Opinion Poll by CURS, 10–19 December 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 18.0% 35.0% 33.1–36.9% 32.6–37.4% 32.1–37.9% 31.3–38.8%
Partidul Social Democrat 22.0% 22.0% 20.5–23.7% 20.0–24.2% 19.6–24.6% 18.9–25.4%
Partidul Național Liberal 13.2% 19.0% 17.5–20.6% 17.1–21.1% 16.8–21.5% 16.1–22.3%
Uniunea Salvați România 12.4% 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.5%
Partidul S.O.S. România 7.4% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 6.3% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 6.5% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 118 111–126 108–128 107–130 104–132
Partidul Social Democrat 86 74 68–80 67–82 65–84 63–87
Partidul Național Liberal 49 64 58–70 57–72 56–73 53–76
Uniunea Salvați România 40 30 26–34 25–35 24–37 23–39
Partidul S.O.S. România 28 16 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–22
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 22 16 14–20 13–21 12–21 11–23
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 24 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.2% 99.8%  
104 0.4% 99.6%  
105 0.6% 99.2%  
106 0.9% 98.6%  
107 2% 98%  
108 2% 96%  
109 2% 95%  
110 2% 92%  
111 4% 90%  
112 4% 87%  
113 6% 82%  
114 6% 76%  
115 7% 70%  
116 6% 64%  
117 6% 58%  
118 5% 52% Median
119 5% 47%  
120 6% 41%  
121 7% 35%  
122 6% 28%  
123 6% 22%  
124 4% 17%  
125 2% 13%  
126 2% 10%  
127 2% 8%  
128 2% 6%  
129 2% 4%  
130 1.0% 3%  
131 0.7% 2%  
132 0.4% 0.9%  
133 0.2% 0.5%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0.4% 99.5%  
64 0.8% 99.1%  
65 1.1% 98%  
66 2% 97%  
67 3% 95%  
68 5% 92%  
69 4% 88%  
70 6% 84%  
71 6% 78%  
72 8% 71%  
73 8% 63%  
74 9% 55% Median
75 7% 45%  
76 7% 38%  
77 7% 31%  
78 6% 24%  
79 5% 18%  
80 4% 13%  
81 3% 9%  
82 2% 6%  
83 1.4% 4%  
84 1.1% 3%  
85 0.7% 2%  
86 0.4% 1.0% Last Result
87 0.3% 0.7%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.3% 99.7%  
54 0.6% 99.5%  
55 1.2% 98.9%  
56 2% 98%  
57 3% 96%  
58 4% 93%  
59 5% 89%  
60 6% 84%  
61 8% 78%  
62 8% 71%  
63 8% 62%  
64 8% 55% Median
65 9% 46%  
66 9% 37%  
67 7% 28%  
68 6% 21%  
69 5% 16%  
70 3% 11%  
71 3% 8%  
72 2% 5%  
73 1.1% 3%  
74 0.7% 2%  
75 0.5% 1.2%  
76 0.3% 0.6%  
77 0.2% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.3% 99.9%  
23 0.6% 99.6%  
24 2% 99.0%  
25 3% 97%  
26 5% 94%  
27 9% 89%  
28 12% 80%  
29 11% 68%  
30 13% 57% Median
31 12% 44%  
32 10% 32%  
33 8% 22%  
34 6% 14%  
35 3% 8%  
36 2% 5%  
37 1.4% 3%  
38 0.7% 1.2%  
39 0.4% 0.6%  
40 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 0% 51%  
8 0% 51%  
9 0% 51%  
10 0% 51%  
11 0% 51%  
12 0% 51%  
13 0% 51%  
14 0% 51%  
15 0% 51%  
16 7% 51% Median
17 17% 44%  
18 12% 27%  
19 8% 15%  
20 4% 7%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.8% 1.3%  
23 0.3% 0.4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.8% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.1%  
13 5% 97%  
14 9% 92%  
15 17% 83%  
16 20% 66% Median
17 13% 46%  
18 12% 33%  
19 7% 20%  
20 7% 13%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.2% 2% Last Result
23 0.5% 0.9%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 197 185 99.9% 175–195 173–197 172–199 168–202
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 175 168 61% 159–178 157–180 156–182 152–184
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 157 155 6% 146–164 144–166 142–168 139–171
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal 135 138 0% 130–147 128–149 126–151 123–154
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 118 0% 111–126 108–128 107–130 104–132
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 111 111 0% 103–118 101–120 100–122 97–126
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România 126 104 0% 97–112 95–114 94–115 91–119
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 89 94 0% 87–101 86–103 84–105 81–108
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 71 81 0% 74–87 73–89 71–91 69–94
Partidul Social Democrat 86 74 0% 68–80 67–82 65–84 63–87
Partidul Național Liberal 49 64 0% 58–70 57–72 56–73 53–76

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
165 0.1% 100%  
166 0.1% 99.9% Majority
167 0.1% 99.8%  
168 0.2% 99.7%  
169 0.2% 99.5%  
170 0.4% 99.2%  
171 0.8% 98.8%  
172 2% 98%  
173 2% 96%  
174 2% 95%  
175 3% 92%  
176 3% 89%  
177 3% 87%  
178 4% 84%  
179 4% 80%  
180 6% 75%  
181 6% 70%  
182 5% 64%  
183 4% 58%  
184 4% 54% Median
185 4% 51%  
186 3% 47%  
187 4% 44%  
188 5% 40%  
189 5% 35%  
190 5% 30%  
191 5% 25%  
192 4% 20%  
193 3% 16%  
194 3% 13%  
195 2% 10%  
196 2% 8%  
197 2% 6% Last Result
198 2% 4%  
199 1.1% 3%  
200 0.6% 2%  
201 0.4% 1.0%  
202 0.2% 0.6%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0.1% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0.1% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.2% 99.8%  
152 0.2% 99.5%  
153 0.1% 99.4%  
154 0.2% 99.2%  
155 0.9% 99.0%  
156 2% 98%  
157 2% 96%  
158 3% 94%  
159 3% 91%  
160 2% 88%  
161 1.4% 86%  
162 4% 84%  
163 5% 80%  
164 6% 75%  
165 9% 70%  
166 6% 61% Majority
167 4% 55%  
168 3% 51% Median
169 3% 47%  
170 3% 45%  
171 4% 42%  
172 6% 38%  
173 6% 31%  
174 7% 25%  
175 5% 19% Last Result
176 3% 14%  
177 1.4% 12%  
178 1.4% 10%  
179 2% 9%  
180 3% 7%  
181 2% 5%  
182 1.3% 3%  
183 0.7% 1.5%  
184 0.3% 0.8%  
185 0.1% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.8%  
139 0.3% 99.6%  
140 0.6% 99.4%  
141 0.5% 98.8%  
142 1.0% 98%  
143 2% 97%  
144 2% 95%  
145 2% 94%  
146 4% 92%  
147 4% 89%  
148 3% 84%  
149 4% 81%  
150 6% 77%  
151 4% 71%  
152 5% 67%  
153 6% 62%  
154 5% 55% Median
155 5% 51%  
156 4% 46%  
157 6% 41% Last Result
158 5% 36%  
159 4% 30%  
160 5% 26%  
161 5% 21%  
162 3% 17%  
163 3% 14%  
164 3% 11%  
165 2% 8%  
166 1.5% 6% Majority
167 1.2% 4%  
168 1.2% 3%  
169 0.6% 2%  
170 0.5% 1.2%  
171 0.3% 0.7%  
172 0.2% 0.5%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.2% 99.8%  
123 0.3% 99.6%  
124 0.4% 99.3%  
125 0.8% 98.9%  
126 1.0% 98%  
127 1.2% 97%  
128 2% 96%  
129 2% 94%  
130 3% 92%  
131 4% 89%  
132 3% 84%  
133 5% 81%  
134 7% 76%  
135 4% 69% Last Result
136 6% 65%  
137 6% 59%  
138 5% 53% Median
139 6% 48%  
140 7% 43%  
141 4% 36%  
142 5% 32%  
143 6% 27%  
144 4% 20%  
145 3% 17%  
146 3% 13%  
147 2% 10%  
148 2% 8%  
149 2% 6%  
150 1.5% 4%  
151 0.8% 3%  
152 0.7% 2%  
153 0.5% 1.2%  
154 0.3% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.4%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0.1% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.2% 99.8%  
104 0.4% 99.6%  
105 0.6% 99.2%  
106 0.9% 98.6%  
107 2% 98%  
108 2% 96%  
109 2% 95%  
110 2% 92%  
111 4% 90%  
112 4% 87%  
113 6% 82%  
114 6% 76%  
115 7% 70%  
116 6% 64%  
117 6% 58%  
118 5% 52% Median
119 5% 47%  
120 6% 41%  
121 7% 35%  
122 6% 28%  
123 6% 22%  
124 4% 17%  
125 2% 13%  
126 2% 10%  
127 2% 8%  
128 2% 6%  
129 2% 4%  
130 1.0% 3%  
131 0.7% 2%  
132 0.4% 0.9%  
133 0.2% 0.5%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.2% 99.8%  
97 0.3% 99.6%  
98 0.4% 99.3%  
99 0.7% 98.9%  
100 1.5% 98%  
101 2% 97%  
102 3% 95%  
103 2% 92%  
104 4% 90%  
105 4% 85%  
106 6% 81%  
107 5% 75%  
108 7% 70%  
109 5% 64%  
110 7% 58% Median
111 6% 51% Last Result
112 6% 45%  
113 7% 38%  
114 5% 31%  
115 5% 27%  
116 5% 22%  
117 3% 16%  
118 4% 13%  
119 3% 10%  
120 2% 7%  
121 2% 5%  
122 0.9% 3%  
123 0.6% 2%  
124 0.8% 2%  
125 0.3% 0.9%  
126 0.2% 0.6%  
127 0.2% 0.4%  
128 0.1% 0.2%  
129 0.1% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.8%  
91 0.3% 99.6%  
92 0.7% 99.3%  
93 0.9% 98.6%  
94 1.1% 98%  
95 2% 97%  
96 3% 95%  
97 2% 92%  
98 5% 90%  
99 4% 85%  
100 6% 80%  
101 7% 74%  
102 6% 68%  
103 7% 61%  
104 7% 55% Median
105 6% 47%  
106 7% 42%  
107 6% 35%  
108 5% 29%  
109 6% 24%  
110 4% 18%  
111 4% 14%  
112 3% 10%  
113 2% 8%  
114 1.3% 5%  
115 1.5% 4%  
116 0.8% 2%  
117 0.7% 2%  
118 0.3% 1.0%  
119 0.3% 0.6%  
120 0.1% 0.3%  
121 0.1% 0.2%  
122 0.1% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.9%  
81 0.3% 99.7%  
82 0.4% 99.4%  
83 0.8% 99.0%  
84 1.3% 98%  
85 2% 97%  
86 3% 95%  
87 3% 93%  
88 4% 89%  
89 5% 86% Last Result
90 6% 80%  
91 5% 74%  
92 7% 69%  
93 7% 62%  
94 8% 54% Median
95 7% 47%  
96 6% 40%  
97 7% 34%  
98 6% 27%  
99 5% 21%  
100 4% 17%  
101 4% 12%  
102 3% 9%  
103 2% 6%  
104 2% 5%  
105 1.0% 3%  
106 0.6% 2%  
107 0.5% 1.2%  
108 0.3% 0.7%  
109 0.2% 0.4%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0.1% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.4% 99.5%  
70 0.7% 99.2%  
71 1.3% 98% Last Result
72 2% 97%  
73 3% 95%  
74 3% 92%  
75 5% 89%  
76 5% 84%  
77 5% 78%  
78 8% 73%  
79 8% 66%  
80 8% 58% Median
81 8% 50%  
82 7% 42%  
83 7% 35%  
84 6% 28%  
85 5% 22%  
86 4% 17%  
87 3% 12%  
88 3% 9%  
89 2% 6%  
90 1.4% 4%  
91 1.0% 3%  
92 0.7% 2%  
93 0.4% 1.0%  
94 0.3% 0.6%  
95 0.2% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0.4% 99.5%  
64 0.8% 99.1%  
65 1.1% 98%  
66 2% 97%  
67 3% 95%  
68 5% 92%  
69 4% 88%  
70 6% 84%  
71 6% 78%  
72 8% 71%  
73 8% 63%  
74 9% 55% Median
75 7% 45%  
76 7% 38%  
77 7% 31%  
78 6% 24%  
79 5% 18%  
80 4% 13%  
81 3% 9%  
82 2% 6%  
83 1.4% 4%  
84 1.1% 3%  
85 0.7% 2%  
86 0.4% 1.0% Last Result
87 0.3% 0.7%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.3% 99.7%  
54 0.6% 99.5%  
55 1.2% 98.9%  
56 2% 98%  
57 3% 96%  
58 4% 93%  
59 5% 89%  
60 6% 84%  
61 8% 78%  
62 8% 71%  
63 8% 62%  
64 8% 55% Median
65 9% 46%  
66 9% 37%  
67 7% 28%  
68 6% 21%  
69 5% 16%  
70 3% 11%  
71 3% 8%  
72 2% 5%  
73 1.1% 3%  
74 0.7% 2%  
75 0.5% 1.2%  
76 0.3% 0.6%  
77 0.2% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations