Opinion Poll by CURS, 14–26 October 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 18.0% 35.0% 33.2–37.0% 32.6–37.5% 32.2–38.0% 31.3–38.9%
Partidul Social Democrat 22.0% 24.0% 22.4–25.8% 21.9–26.3% 21.5–26.7% 20.8–27.6%
Partidul Național Liberal 13.2% 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–16.9% 12.9–17.3% 12.3–18.0%
Uniunea Salvați România 12.4% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.4–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 6.5% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Partidul S.O.S. România 7.4% 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 6.3% 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 115 109–121 107–123 105–125 102–128
Partidul Social Democrat 86 79 73–85 72–86 70–88 68–90
Partidul Național Liberal 49 49 44–54 43–55 42–56 40–59
Uniunea Salvați România 40 33 29–37 28–38 27–39 25–41
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 24 23 20–26 19–27 18–28 17–30
Partidul S.O.S. România 28 0 0 0 0–17 0–17
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 22 13 10–15 10–16 9–17 8–19

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.2% 99.8%  
102 0.3% 99.6%  
103 0.4% 99.3%  
104 0.7% 98.9%  
105 1.3% 98%  
106 1.3% 97%  
107 2% 96%  
108 3% 94%  
109 3% 90%  
110 5% 87%  
111 7% 82%  
112 6% 75%  
113 7% 69%  
114 9% 62%  
115 7% 53% Median
116 9% 46%  
117 8% 37%  
118 6% 30%  
119 5% 24%  
120 6% 18%  
121 3% 13%  
122 3% 9%  
123 2% 7%  
124 1.3% 4%  
125 1.0% 3%  
126 0.8% 2%  
127 0.4% 1.1%  
128 0.3% 0.6%  
129 0.2% 0.4%  
130 0.1% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.5% 99.5%  
69 0.7% 99.1%  
70 1.2% 98%  
71 2% 97%  
72 3% 95%  
73 4% 92%  
74 5% 88%  
75 7% 84%  
76 8% 77%  
77 7% 69%  
78 10% 62%  
79 10% 52% Median
80 7% 42%  
81 8% 35%  
82 7% 27%  
83 5% 20%  
84 4% 14%  
85 4% 10%  
86 3% 7% Last Result
87 1.4% 4%  
88 1.3% 3%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 0.4% 0.8%  
91 0.2% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 0.5% 99.7%  
41 1.0% 99.1%  
42 2% 98%  
43 3% 96%  
44 5% 93%  
45 6% 89%  
46 8% 83%  
47 9% 75%  
48 11% 65%  
49 12% 55% Last Result, Median
50 10% 43%  
51 9% 33%  
52 7% 24%  
53 6% 17%  
54 4% 11%  
55 3% 7%  
56 2% 4%  
57 1.0% 2%  
58 0.7% 1.3%  
59 0.3% 0.6%  
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.4% 99.8%  
26 1.0% 99.4%  
27 2% 98%  
28 4% 96%  
29 6% 92%  
30 9% 86%  
31 12% 77%  
32 13% 66%  
33 13% 53% Median
34 12% 40%  
35 10% 28%  
36 7% 19%  
37 5% 11%  
38 3% 7%  
39 2% 4%  
40 1.0% 2% Last Result
41 0.5% 0.9%  
42 0.2% 0.4%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 0% 99.8%  
16 0.2% 99.8%  
17 0.9% 99.6%  
18 2% 98.7%  
19 5% 96%  
20 9% 91%  
21 12% 82%  
22 15% 70%  
23 14% 55% Median
24 14% 41% Last Result
25 10% 27%  
26 8% 17%  
27 5% 9%  
28 3% 5%  
29 1.3% 2%  
30 0.5% 0.9%  
31 0.2% 0.4%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 0% 4%  
5 0% 4%  
6 0% 4%  
7 0% 4%  
8 0% 4%  
9 0% 4%  
10 0% 4%  
11 0% 4%  
12 0% 4%  
13 0% 4%  
14 0% 4%  
15 0% 4%  
16 0.2% 4%  
17 4% 4%  
18 0.1% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.8% 99.9%  
9 3% 99.1%  
10 8% 96%  
11 12% 87%  
12 19% 75%  
13 20% 56% Median
14 16% 35%  
15 9% 19%  
16 5% 10%  
17 3% 4%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 197 173 92% 166–180 164–182 162–184 158–187
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 175 161 16% 154–167 152–169 150–171 146–174
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 157 141 0% 134–147 132–149 130–151 126–154
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal 135 128 0% 121–134 119–136 118–138 114–141
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 115 0% 109–121 107–123 105–125 102–128
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România 126 112 0% 105–118 104–120 102–121 99–124
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 111 95 0% 89–101 87–102 85–104 82–107
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 89 82 0% 76–87 74–89 73–91 70–94
Partidul Social Democrat 86 79 0% 73–85 72–86 70–88 68–90
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 71 62 0% 57–67 55–69 54–70 51–73
Partidul Național Liberal 49 49 0% 44–54 43–55 42–56 40–59

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0.1% 99.7%  
158 0.2% 99.6%  
159 0.3% 99.4%  
160 0.4% 99.1%  
161 0.7% 98.7%  
162 0.8% 98%  
163 1.1% 97%  
164 1.4% 96%  
165 2% 95%  
166 3% 92% Majority
167 3% 90%  
168 4% 87%  
169 5% 83%  
170 6% 78%  
171 5% 71%  
172 7% 66%  
173 9% 59%  
174 7% 50% Median
175 7% 43%  
176 8% 36%  
177 6% 28%  
178 5% 21%  
179 4% 16%  
180 4% 12%  
181 3% 8%  
182 2% 6%  
183 1.4% 4%  
184 1.1% 3%  
185 0.5% 1.4%  
186 0.4% 1.0%  
187 0.2% 0.6%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0.1% 100%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.3% 99.6%  
147 0.4% 99.3%  
148 0.5% 98.9%  
149 0.7% 98%  
150 1.2% 98%  
151 1.4% 97%  
152 2% 95%  
153 2% 93%  
154 4% 91%  
155 4% 87%  
156 5% 83%  
157 5% 78%  
158 5% 73%  
159 8% 67%  
160 9% 59%  
161 7% 51% Median
162 7% 44%  
163 7% 37%  
164 7% 29%  
165 6% 22%  
166 4% 16% Majority
167 3% 12%  
168 3% 9%  
169 2% 6%  
170 1.3% 4%  
171 1.0% 3%  
172 0.7% 2%  
173 0.4% 1.0%  
174 0.2% 0.6%  
175 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.2% 99.7%  
127 0.3% 99.5%  
128 0.5% 99.2%  
129 0.7% 98.6%  
130 1.0% 98%  
131 2% 97%  
132 2% 95%  
133 3% 93%  
134 3% 91%  
135 4% 87%  
136 4% 83%  
137 7% 79%  
138 7% 72%  
139 7% 66%  
140 7% 58%  
141 8% 51% Median
142 7% 43%  
143 7% 36%  
144 7% 29%  
145 5% 22%  
146 4% 17%  
147 4% 13%  
148 2% 9%  
149 3% 7%  
150 1.4% 4%  
151 1.0% 3%  
152 0.6% 2%  
153 0.5% 1.1%  
154 0.3% 0.6%  
155 0.2% 0.4%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1% Last Result
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.2% 99.8%  
114 0.2% 99.6%  
115 0.4% 99.4%  
116 0.6% 99.0%  
117 0.9% 98%  
118 1.5% 98%  
119 2% 96%  
120 3% 94%  
121 4% 92%  
122 4% 88%  
123 4% 84%  
124 5% 80%  
125 8% 75%  
126 7% 67%  
127 8% 59%  
128 6% 52% Median
129 8% 45%  
130 8% 37%  
131 6% 29%  
132 5% 23%  
133 5% 18%  
134 4% 13%  
135 3% 9% Last Result
136 2% 6%  
137 2% 4%  
138 1.0% 3%  
139 0.7% 2%  
140 0.5% 1.1%  
141 0.2% 0.6%  
142 0.2% 0.4%  
143 0.1% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.2% 99.8%  
102 0.3% 99.6%  
103 0.4% 99.3%  
104 0.7% 98.9%  
105 1.3% 98%  
106 1.3% 97%  
107 2% 96%  
108 3% 94%  
109 3% 90%  
110 5% 87%  
111 7% 82%  
112 6% 75%  
113 7% 69%  
114 9% 62%  
115 7% 53% Median
116 9% 46%  
117 8% 37%  
118 6% 30%  
119 5% 24%  
120 6% 18%  
121 3% 13%  
122 3% 9%  
123 2% 7%  
124 1.3% 4%  
125 1.0% 3%  
126 0.8% 2%  
127 0.4% 1.1%  
128 0.3% 0.6%  
129 0.2% 0.4%  
130 0.1% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.2% 99.8%  
99 0.4% 99.5%  
100 0.5% 99.2%  
101 0.7% 98.6%  
102 1.2% 98%  
103 2% 97%  
104 2% 95%  
105 4% 93%  
106 5% 89%  
107 5% 84%  
108 5% 79%  
109 7% 75%  
110 9% 68%  
111 8% 59%  
112 8% 50% Median
113 6% 42%  
114 8% 36%  
115 6% 28%  
116 6% 22%  
117 5% 16%  
118 3% 11%  
119 2% 8%  
120 2% 5%  
121 1.3% 3%  
122 0.9% 2%  
123 0.5% 1.3%  
124 0.3% 0.8%  
125 0.2% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
127 0.1% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.8%  
82 0.2% 99.7%  
83 0.5% 99.5%  
84 0.6% 99.0%  
85 1.2% 98%  
86 1.3% 97%  
87 3% 96%  
88 3% 93%  
89 4% 90%  
90 5% 86%  
91 6% 81%  
92 9% 75%  
93 7% 66%  
94 8% 59%  
95 8% 51% Median
96 9% 43%  
97 8% 34%  
98 6% 26%  
99 5% 20%  
100 4% 15%  
101 4% 11%  
102 3% 7%  
103 2% 5%  
104 1.3% 3%  
105 0.7% 2%  
106 0.5% 1.1%  
107 0.3% 0.6%  
108 0.1% 0.3%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1% Last Result
112 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.7%  
71 0.5% 99.5%  
72 0.9% 99.0%  
73 1.1% 98%  
74 3% 97%  
75 2% 94%  
76 4% 92%  
77 5% 89%  
78 5% 83%  
79 12% 78%  
80 5% 67%  
81 9% 61%  
82 10% 53% Median
83 6% 43%  
84 12% 37%  
85 5% 24%  
86 5% 20%  
87 5% 15%  
88 2% 10%  
89 4% 8% Last Result
90 1.4% 4%  
91 1.2% 3%  
92 0.7% 2%  
93 0.3% 0.8%  
94 0.3% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.5% 99.5%  
69 0.7% 99.1%  
70 1.2% 98%  
71 2% 97%  
72 3% 95%  
73 4% 92%  
74 5% 88%  
75 7% 84%  
76 8% 77%  
77 7% 69%  
78 10% 62%  
79 10% 52% Median
80 7% 42%  
81 8% 35%  
82 7% 27%  
83 5% 20%  
84 4% 14%  
85 4% 10%  
86 3% 7% Last Result
87 1.4% 4%  
88 1.3% 3%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 0.4% 0.8%  
91 0.2% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.8%  
52 0.4% 99.5%  
53 1.0% 99.1%  
54 1.5% 98%  
55 3% 97%  
56 3% 94%  
57 5% 90%  
58 6% 86%  
59 8% 79%  
60 10% 71%  
61 9% 61%  
62 9% 52% Median
63 10% 43%  
64 8% 33%  
65 7% 25%  
66 5% 18%  
67 5% 13%  
68 3% 8%  
69 2% 5%  
70 1.4% 3%  
71 0.9% 2% Last Result
72 0.5% 1.0%  
73 0.2% 0.5%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 0.5% 99.7%  
41 1.0% 99.1%  
42 2% 98%  
43 3% 96%  
44 5% 93%  
45 6% 89%  
46 8% 83%  
47 9% 75%  
48 11% 65%  
49 12% 55% Last Result, Median
50 10% 43%  
51 9% 33%  
52 7% 24%  
53 6% 17%  
54 4% 11%  
55 3% 7%  
56 2% 4%  
57 1.0% 2%  
58 0.7% 1.3%  
59 0.3% 0.6%  
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations