 20%  
121 4% 15%  
122 3% 12%  
123 2% 8%  
124 2% 6%  
125 2% 4%  
126 0.8% 3%  
127 0.7% 2%  
128 0.4% 1.2%  
129 0.3% 0.8%  
130 0.2% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0.1% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0.1% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.2% 99.8%  
97 0.3% 99.6%  
98 0.5% 99.3%  
99 0.5% 98.9%  
100 1.4% 98%  
101 2% 97%  
102 3% 95%  
103 2% 92%  
104 3% 90%  
105 5% 87%  
106 4% 81%  
107 6% 77%  
108 7% 71%  
109 6% 64%  
110 7% 58% Median
111 6% 51% Last Result
112 5% 45%  
113 7% 39%  
114 5% 32%  
115 6% 27%  
116 5% 21%  
117 4% 16%  
118 3% 13%  
119 2% 9%  
120 2% 7%  
121 2% 5%  
122 1.0% 3%  
123 0.8% 2%  
124 0.6% 1.4%  
125 0.3% 0.8%  
126 0.2% 0.5%  
127 0.1% 0.3%  
128 0.1% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 0.5% 99.4%  
83 0.6% 99.0%  
84 1.4% 98%  
85 1.4% 97%  
86 3% 96%  
87 3% 93%  
88 5% 90%  
89 5% 85% Last Result
90 6% 80%  
91 6% 74%  
92 7% 68%  
93 7% 60%  
94 7% 54% Median
95 8% 47%  
96 7% 39%  
97 5% 32%  
98 6% 27%  
99 5% 20%  
100 3% 16%  
101 4% 12%  
102 3% 9%  
103 2% 6%  
104 2% 4%  
105 0.9% 3%  
106 0.7% 2%  
107 0.4% 1.0%  
108 0.3% 0.6%  
109 0.1% 0.3%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0.1% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 0.4% 99.5%  
67 0.6% 99.2%  
68 1.4% 98.5%  
69 2% 97%  
70 3% 95%  
71 4% 93%  
72 4% 89%  
73 7% 85%  
74 6% 78%  
75 6% 72%  
76 9% 66%  
77 8% 56% Median
78 8% 48%  
79 7% 40%  
80 8% 33%  
81 5% 25%  
82 6% 20%  
83 3% 14%  
84 4% 10%  
85 2% 7%  
86 2% 5% Last Result
87 1.1% 3%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 0.4% 1.1%  
90 0.4% 0.8%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.7%  
60 0.6% 99.5%  
61 0.9% 98.9%  
62 2% 98%  
63 2% 96%  
64 4% 94%  
65 4% 90%  
66 5% 86%  
67 7% 81%  
68 7% 74%  
69 8% 67%  
70 9% 58% Median
71 8% 50% Last Result
72 8% 41%  
73 7% 33%  
74 6% 26%  
75 5% 19%  
76 4% 14%  
77 3% 10%  
78 2% 7%  
79 2% 5%  
80 1.2% 3%  
81 0.7% 2%  
82 0.5% 1.1%  
83 0.3% 0.6%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.7%  
45 0.8% 99.3%  
46 1.5% 98.5%  
47 2% 97%  
48 4% 95%  
49 5% 91% Last Result
50 7% 86%  
51 7% 79%  
52 9% 71%  
53 10% 63%  
54 10% 52% Median
55 9% 43%  
56 8% 33%  
57 7% 25%  
58 5% 17%  
59 4% 12%  
60 3% 8%  
61 2% 6%  
62 1.3% 3%  
63 0.9% 2%  
64 0.4% 1.0%  
65 0.3% 0.6%  
66 0.2% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations