Opinion Poll by CURS, 14–23 January 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 18.0% 35.0% 33.1–36.9% 32.6–37.4% 32.1–37.9% 31.3–38.8%
Partidul Social Democrat 22.0% 23.0% 21.4–24.7% 20.9–25.2% 20.5–25.6% 19.8–26.4%
Partidul Național Liberal 13.2% 18.0% 16.6–19.6% 16.1–20.0% 15.8–20.4% 15.1–21.2%
Uniunea Salvați România 12.4% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.4–12.0% 7.9–12.6%
Partidul S.O.S. România 7.4% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 6.3% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 6.5% 2.0% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 117 109–124 107–126 106–128 103–132
Partidul Social Democrat 86 77 70–83 69–85 68–86 65–89
Partidul Național Liberal 49 60 55–66 53–67 52–69 50–71
Uniunea Salvați România 40 33 29–37 28–39 27–40 26–42
Partidul S.O.S. România 28 16 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–22
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 22 16 14–20 13–20 12–21 11–23
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 24 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.2% 99.7%  
103 0.4% 99.5%  
104 0.6% 99.2%  
105 0.8% 98.5%  
106 1.3% 98%  
107 2% 96%  
108 3% 95%  
109 4% 92%  
110 3% 88%  
111 5% 85%  
112 5% 80%  
113 6% 75%  
114 6% 69%  
115 6% 63%  
116 6% 57%  
117 7% 51% Median
118 7% 44%  
119 6% 38%  
120 5% 32%  
121 5% 26%  
122 4% 21%  
123 3% 16%  
124 4% 13%  
125 3% 10%  
126 2% 7%  
127 1.4% 5%  
128 1.2% 4%  
129 0.9% 2%  
130 0.5% 1.5%  
131 0.5% 1.0%  
132 0.2% 0.5%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.4% 99.6%  
66 0.6% 99.3%  
67 1.1% 98.6%  
68 2% 98%  
69 2% 96%  
70 4% 93%  
71 5% 90%  
72 6% 85%  
73 6% 79%  
74 7% 73%  
75 7% 66%  
76 9% 59%  
77 9% 50% Median
78 7% 42%  
79 7% 34%  
80 7% 27%  
81 5% 20%  
82 4% 15%  
83 3% 11%  
84 2% 8%  
85 2% 6%  
86 2% 4% Last Result
87 0.8% 2%  
88 0.7% 1.4%  
89 0.3% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.5%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
50 0.5% 99.5%  
51 1.0% 99.0%  
52 2% 98%  
53 3% 97%  
54 4% 94%  
55 5% 90%  
56 6% 85%  
57 8% 79%  
58 8% 71%  
59 10% 63%  
60 8% 53% Median
61 9% 45%  
62 7% 35%  
63 8% 28%  
64 5% 21%  
65 5% 15%  
66 3% 10%  
67 3% 7%  
68 2% 4%  
69 0.9% 3%  
70 0.7% 2%  
71 0.4% 0.9%  
72 0.2% 0.5%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.3% 99.9%  
26 0.8% 99.5%  
27 2% 98.7%  
28 3% 97%  
29 5% 94%  
30 7% 89%  
31 9% 82%  
32 11% 72%  
33 14% 61% Median
34 13% 47%  
35 10% 34%  
36 9% 24%  
37 6% 16%  
38 4% 10%  
39 2% 6%  
40 2% 3% Last Result
41 1.0% 2%  
42 0.5% 0.9%  
43 0.2% 0.4%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 0% 51%  
8 0% 51%  
9 0% 51%  
10 0% 51%  
11 0% 51%  
12 0% 51%  
13 0% 51%  
14 0% 51%  
15 0% 51%  
16 11% 51% Median
17 15% 39%  
18 12% 25%  
19 7% 13%  
20 4% 6%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.7% 1.1%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.1% 99.9%  
12 2% 98.8%  
13 6% 96%  
14 10% 91%  
15 19% 81%  
16 18% 62% Median
17 15% 45%  
18 11% 30%  
19 7% 19%  
20 7% 11%  
21 2% 4%  
22 1.0% 2% Last Result
23 0.5% 0.8%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 197 186 100% 177–196 175–198 173–200 170–203
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 175 170 72% 161–179 159–181 157–183 154–186
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 157 153 3% 144–162 143–164 141–166 137–169
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal 135 136 0% 128–145 126–147 125–149 122–152
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 117 0% 109–124 107–126 106–128 103–132
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 111 109 0% 103–117 100–119 99–121 96–124
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România 126 110 0% 103–117 101–119 99–121 96–125
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 89 93 0% 87–100 85–102 83–104 80–107
Partidul Social Democrat 86 77 0% 70–83 69–85 68–86 65–89
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 71 76 0% 70–83 69–85 67–86 65–89
Partidul Național Liberal 49 60 0% 55–66 53–67 52–69 50–71

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
166 0% 100% Majority
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.2% 99.8%  
170 0.3% 99.5%  
171 0.4% 99.2%  
172 0.7% 98.8%  
173 1.0% 98%  
174 1.4% 97%  
175 2% 96%  
176 3% 94%  
177 3% 91%  
178 3% 88%  
179 4% 85%  
180 4% 81%  
181 5% 76%  
182 5% 72%  
183 4% 67%  
184 5% 63%  
185 5% 58%  
186 4% 53% Median
187 5% 49%  
188 5% 44%  
189 4% 39%  
190 4% 35%  
191 4% 31%  
192 4% 27%  
193 4% 23%  
194 4% 19%  
195 4% 15%  
196 3% 11%  
197 2% 8% Last Result
198 2% 6%  
199 2% 4%  
200 1.1% 3%  
201 0.6% 2%  
202 0.4% 1.2%  
203 0.4% 0.8%  
204 0.2% 0.4%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0.1% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.2% 99.8%  
154 0.4% 99.5%  
155 0.5% 99.2%  
156 0.6% 98.6%  
157 0.8% 98%  
158 2% 97%  
159 2% 96%  
160 3% 93%  
161 3% 91%  
162 3% 87%  
163 3% 85%  
164 4% 81%  
165 5% 78%  
166 5% 72% Majority
167 6% 67%  
168 5% 62%  
169 4% 56%  
170 5% 52% Median
171 5% 47%  
172 6% 42%  
173 5% 36%  
174 4% 31%  
175 4% 27% Last Result
176 4% 23%  
177 3% 19%  
178 4% 16%  
179 3% 12%  
180 3% 9%  
181 2% 6%  
182 1.4% 5%  
183 1.1% 3%  
184 0.7% 2%  
185 0.5% 1.4%  
186 0.4% 0.8%  
187 0.2% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
134 0% 100%  
135 0.1% 99.9%  
136 0.1% 99.8%  
137 0.3% 99.7%  
138 0.4% 99.4%  
139 0.5% 99.0%  
140 0.8% 98%  
141 1.4% 98%  
142 1.2% 96%  
143 3% 95%  
144 4% 92%  
145 2% 89%  
146 6% 86%  
147 3% 81%  
148 5% 78%  
149 5% 72%  
150 4% 67%  
151 6% 63%  
152 6% 58%  
153 6% 52% Median
154 4% 46%  
155 5% 41%  
156 5% 36%  
157 5% 31% Last Result
158 5% 27%  
159 3% 22%  
160 4% 19%  
161 4% 14%  
162 3% 11%  
163 2% 8%  
164 2% 6%  
165 1.3% 4%  
166 1.1% 3% Majority
167 0.7% 2%  
168 0.5% 1.3%  
169 0.3% 0.8%  
170 0.2% 0.4%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0% 100%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.2% 99.7%  
122 0.4% 99.5%  
123 0.6% 99.1%  
124 0.7% 98.5%  
125 1.1% 98%  
126 2% 97%  
127 2% 95%  
128 3% 92%  
129 4% 90%  
130 4% 86%  
131 4% 82%  
132 5% 78%  
133 5% 73%  
134 6% 67%  
135 5% 61% Last Result
136 7% 56%  
137 6% 50% Median
138 6% 44%  
139 5% 38%  
140 6% 33%  
141 4% 27%  
142 5% 23%  
143 4% 18%  
144 3% 14%  
145 2% 11%  
146 2% 9%  
147 2% 7%  
148 2% 4%  
149 0.9% 3%  
150 0.7% 2%  
151 0.5% 1.2%  
152 0.3% 0.7%  
153 0.2% 0.4%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.2% 99.7%  
103 0.4% 99.5%  
104 0.6% 99.2%  
105 0.8% 98.5%  
106 1.3% 98%  
107 2% 96%  
108 3% 95%  
109 4% 92%  
110 3% 88%  
111 5% 85%  
112 5% 80%  
113 6% 75%  
114 6% 69%  
115 6% 63%  
116 6% 57%  
117 7% 51% Median
118 7% 44%  
119 6% 38%  
120 5% 32%  
121 5% 26%  
122 4% 21%  
123 3% 16%  
124 4% 13%  
125 3% 10%  
126 2% 7%  
127 1.4% 5%  
128 1.2% 4%  
129 0.9% 2%  
130 0.5% 1.5%  
131 0.5% 1.0%  
132 0.2% 0.5%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.2% 99.8%  
96 0.3% 99.6%  
97 0.5% 99.3%  
98 0.9% 98.8%  
99 1.3% 98%  
100 2% 97%  
101 2% 95%  
102 3% 93%  
103 4% 90%  
104 5% 86%  
105 6% 82%  
106 4% 75%  
107 6% 71%  
108 7% 65%  
109 8% 58% Median
110 6% 50%  
111 6% 43% Last Result
112 6% 37%  
113 6% 31%  
114 5% 26%  
115 4% 21%  
116 4% 16%  
117 3% 12%  
118 3% 10%  
119 2% 7%  
120 2% 5%  
121 0.8% 3%  
122 1.0% 2%  
123 0.4% 1.3%  
124 0.4% 0.9%  
125 0.2% 0.5%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0.3% 99.7%  
97 0.4% 99.3%  
98 0.8% 98.9%  
99 1.2% 98%  
100 1.4% 97%  
101 2% 96%  
102 2% 93%  
103 4% 91%  
104 5% 87%  
105 4% 82%  
106 6% 78%  
107 6% 72%  
108 6% 66%  
109 7% 59%  
110 6% 52% Median
111 6% 46%  
112 7% 40%  
113 6% 33%  
114 6% 27%  
115 4% 21%  
116 5% 17%  
117 3% 12%  
118 2% 9%  
119 2% 7%  
120 2% 5%  
121 1.0% 3%  
122 0.8% 2%  
123 0.6% 2%  
124 0.3% 0.9%  
125 0.3% 0.6%  
126 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.8%  
81 0.5% 99.5%  
82 0.6% 99.0%  
83 1.1% 98%  
84 2% 97%  
85 2% 96%  
86 3% 93%  
87 4% 90%  
88 5% 87%  
89 5% 82% Last Result
90 6% 76%  
91 7% 70%  
92 8% 63%  
93 8% 55% Median
94 7% 48%  
95 7% 41%  
96 6% 34%  
97 6% 28%  
98 5% 22%  
99 4% 17%  
100 3% 12%  
101 3% 9%  
102 2% 6%  
103 1.3% 4%  
104 1.2% 3%  
105 0.7% 2%  
106 0.4% 1.2%  
107 0.4% 0.8%  
108 0.1% 0.4%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.4% 99.6%  
66 0.6% 99.3%  
67 1.1% 98.6%  
68 2% 98%  
69 2% 96%  
70 4% 93%  
71 5% 90%  
72 6% 85%  
73 6% 79%  
74 7% 73%  
75 7% 66%  
76 9% 59%  
77 9% 50% Median
78 7% 42%  
79 7% 34%  
80 7% 27%  
81 5% 20%  
82 4% 15%  
83 3% 11%  
84 2% 8%  
85 2% 6%  
86 2% 4% Last Result
87 0.8% 2%  
88 0.7% 1.4%  
89 0.3% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.5%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.8%  
65 0.3% 99.5%  
66 0.8% 99.2%  
67 1.1% 98%  
68 2% 97%  
69 2% 95%  
70 4% 93%  
71 5% 89% Last Result
72 6% 84%  
73 7% 78%  
74 7% 71%  
75 8% 64%  
76 8% 56% Median
77 9% 48%  
78 6% 39%  
79 6% 33%  
80 7% 26%  
81 4% 20%  
82 5% 16%  
83 4% 11%  
84 2% 8%  
85 2% 5%  
86 1.0% 3%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.4% 1.2%  
89 0.4% 0.8%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
50 0.5% 99.5%  
51 1.0% 99.0%  
52 2% 98%  
53 3% 97%  
54 4% 94%  
55 5% 90%  
56 6% 85%  
57 8% 79%  
58 8% 71%  
59 10% 63%  
60 8% 53% Median
61 9% 45%  
62 7% 35%  
63 8% 28%  
64 5% 21%  
65 5% 15%  
66 3% 10%  
67 3% 7%  
68 2% 4%  
69 0.9% 3%  
70 0.7% 2%  
71 0.4% 0.9%  
72 0.2% 0.5%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations