Opinion Poll by CURS, 23–27 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 18.0% 33.0% 31.5–34.6% 31.1–35.1% 30.7–35.4% 30.0–36.2%
Partidul Social Democrat 22.0% 24.0% 22.6–25.5% 22.2–25.9% 21.9–26.2% 21.3–26.9%
Partidul Național Liberal 13.2% 16.0% 14.9–17.3% 14.5–17.6% 14.3–18.0% 13.7–18.6%
Uniunea Salvați România 12.4% 9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.3–11.1%
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 6.3% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
Partidul S.O.S. România 7.4% 4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 6.5% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 119 113–124 111–126 110–127 107–129
Partidul Social Democrat 86 86 81–91 79–92 78–94 76–96
Partidul Național Liberal 49 57 53–62 52–63 51–64 49–66
Uniunea Salvați România 40 32 29–36 28–37 27–37 26–39
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 22 18 15–20 15–21 14–22 13–23
Partidul S.O.S. România 28 0 0 0 0–17 0–18
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 24 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.2% 99.7%  
107 0.4% 99.5%  
108 0.5% 99.1%  
109 1.0% 98.6%  
110 2% 98%  
111 2% 96%  
112 3% 94%  
113 3% 90%  
114 6% 87%  
115 6% 81%  
116 8% 76%  
117 8% 68%  
118 10% 60%  
119 8% 50% Median
120 10% 42%  
121 7% 32%  
122 7% 25%  
123 6% 18%  
124 4% 12%  
125 3% 8%  
126 3% 5%  
127 1.1% 3%  
128 0.9% 2%  
129 0.5% 0.9%  
130 0.2% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0.1% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.8%  
76 0.4% 99.5%  
77 0.8% 99.1%  
78 1.5% 98%  
79 2% 97%  
80 3% 95%  
81 5% 92%  
82 7% 87%  
83 7% 80%  
84 10% 73%  
85 10% 63%  
86 10% 52% Last Result, Median
87 9% 43%  
88 9% 34%  
89 8% 25%  
90 5% 17%  
91 5% 12%  
92 3% 7%  
93 2% 5%  
94 1.2% 3%  
95 0.7% 1.4%  
96 0.4% 0.8%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.8%  
49 0.6% 99.6% Last Result
50 1.2% 99.0%  
51 2% 98%  
52 3% 95%  
53 5% 92%  
54 8% 86%  
55 10% 79%  
56 11% 69%  
57 12% 58% Median
58 10% 46%  
59 12% 36%  
60 8% 24%  
61 5% 16%  
62 4% 10%  
63 3% 6%  
64 2% 3%  
65 0.9% 2%  
66 0.4% 0.8%  
67 0.2% 0.4%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.3% 99.9%  
26 0.9% 99.6%  
27 2% 98.7%  
28 4% 97%  
29 8% 92%  
30 11% 84%  
31 15% 74%  
32 14% 59% Median
33 15% 45%  
34 11% 30%  
35 9% 20%  
36 5% 11%  
37 3% 5%  
38 1.4% 2%  
39 0.6% 1.0%  
40 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.2% 99.7%  
14 3% 98.6%  
15 8% 95%  
16 16% 87%  
17 21% 71%  
18 18% 50% Median
19 14% 32%  
20 10% 18%  
21 5% 9%  
22 2% 4% Last Result
23 1.0% 1.4%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 0% 4%  
5 0% 4%  
6 0% 4%  
7 0% 4%  
8 0% 4%  
9 0% 4%  
10 0% 4%  
11 0% 4%  
12 0% 4%  
13 0% 4%  
14 0% 4%  
15 0% 4%  
16 0% 4%  
17 2% 4%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 197 193 100% 187–199 185–200 183–202 178–204
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 175 175 97% 169–181 167–183 165–184 161–187
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 157 161 15% 155–167 153–168 151–170 147–172
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal 135 143 0% 137–149 136–150 134–152 130–155
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 119 0% 113–124 111–126 110–127 107–129
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România 126 118 0% 113–124 111–125 109–126 106–129
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 111 107 0% 102–113 100–114 99–115 96–118
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 89 89 0% 84–95 83–96 81–97 79–100
Partidul Social Democrat 86 86 0% 81–91 79–92 78–94 76–96
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 71 75 0% 70–80 69–81 67–82 65–85
Partidul Național Liberal 49 57 0% 53–62 52–63 51–64 49–66

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.8%  
177 0.1% 99.7%  
178 0.3% 99.6%  
179 0.3% 99.3%  
180 0.3% 99.0%  
181 0.4% 98.7%  
182 0.6% 98%  
183 0.8% 98%  
184 1.3% 97%  
185 2% 96%  
186 3% 94%  
187 3% 91%  
188 4% 89%  
189 6% 84%  
190 7% 78%  
191 7% 71%  
192 10% 64%  
193 8% 54% Median
194 10% 46%  
195 8% 36%  
196 8% 29%  
197 6% 21% Last Result
198 6% 16%  
199 3% 10%  
200 3% 7%  
201 2% 4%  
202 1.3% 3%  
203 0.7% 1.4%  
204 0.4% 0.8%  
205 0.2% 0.4%  
206 0.1% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.2% 99.8%  
161 0.2% 99.6%  
162 0.4% 99.4%  
163 0.3% 99.0%  
164 0.5% 98.7%  
165 0.7% 98%  
166 1.1% 97% Majority
167 2% 96%  
168 2% 95%  
169 3% 92%  
170 4% 89%  
171 6% 85%  
172 6% 80%  
173 8% 74%  
174 9% 66%  
175 9% 57% Last Result, Median
176 9% 49%  
177 8% 40%  
178 7% 31%  
179 7% 24%  
180 5% 17%  
181 4% 12%  
182 3% 8%  
183 2% 5%  
184 1.4% 3%  
185 0.9% 2%  
186 0.4% 0.9%  
187 0.3% 0.5%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0% 100%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0.2% 99.6%  
148 0.3% 99.5%  
149 0.5% 99.1%  
150 0.6% 98.6%  
151 1.0% 98%  
152 2% 97%  
153 2% 96%  
154 2% 94%  
155 4% 91%  
156 5% 87%  
157 6% 83% Last Result
158 7% 76%  
159 9% 69%  
160 8% 59%  
161 8% 51% Median
162 9% 43%  
163 7% 34%  
164 7% 28%  
165 5% 21%  
166 5% 15% Majority
167 4% 11%  
168 2% 7%  
169 2% 5%  
170 1.2% 3%  
171 0.8% 2%  
172 0.4% 0.8%  
173 0.2% 0.4%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.2% 99.6%  
131 0.3% 99.4%  
132 0.5% 99.1%  
133 0.9% 98.6%  
134 0.9% 98%  
135 2% 97% Last Result
136 3% 95%  
137 3% 93%  
138 5% 89%  
139 7% 85%  
140 7% 78%  
141 9% 71%  
142 9% 62%  
143 8% 53% Median
144 9% 45%  
145 6% 36%  
146 7% 30%  
147 6% 23%  
148 5% 17%  
149 4% 12%  
150 3% 8%  
151 2% 5%  
152 1.5% 3%  
153 0.8% 2%  
154 0.4% 0.9%  
155 0.3% 0.5%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.2% 99.7%  
107 0.4% 99.5%  
108 0.5% 99.1%  
109 1.0% 98.6%  
110 2% 98%  
111 2% 96%  
112 3% 94%  
113 3% 90%  
114 6% 87%  
115 6% 81%  
116 8% 76%  
117 8% 68%  
118 10% 60%  
119 8% 50% Median
120 10% 42%  
121 7% 32%  
122 7% 25%  
123 6% 18%  
124 4% 12%  
125 3% 8%  
126 3% 5%  
127 1.1% 3%  
128 0.9% 2%  
129 0.5% 0.9%  
130 0.2% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0.1% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0.1% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.2% 99.7%  
107 0.4% 99.4%  
108 0.6% 99.0%  
109 1.4% 98%  
110 2% 97%  
111 2% 95%  
112 3% 93%  
113 4% 91%  
114 7% 87%  
115 8% 80%  
116 8% 72%  
117 7% 64%  
118 10% 57% Median
119 12% 47%  
120 10% 35%  
121 4% 25%  
122 5% 21%  
123 5% 16%  
124 4% 10%  
125 2% 6%  
126 1.2% 4% Last Result
127 0.9% 2%  
128 0.7% 2%  
129 0.5% 0.8%  
130 0.2% 0.4%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.2% 99.8%  
96 0.4% 99.5%  
97 0.5% 99.1%  
98 1.0% 98.6%  
99 2% 98%  
100 2% 96%  
101 4% 94%  
102 4% 90%  
103 6% 86%  
104 7% 80%  
105 8% 73%  
106 9% 64%  
107 8% 55% Median
108 10% 47%  
109 8% 37%  
110 7% 28%  
111 6% 21% Last Result
112 5% 15%  
113 4% 10%  
114 2% 6%  
115 2% 4%  
116 0.9% 2%  
117 0.6% 1.3%  
118 0.4% 0.7%  
119 0.2% 0.4%  
120 0.1% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.4% 99.6%  
80 0.6% 99.3%  
81 1.2% 98.7%  
82 2% 97%  
83 3% 96%  
84 4% 93%  
85 6% 89%  
86 7% 83%  
87 8% 76%  
88 10% 69%  
89 10% 58% Last Result, Median
90 9% 49%  
91 10% 40%  
92 8% 30%  
93 6% 22%  
94 5% 15%  
95 4% 10%  
96 2% 6%  
97 2% 4%  
98 1.0% 2%  
99 0.5% 1.2%  
100 0.3% 0.7%  
101 0.2% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.8%  
76 0.4% 99.5%  
77 0.8% 99.1%  
78 1.5% 98%  
79 2% 97%  
80 3% 95%  
81 5% 92%  
82 7% 87%  
83 7% 80%  
84 10% 73%  
85 10% 63%  
86 10% 52% Last Result, Median
87 9% 43%  
88 9% 34%  
89 8% 25%  
90 5% 17%  
91 5% 12%  
92 3% 7%  
93 2% 5%  
94 1.2% 3%  
95 0.7% 1.4%  
96 0.4% 0.8%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.7%  
66 0.7% 99.4%  
67 1.2% 98.7%  
68 2% 97%  
69 3% 96%  
70 5% 93%  
71 6% 88% Last Result
72 9% 82%  
73 8% 73%  
74 11% 64%  
75 11% 54% Median
76 11% 43%  
77 9% 32%  
78 7% 24%  
79 5% 16%  
80 4% 11%  
81 3% 7%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.3%  
85 0.3% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.8%  
49 0.6% 99.6% Last Result
50 1.2% 99.0%  
51 2% 98%  
52 3% 95%  
53 5% 92%  
54 8% 86%  
55 10% 79%  
56 11% 69%  
57 12% 58% Median
58 10% 46%  
59 12% 36%  
60 8% 24%  
61 5% 16%  
62 4% 10%  
63 3% 6%  
64 2% 3%  
65 0.9% 2%  
66 0.4% 0.8%  
67 0.2% 0.4%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations