Opinion Poll by INSCOP for Informat.ro, 25 October–2 November 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 18.0% 38.0% 36.9–39.2% 36.5–39.5% 36.3–39.8% 35.7–40.3%
Partidul Social Democrat 22.0% 19.5% 18.6–20.5% 18.3–20.7% 18.1–21.0% 17.7–21.4%
Partidul Național Liberal 13.2% 14.6% 13.8–15.5% 13.6–15.7% 13.4–15.9% 13.0–16.3%
Uniunea Salvați România 12.4% 12.3% 11.6–13.1% 11.3–13.3% 11.2–13.5% 10.8–13.9%
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 6.3% 4.8% 4.3–5.3% 4.2–5.5% 4.1–5.6% 3.9–5.9%
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate 3.0% 3.2% 2.8–3.7% 2.7–3.8% 2.6–3.9% 2.5–4.1%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 6.5% 3.1% 2.7–3.6% 2.6–3.7% 2.5–3.8% 2.4–4.0%
Partidul S.O.S. România 7.4% 1.7% 1.4–2.1% 1.4–2.1% 1.3–2.2% 1.2–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 133 129–137 128–138 127–139 126–141
Partidul Social Democrat 86 68 65–71 64–72 63–73 62–75
Partidul Național Liberal 49 51 48–54 47–54 47–55 45–56
Uniunea Salvați România 40 44 41–46 41–47 40–47 39–48
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 22 16 15–18 14–19 14–19 13–20
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 24 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul S.O.S. România 28 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.3% 99.8%  
126 0.9% 99.6%  
127 2% 98.6%  
128 3% 97%  
129 6% 94%  
130 6% 88%  
131 11% 81%  
132 14% 70%  
133 12% 56% Median
134 11% 44%  
135 10% 33%  
136 10% 23%  
137 7% 13%  
138 3% 7%  
139 2% 3%  
140 0.8% 1.5%  
141 0.4% 0.7%  
142 0.2% 0.3%  
143 0.1% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.3% 99.9%  
62 0.8% 99.7%  
63 2% 98.8%  
64 3% 97%  
65 8% 93%  
66 11% 85%  
67 15% 74%  
68 14% 59% Median
69 16% 46%  
70 13% 30%  
71 7% 16%  
72 5% 9%  
73 3% 4%  
74 1.1% 2%  
75 0.4% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.5% 99.8%  
46 1.5% 99.3%  
47 5% 98%  
48 10% 93%  
49 14% 84% Last Result
50 18% 70%  
51 17% 52% Median
52 14% 35%  
53 10% 21%  
54 5% 10%  
55 4% 5%  
56 0.9% 1.3%  
57 0.3% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.3% 99.9%  
39 0.9% 99.5%  
40 3% 98.6% Last Result
41 8% 95%  
42 17% 87%  
43 19% 70%  
44 22% 51% Median
45 15% 30%  
46 9% 15%  
47 4% 6%  
48 1.1% 1.4%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.9% 99.9%  
14 6% 99.1%  
15 15% 93%  
16 28% 78% Median
17 26% 50%  
18 16% 23%  
19 5% 7%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0% Last Result

Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul S.O.S. România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 197 179 100% 175–183 174–184 173–185 171–186
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 175 163 14% 159–166 158–168 157–169 154–170
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 157 135 0% 131–139 131–140 130–141 128–143
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 133 0% 129–137 128–138 127–139 126–141
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal 135 119 0% 115–123 114–124 113–124 112–126
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România 126 112 0% 108–115 107–117 106–117 105–119
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 111 111 0% 107–114 106–115 105–116 103–118
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 89 94 0% 91–98 90–99 89–100 87–101
Partidul Social Democrat 86 68 0% 65–71 64–72 63–73 62–75
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 71 67 0% 64–70 63–71 63–72 61–74
Partidul Național Liberal 49 51 0% 48–54 47–54 47–55 45–56

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0.1% 100%  
170 0.2% 99.9%  
171 0.4% 99.7%  
172 0.8% 99.3%  
173 2% 98.5%  
174 3% 97%  
175 7% 93%  
176 10% 87%  
177 10% 77%  
178 11% 67%  
179 12% 56% Median
180 14% 44%  
181 11% 30%  
182 6% 19%  
183 6% 12%  
184 3% 6%  
185 2% 3%  
186 0.9% 1.4%  
187 0.3% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0.2% 100%  
154 0.3% 99.8%  
155 0.6% 99.5%  
156 1.2% 98.9%  
157 3% 98%  
158 4% 95%  
159 10% 91%  
160 11% 81%  
161 9% 70%  
162 9% 61%  
163 16% 52% Median
164 12% 36%  
165 10% 24%  
166 6% 14% Majority
167 3% 8%  
168 3% 5%  
169 2% 3%  
170 0.5% 0.8%  
171 0.2% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0.1% 100%  
127 0.3% 99.9%  
128 0.4% 99.6%  
129 1.3% 99.2%  
130 2% 98%  
131 6% 96%  
132 6% 89%  
133 13% 83%  
134 9% 71%  
135 15% 61% Median
136 8% 46%  
137 15% 38%  
138 7% 23%  
139 8% 16%  
140 4% 8%  
141 3% 5%  
142 0.8% 2%  
143 0.5% 0.8%  
144 0.2% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.3% 99.8%  
126 0.9% 99.6%  
127 2% 98.6%  
128 3% 97%  
129 6% 94%  
130 6% 88%  
131 11% 81%  
132 14% 70%  
133 12% 56% Median
134 11% 44%  
135 10% 33%  
136 10% 23%  
137 7% 13%  
138 3% 7%  
139 2% 3%  
140 0.8% 1.5%  
141 0.4% 0.7%  
142 0.2% 0.3%  
143 0.1% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0.2% 99.9%  
111 0.3% 99.8%  
112 0.6% 99.5%  
113 2% 98.9%  
114 4% 97%  
115 5% 94%  
116 11% 88%  
117 13% 77%  
118 12% 64%  
119 10% 52% Median
120 11% 42%  
121 11% 31%  
122 9% 20%  
123 6% 11%  
124 3% 5%  
125 1.3% 2%  
126 0.5% 0.9%  
127 0.3% 0.4%  
128 0.1% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.2% 99.8%  
105 0.9% 99.6%  
106 2% 98.7%  
107 3% 97%  
108 4% 94%  
109 12% 89%  
110 14% 77%  
111 10% 63%  
112 10% 53% Median
113 14% 42%  
114 15% 28%  
115 5% 13%  
116 3% 8%  
117 3% 5%  
118 2% 2%  
119 0.3% 0.6%  
120 0.1% 0.2%  
121 0.1% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0.1% 100%  
103 0.4% 99.8%  
104 1.0% 99.4%  
105 2% 98%  
106 3% 97%  
107 7% 94%  
108 9% 87%  
109 9% 77%  
110 12% 68%  
111 16% 56% Last Result, Median
112 14% 40%  
113 9% 25%  
114 7% 17%  
115 5% 9%  
116 3% 4%  
117 0.9% 2%  
118 0.6% 1.0%  
119 0.3% 0.4%  
120 0.1% 0.1%  
121 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0.2% 99.9%  
87 0.6% 99.8%  
88 0.9% 99.2%  
89 2% 98% Last Result
90 4% 96%  
91 8% 92%  
92 9% 83%  
93 15% 74%  
94 12% 59%  
95 15% 47% Median
96 12% 32%  
97 10% 20%  
98 4% 10%  
99 3% 6%  
100 1.4% 3%  
101 0.8% 1.2%  
102 0.3% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.3% 99.9%  
62 0.8% 99.7%  
63 2% 98.8%  
64 3% 97%  
65 8% 93%  
66 11% 85%  
67 15% 74%  
68 14% 59% Median
69 16% 46%  
70 13% 30%  
71 7% 16%  
72 5% 9%  
73 3% 4%  
74 1.1% 2%  
75 0.4% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.6% 99.7%  
62 2% 99.1%  
63 4% 98%  
64 7% 93%  
65 10% 86%  
66 15% 76%  
67 16% 61% Median
68 16% 45%  
69 12% 29%  
70 8% 17%  
71 5% 9% Last Result
72 3% 5%  
73 1.2% 2%  
74 0.4% 0.6%  
75 0.2% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.5% 99.8%  
46 1.5% 99.3%  
47 5% 98%  
48 10% 93%  
49 14% 84% Last Result
50 18% 70%  
51 17% 52% Median
52 14% 35%  
53 10% 21%  
54 5% 10%  
55 4% 5%  
56 0.9% 1.3%  
57 0.3% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations