Opinion Poll by ARA for Antena3CNN, 11 February 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 18.0% | 37.0% | 34.7–39.4% | 34.0–40.1% | 33.5–40.6% | 32.4–41.8% |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 22.0% | 25.0% | 23.0–27.2% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.9–28.3% | 21.0–29.4% |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 13.2% | 17.0% | 15.3–18.9% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.4–20.0% | 13.6–20.9% |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.6–12.7% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.9–13.5% | 8.3–14.4% |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.6–6.9% | 3.2–7.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 122 | 114–129 | 112–131 | 110–133 | 107–137 |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 82 | 75–89 | 73–91 | 72–93 | 69–96 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 56 | 50–62 | 48–64 | 47–65 | 44–68 |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 40 | 36 | 31–41 | 30–43 | 29–44 | 27–47 |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 22 | 16 | 13–20 | 12–21 | 11–22 | 10–24 |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 109 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 111 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 112 | 2% | 96% | |
| 113 | 2% | 94% | |
| 114 | 3% | 91% | |
| 115 | 4% | 88% | |
| 116 | 5% | 85% | |
| 117 | 5% | 80% | |
| 118 | 6% | 75% | |
| 119 | 6% | 69% | |
| 120 | 6% | 63% | |
| 121 | 7% | 57% | |
| 122 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 123 | 7% | 44% | |
| 124 | 6% | 37% | |
| 125 | 6% | 31% | |
| 126 | 5% | 25% | |
| 127 | 4% | 20% | |
| 128 | 4% | 16% | |
| 129 | 3% | 12% | |
| 130 | 2% | 9% | |
| 131 | 2% | 7% | |
| 132 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 133 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 2% | 95% | |
| 75 | 3% | 92% | |
| 76 | 4% | 89% | |
| 77 | 5% | 85% | |
| 78 | 6% | 81% | |
| 79 | 6% | 75% | |
| 80 | 7% | 68% | |
| 81 | 7% | 61% | |
| 82 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 83 | 7% | 47% | |
| 84 | 7% | 39% | |
| 85 | 7% | 32% | |
| 86 | 5% | 26% | Last Result |
| 87 | 5% | 20% | |
| 88 | 4% | 16% | |
| 89 | 3% | 12% | |
| 90 | 2% | 8% | |
| 91 | 2% | 6% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 50 | 4% | 92% | |
| 51 | 5% | 87% | |
| 52 | 6% | 82% | |
| 53 | 7% | 76% | |
| 54 | 8% | 69% | |
| 55 | 8% | 60% | |
| 56 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 57 | 8% | 43% | |
| 58 | 7% | 35% | |
| 59 | 7% | 28% | |
| 60 | 5% | 21% | |
| 61 | 5% | 16% | |
| 62 | 3% | 11% | |
| 63 | 3% | 8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 5% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Uniunea Salvați România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98% | |
| 30 | 3% | 96% | |
| 31 | 5% | 93% | |
| 32 | 6% | 89% | |
| 33 | 8% | 82% | |
| 34 | 9% | 74% | |
| 35 | 10% | 65% | |
| 36 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 37 | 10% | 45% | |
| 38 | 9% | 35% | |
| 39 | 8% | 27% | |
| 40 | 6% | 19% | Last Result |
| 41 | 4% | 13% | |
| 42 | 3% | 9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 6% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 12 | 4% | 97% | |
| 13 | 7% | 93% | |
| 14 | 12% | 86% | |
| 15 | 14% | 75% | |
| 16 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 17 | 14% | 47% | |
| 18 | 11% | 33% | |
| 19 | 8% | 22% | |
| 20 | 6% | 13% | |
| 21 | 3% | 7% | |
| 22 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 23 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 197 | 190 | 100% | 183–198 | 181–200 | 179–202 | 175–205 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România | 175 | 174 | 92% | 166–182 | 164–184 | 162–186 | 158–189 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 157 | 154 | 3% | 147–162 | 144–164 | 143–166 | 139–170 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal | 135 | 138 | 0% | 130–146 | 128–148 | 126–150 | 123–154 |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 122 | 0% | 114–129 | 112–131 | 110–133 | 107–137 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România | 126 | 118 | 0% | 111–126 | 109–128 | 107–130 | 103–134 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 111 | 108 | 0% | 101–116 | 99–118 | 97–120 | 94–123 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România | 89 | 92 | 0% | 85–99 | 83–101 | 81–103 | 78–107 |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 82 | 0% | 75–89 | 73–91 | 72–93 | 69–96 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 71 | 72 | 0% | 66–79 | 64–81 | 62–82 | 60–86 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 56 | 0% | 50–62 | 48–64 | 47–65 | 44–68 |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 176 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 177 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 178 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 179 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 180 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 181 | 2% | 95% | |
| 182 | 2% | 93% | |
| 183 | 3% | 91% | |
| 184 | 4% | 88% | |
| 185 | 4% | 84% | |
| 186 | 5% | 80% | |
| 187 | 6% | 75% | |
| 188 | 6% | 69% | |
| 189 | 7% | 63% | |
| 190 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 191 | 7% | 50% | |
| 192 | 6% | 43% | |
| 193 | 6% | 37% | |
| 194 | 6% | 31% | |
| 195 | 5% | 25% | |
| 196 | 5% | 20% | |
| 197 | 4% | 15% | Last Result |
| 198 | 3% | 12% | |
| 199 | 2% | 9% | |
| 200 | 2% | 6% | |
| 201 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 202 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 203 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 162 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 163 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 164 | 2% | 96% | |
| 165 | 2% | 94% | |
| 166 | 2% | 92% | Majority |
| 167 | 3% | 89% | |
| 168 | 4% | 86% | |
| 169 | 4% | 82% | |
| 170 | 6% | 78% | |
| 171 | 5% | 72% | |
| 172 | 6% | 67% | |
| 173 | 6% | 60% | |
| 174 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 175 | 6% | 47% | Last Result |
| 176 | 7% | 41% | |
| 177 | 6% | 34% | |
| 178 | 5% | 29% | |
| 179 | 5% | 23% | |
| 180 | 4% | 18% | |
| 181 | 3% | 14% | |
| 182 | 3% | 11% | |
| 183 | 2% | 8% | |
| 184 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 185 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 186 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 187 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 189 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 143 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 144 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 145 | 2% | 95% | |
| 146 | 3% | 93% | |
| 147 | 3% | 90% | |
| 148 | 4% | 87% | |
| 149 | 4% | 83% | |
| 150 | 5% | 79% | |
| 151 | 6% | 74% | |
| 152 | 7% | 68% | |
| 153 | 6% | 62% | |
| 154 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 155 | 5% | 48% | |
| 156 | 7% | 43% | |
| 157 | 5% | 35% | Last Result |
| 158 | 6% | 30% | |
| 159 | 4% | 24% | |
| 160 | 5% | 20% | |
| 161 | 3% | 15% | |
| 162 | 3% | 12% | |
| 163 | 2% | 9% | |
| 164 | 2% | 7% | |
| 165 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 166 | 1.2% | 3% | Majority |
| 167 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 168 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 125 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 126 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 127 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 128 | 2% | 96% | |
| 129 | 2% | 94% | |
| 130 | 3% | 92% | |
| 131 | 3% | 89% | |
| 132 | 4% | 86% | |
| 133 | 5% | 82% | |
| 134 | 5% | 77% | |
| 135 | 6% | 72% | Last Result |
| 136 | 7% | 66% | |
| 137 | 6% | 59% | |
| 138 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 139 | 7% | 46% | |
| 140 | 6% | 39% | |
| 141 | 5% | 33% | |
| 142 | 6% | 28% | |
| 143 | 5% | 22% | |
| 144 | 4% | 18% | |
| 145 | 3% | 14% | |
| 146 | 3% | 11% | |
| 147 | 2% | 8% | |
| 148 | 2% | 6% | |
| 149 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 150 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 109 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 111 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 112 | 2% | 96% | |
| 113 | 2% | 94% | |
| 114 | 3% | 91% | |
| 115 | 4% | 88% | |
| 116 | 5% | 85% | |
| 117 | 5% | 80% | |
| 118 | 6% | 75% | |
| 119 | 6% | 69% | |
| 120 | 6% | 63% | |
| 121 | 7% | 57% | |
| 122 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 123 | 7% | 44% | |
| 124 | 6% | 37% | |
| 125 | 6% | 31% | |
| 126 | 5% | 25% | |
| 127 | 4% | 20% | |
| 128 | 4% | 16% | |
| 129 | 3% | 12% | |
| 130 | 2% | 9% | |
| 131 | 2% | 7% | |
| 132 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 133 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 106 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 107 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 108 | 2% | 97% | |
| 109 | 2% | 95% | |
| 110 | 3% | 93% | |
| 111 | 3% | 91% | |
| 112 | 4% | 87% | |
| 113 | 5% | 83% | |
| 114 | 5% | 79% | |
| 115 | 6% | 74% | |
| 116 | 6% | 68% | |
| 117 | 7% | 61% | |
| 118 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 119 | 6% | 48% | |
| 120 | 7% | 41% | |
| 121 | 6% | 35% | |
| 122 | 5% | 29% | |
| 123 | 5% | 23% | |
| 124 | 4% | 19% | |
| 125 | 3% | 14% | |
| 126 | 3% | 11% | Last Result |
| 127 | 2% | 8% | |
| 128 | 2% | 6% | |
| 129 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 130 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 131 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 98 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 99 | 2% | 96% | |
| 100 | 2% | 94% | |
| 101 | 3% | 91% | |
| 102 | 4% | 88% | |
| 103 | 5% | 84% | |
| 104 | 5% | 80% | |
| 105 | 6% | 74% | |
| 106 | 6% | 68% | |
| 107 | 7% | 62% | |
| 108 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 109 | 7% | 49% | |
| 110 | 7% | 42% | |
| 111 | 6% | 35% | Last Result |
| 112 | 6% | 29% | |
| 113 | 5% | 24% | |
| 114 | 4% | 19% | |
| 115 | 4% | 15% | |
| 116 | 3% | 11% | |
| 117 | 2% | 8% | |
| 118 | 2% | 6% | |
| 119 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 120 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 82 | 2% | 97% | |
| 83 | 2% | 96% | |
| 84 | 2% | 94% | |
| 85 | 4% | 91% | |
| 86 | 3% | 87% | |
| 87 | 6% | 84% | |
| 88 | 5% | 78% | |
| 89 | 6% | 73% | Last Result |
| 90 | 8% | 67% | |
| 91 | 6% | 59% | |
| 92 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 93 | 6% | 45% | |
| 94 | 7% | 39% | |
| 95 | 6% | 32% | |
| 96 | 5% | 26% | |
| 97 | 5% | 21% | |
| 98 | 3% | 16% | |
| 99 | 3% | 12% | |
| 100 | 2% | 9% | |
| 101 | 2% | 6% | |
| 102 | 2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 2% | 95% | |
| 75 | 3% | 92% | |
| 76 | 4% | 89% | |
| 77 | 5% | 85% | |
| 78 | 6% | 81% | |
| 79 | 6% | 75% | |
| 80 | 7% | 68% | |
| 81 | 7% | 61% | |
| 82 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 83 | 7% | 47% | |
| 84 | 7% | 39% | |
| 85 | 7% | 32% | |
| 86 | 5% | 26% | Last Result |
| 87 | 5% | 20% | |
| 88 | 4% | 16% | |
| 89 | 3% | 12% | |
| 90 | 2% | 8% | |
| 91 | 2% | 6% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 63 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 64 | 2% | 96% | |
| 65 | 3% | 94% | |
| 66 | 4% | 91% | |
| 67 | 5% | 87% | |
| 68 | 6% | 82% | |
| 69 | 7% | 77% | |
| 70 | 7% | 70% | |
| 71 | 8% | 63% | Last Result |
| 72 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 73 | 8% | 48% | |
| 74 | 7% | 39% | |
| 75 | 6% | 32% | |
| 76 | 6% | 26% | |
| 77 | 5% | 20% | |
| 78 | 4% | 15% | |
| 79 | 3% | 11% | |
| 80 | 3% | 8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 6% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 50 | 4% | 92% | |
| 51 | 5% | 87% | |
| 52 | 6% | 82% | |
| 53 | 7% | 76% | |
| 54 | 8% | 69% | |
| 55 | 8% | 60% | |
| 56 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 57 | 8% | 43% | |
| 58 | 7% | 35% | |
| 59 | 7% | 28% | |
| 60 | 5% | 21% | |
| 61 | 5% | 16% | |
| 62 | 3% | 11% | |
| 63 | 3% | 8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 5% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: ARA
- Commissioner(s): Antena3CNN
- Fieldwork period: 11 February 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 700
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.49%