Opinion Poll by IRES, 4–17 December 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 18.0% | 36.0% | 34.1–37.9% | 33.5–38.5% | 33.1–39.0% | 32.2–39.9% |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 22.0% | 21.0% | 19.5–22.8% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.7% | 17.9–24.5% |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 13.2% | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.1–21.3% |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.2–13.0% | 8.7–13.7% |
| Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Partidul Oamenilor Tineri | 6.5% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Partidul S.O.S. România | 7.4% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 6.3% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Reînnoim Proiectul European al României | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 127 | 121–134 | 119–136 | 118–138 | 115–141 |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 75 | 69–80 | 67–81 | 67–83 | 64–86 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 64 | 58–69 | 57–70 | 56–72 | 54–75 |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 40 | 40 | 35–43 | 33–44 | 32–46 | 31–48 |
| Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Partidul Oamenilor Tineri | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Partidul S.O.S. România | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 22 | 6 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 4–10 | 3–11 |
| Reînnoim Proiectul European al României | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 117 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 118 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 119 | 4% | 97% | |
| 120 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 121 | 3% | 93% | |
| 122 | 2% | 89% | |
| 123 | 4% | 87% | |
| 124 | 3% | 83% | |
| 125 | 22% | 80% | |
| 126 | 7% | 58% | |
| 127 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 128 | 4% | 46% | |
| 129 | 4% | 42% | |
| 130 | 6% | 39% | |
| 131 | 12% | 32% | |
| 132 | 5% | 20% | |
| 133 | 4% | 16% | |
| 134 | 3% | 12% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 136 | 2% | 7% | |
| 137 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 138 | 2% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 5% | 93% | |
| 70 | 3% | 88% | |
| 71 | 8% | 85% | |
| 72 | 10% | 77% | |
| 73 | 6% | 67% | |
| 74 | 5% | 61% | |
| 75 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 76 | 23% | 48% | |
| 77 | 6% | 25% | |
| 78 | 4% | 18% | |
| 79 | 4% | 15% | |
| 80 | 3% | 11% | |
| 81 | 4% | 8% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 96% | |
| 58 | 4% | 94% | |
| 59 | 3% | 90% | |
| 60 | 4% | 87% | |
| 61 | 4% | 83% | |
| 62 | 6% | 79% | |
| 63 | 11% | 72% | |
| 64 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 65 | 22% | 49% | |
| 66 | 8% | 27% | |
| 67 | 4% | 19% | |
| 68 | 3% | 16% | |
| 69 | 4% | 13% | |
| 70 | 4% | 8% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Uniunea Salvați România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 33 | 3% | 97% | |
| 34 | 2% | 94% | |
| 35 | 5% | 92% | |
| 36 | 5% | 86% | |
| 37 | 8% | 81% | |
| 38 | 6% | 73% | |
| 39 | 14% | 67% | |
| 40 | 21% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 41 | 13% | 31% | |
| 42 | 8% | 19% | |
| 43 | 5% | 11% | |
| 44 | 2% | 6% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul S.O.S. România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 4 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 7% | 92% | |
| 6 | 43% | 85% | Median |
| 7 | 13% | 41% | |
| 8 | 17% | 29% | |
| 9 | 7% | 12% | |
| 10 | 3% | 5% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reînnoim Proiectul European al României page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 197 | 185 | 100% | 178–191 | 175–193 | 174–194 | 171–197 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România | 175 | 178 | 98.7% | 171–184 | 168–185 | 166–187 | 164–191 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 157 | 146 | 0% | 138–151 | 137–152 | 135–155 | 133–159 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal | 135 | 140 | 0% | 132–144 | 129–146 | 128–148 | 126–152 |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 127 | 0% | 121–134 | 119–136 | 118–138 | 115–141 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România | 126 | 114 | 0% | 108–119 | 106–121 | 104–123 | 101–127 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 111 | 111 | 0% | 103–116 | 102–118 | 100–119 | 97–122 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România | 89 | 104 | 0% | 97–109 | 95–111 | 94–112 | 90–115 |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 75 | 0% | 69–80 | 67–81 | 67–83 | 64–86 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 71 | 71 | 0% | 66–76 | 64–78 | 62–79 | 60–83 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 64 | 0% | 58–69 | 57–70 | 56–72 | 54–75 |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 166 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 167 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 172 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 173 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 174 | 2% | 98% | |
| 175 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 176 | 2% | 95% | |
| 177 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 178 | 3% | 91% | |
| 179 | 4% | 88% | |
| 180 | 5% | 84% | |
| 181 | 12% | 79% | |
| 182 | 6% | 68% | |
| 183 | 4% | 61% | |
| 184 | 4% | 58% | |
| 185 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 186 | 7% | 49% | |
| 187 | 22% | 42% | |
| 188 | 3% | 20% | |
| 189 | 4% | 17% | |
| 190 | 2% | 13% | |
| 191 | 3% | 11% | |
| 192 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 193 | 4% | 6% | |
| 194 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 195 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 166 | 1.3% | 98.7% | Majority |
| 167 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 168 | 3% | 97% | |
| 169 | 2% | 94% | |
| 170 | 3% | 93% | |
| 171 | 3% | 90% | |
| 172 | 3% | 87% | |
| 173 | 4% | 84% | |
| 174 | 3% | 80% | |
| 175 | 12% | 77% | Last Result |
| 176 | 5% | 65% | |
| 177 | 7% | 60% | |
| 178 | 4% | 53% | |
| 179 | 6% | 49% | Median |
| 180 | 4% | 42% | |
| 181 | 20% | 38% | |
| 182 | 4% | 18% | |
| 183 | 3% | 14% | |
| 184 | 2% | 11% | |
| 185 | 5% | 9% | |
| 186 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 187 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 188 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 134 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 135 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 136 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 137 | 5% | 96% | |
| 138 | 2% | 91% | |
| 139 | 4% | 90% | |
| 140 | 8% | 86% | |
| 141 | 2% | 78% | |
| 142 | 8% | 76% | |
| 143 | 4% | 68% | |
| 144 | 3% | 64% | |
| 145 | 6% | 62% | Median |
| 146 | 6% | 55% | |
| 147 | 21% | 50% | |
| 148 | 5% | 29% | |
| 149 | 7% | 24% | |
| 150 | 7% | 17% | |
| 151 | 2% | 10% | |
| 152 | 3% | 8% | |
| 153 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 155 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 158 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 128 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 129 | 4% | 97% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 131 | 2% | 92% | |
| 132 | 3% | 90% | |
| 133 | 3% | 87% | |
| 134 | 7% | 84% | |
| 135 | 5% | 78% | Last Result |
| 136 | 9% | 73% | |
| 137 | 5% | 64% | |
| 138 | 4% | 59% | |
| 139 | 4% | 55% | Median |
| 140 | 4% | 51% | |
| 141 | 20% | 47% | |
| 142 | 9% | 27% | |
| 143 | 6% | 18% | |
| 144 | 4% | 12% | |
| 145 | 2% | 8% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 148 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 117 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 118 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 119 | 4% | 97% | |
| 120 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 121 | 3% | 93% | |
| 122 | 2% | 89% | |
| 123 | 4% | 87% | |
| 124 | 3% | 83% | |
| 125 | 22% | 80% | |
| 126 | 7% | 58% | |
| 127 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 128 | 4% | 46% | |
| 129 | 4% | 42% | |
| 130 | 6% | 39% | |
| 131 | 12% | 32% | |
| 132 | 5% | 20% | |
| 133 | 4% | 16% | |
| 134 | 3% | 12% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 136 | 2% | 7% | |
| 137 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 138 | 2% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 104 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 105 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 106 | 2% | 96% | |
| 107 | 3% | 94% | |
| 108 | 4% | 91% | |
| 109 | 7% | 87% | |
| 110 | 6% | 81% | |
| 111 | 8% | 74% | |
| 112 | 5% | 66% | |
| 113 | 6% | 61% | |
| 114 | 7% | 54% | |
| 115 | 4% | 47% | Median |
| 116 | 19% | 43% | |
| 117 | 4% | 23% | |
| 118 | 5% | 19% | |
| 119 | 6% | 14% | |
| 120 | 2% | 8% | |
| 121 | 2% | 6% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 124 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 127 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 103 | 5% | 94% | |
| 104 | 3% | 89% | |
| 105 | 5% | 86% | |
| 106 | 3% | 81% | |
| 107 | 5% | 78% | |
| 108 | 5% | 73% | |
| 109 | 14% | 67% | |
| 110 | 2% | 53% | Median |
| 111 | 23% | 51% | Last Result |
| 112 | 5% | 28% | |
| 113 | 4% | 23% | |
| 114 | 3% | 19% | |
| 115 | 2% | 15% | |
| 116 | 4% | 13% | |
| 117 | 4% | 9% | |
| 118 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 119 | 2% | 4% | |
| 120 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 2% | 96% | |
| 96 | 3% | 95% | |
| 97 | 5% | 92% | |
| 98 | 5% | 87% | |
| 99 | 5% | 82% | |
| 100 | 4% | 78% | |
| 101 | 3% | 74% | |
| 102 | 8% | 71% | |
| 103 | 11% | 63% | |
| 104 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 105 | 21% | 45% | |
| 106 | 5% | 24% | |
| 107 | 4% | 19% | |
| 108 | 3% | 14% | |
| 109 | 3% | 11% | |
| 110 | 3% | 8% | |
| 111 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 112 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 113 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 5% | 93% | |
| 70 | 3% | 88% | |
| 71 | 8% | 85% | |
| 72 | 10% | 77% | |
| 73 | 6% | 67% | |
| 74 | 5% | 61% | |
| 75 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 76 | 23% | 48% | |
| 77 | 6% | 25% | |
| 78 | 4% | 18% | |
| 79 | 4% | 15% | |
| 80 | 3% | 11% | |
| 81 | 4% | 8% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 64 | 3% | 95% | |
| 65 | 2% | 92% | |
| 66 | 4% | 90% | |
| 67 | 5% | 86% | |
| 68 | 5% | 82% | |
| 69 | 9% | 76% | |
| 70 | 13% | 67% | Median |
| 71 | 22% | 54% | Last Result |
| 72 | 8% | 33% | |
| 73 | 4% | 24% | |
| 74 | 5% | 21% | |
| 75 | 5% | 16% | |
| 76 | 3% | 11% | |
| 77 | 3% | 9% | |
| 78 | 3% | 6% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 96% | |
| 58 | 4% | 94% | |
| 59 | 3% | 90% | |
| 60 | 4% | 87% | |
| 61 | 4% | 83% | |
| 62 | 6% | 79% | |
| 63 | 11% | 72% | |
| 64 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 65 | 22% | 49% | |
| 66 | 8% | 27% | |
| 67 | 4% | 19% | |
| 68 | 3% | 16% | |
| 69 | 4% | 13% | |
| 70 | 4% | 8% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IRES
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 4–17 December 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1012
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.19%