Opinion Poll by INSCOP for Informat.ro, 1–7 April 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 18.0% 37.0% 35.2–38.9% 34.6–39.4% 34.2–39.9% 33.3–40.8%
Partidul Social Democrat 22.0% 20.1% 18.6–21.7% 18.2–22.2% 17.8–22.6% 17.1–23.4%
Partidul Național Liberal 13.2% 15.5% 14.1–16.9% 13.7–17.4% 13.4–17.7% 12.8–18.4%
Uniunea Salvați România 12.4% 12.7% 11.5–14.1% 11.2–14.5% 10.9–14.8% 10.3–15.5%
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 6.3% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.6% 2.9–6.1%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 6.5% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.4–5.3%
Partidul S.O.S. România 7.4% 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.8–4.4%
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate 3.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.4% 1.4–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 129 122–135 120–137 119–139 116–142
Partidul Social Democrat 86 70 65–75 63–77 62–78 59–81
Partidul Național Liberal 49 54 49–59 48–60 47–61 44–64
Uniunea Salvați România 40 44 40–49 39–50 38–51 36–54
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 22 15 12–18 11–18 11–19 10–21
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 24 0 0 0 0 0–17
Partidul S.O.S. România 28 0 0 0 0 0
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.2% 99.8%  
116 0.3% 99.6%  
117 0.4% 99.3%  
118 0.8% 98.9%  
119 1.2% 98%  
120 2% 97%  
121 2% 95%  
122 3% 93%  
123 5% 90%  
124 4% 85%  
125 7% 81%  
126 5% 74%  
127 7% 69%  
128 8% 61%  
129 8% 54% Median
130 7% 46%  
131 8% 40%  
132 7% 32%  
133 5% 25%  
134 6% 20%  
135 5% 15%  
136 3% 10%  
137 2% 7%  
138 2% 5%  
139 1.1% 3%  
140 0.8% 2%  
141 0.4% 1.0%  
142 0.3% 0.7%  
143 0.2% 0.3%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.3% 99.8%  
60 0.7% 99.5%  
61 1.0% 98.8%  
62 1.2% 98%  
63 2% 97%  
64 4% 95%  
65 6% 91%  
66 7% 85%  
67 7% 78%  
68 8% 71%  
69 9% 63%  
70 11% 54% Median
71 9% 43%  
72 7% 34%  
73 6% 28%  
74 8% 22%  
75 5% 14%  
76 3% 10%  
77 2% 6%  
78 2% 4%  
79 1.0% 2%  
80 0.8% 1.4%  
81 0.3% 0.6%  
82 0.1% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.8%  
45 0.6% 99.4%  
46 1.1% 98.8%  
47 2% 98%  
48 4% 96%  
49 5% 92% Last Result
50 8% 87%  
51 9% 79%  
52 7% 70%  
53 10% 63%  
54 11% 53% Median
55 8% 41%  
56 9% 33%  
57 8% 24%  
58 4% 16%  
59 4% 11%  
60 3% 7%  
61 2% 4%  
62 1.0% 2%  
63 0.7% 1.4%  
64 0.3% 0.6%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.3% 99.8%  
36 0.6% 99.5%  
37 1.4% 98.9%  
38 2% 98%  
39 4% 95%  
40 6% 91% Last Result
41 9% 85%  
42 7% 76%  
43 12% 70%  
44 12% 57% Median
45 10% 45%  
46 8% 35%  
47 10% 27%  
48 7% 17%  
49 4% 10%  
50 3% 6%  
51 2% 4%  
52 1.1% 2%  
53 0.6% 1.2%  
54 0.3% 0.6%  
55 0.2% 0.3%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 1.3% 99.7%  
11 4% 98%  
12 10% 94%  
13 15% 85%  
14 18% 70%  
15 18% 52% Median
16 14% 34%  
17 9% 20%  
18 6% 11%  
19 3% 5%  
20 1.3% 2%  
21 0.5% 0.7%  
22 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0% 2%  
8 0% 2%  
9 0% 2%  
10 0% 2%  
11 0% 2%  
12 0% 2%  
13 0% 2%  
14 0% 2%  
15 0% 2%  
16 0.3% 2%  
17 1.3% 2%  
18 0.4% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul S.O.S. România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 197 183 99.9% 176–189 174–191 172–193 169–196
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 175 168 68% 161–175 159–176 157–178 154–181
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 157 138 0% 132–145 130–147 128–148 125–152
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 129 0% 122–135 120–137 119–139 116–142
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal 135 123 0% 118–130 116–132 114–133 111–137
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România 126 114 0% 108–121 106–122 104–124 101–127
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 111 112 0% 106–119 104–121 103–123 100–125
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 89 98 0% 92–104 90–106 89–107 86–110
Partidul Social Democrat 86 70 0% 65–75 63–77 62–78 59–81
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 71 69 0% 63–74 62–76 60–77 58–80
Partidul Național Liberal 49 54 0% 49–59 48–60 47–61 44–64

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0.1% 99.9% Majority
167 0.1% 99.8%  
168 0.1% 99.7%  
169 0.3% 99.6%  
170 0.6% 99.3%  
171 0.6% 98.7%  
172 0.9% 98%  
173 1.3% 97%  
174 2% 96%  
175 3% 94%  
176 3% 91%  
177 5% 89%  
178 6% 83%  
179 5% 78%  
180 7% 73%  
181 8% 66%  
182 7% 58%  
183 8% 52% Median
184 8% 44%  
185 7% 37%  
186 5% 29%  
187 6% 24%  
188 4% 18%  
189 4% 13%  
190 3% 9%  
191 2% 6%  
192 2% 4%  
193 1.1% 3%  
194 0.7% 2%  
195 0.4% 0.9%  
196 0.2% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.2% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.6%  
155 0.4% 99.4%  
156 0.6% 99.0%  
157 0.9% 98%  
158 1.1% 97%  
159 2% 96%  
160 2% 95%  
161 3% 92%  
162 4% 89%  
163 6% 85%  
164 5% 79%  
165 7% 75%  
166 6% 68% Majority
167 9% 62%  
168 6% 53% Median
169 8% 47%  
170 8% 38%  
171 5% 31%  
172 5% 25%  
173 6% 20%  
174 4% 14%  
175 3% 10% Last Result
176 2% 7%  
177 2% 5%  
178 1.0% 3%  
179 0.8% 2%  
180 0.4% 1.1%  
181 0.3% 0.6%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0.1% 100%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.2% 99.8%  
125 0.2% 99.6%  
126 0.5% 99.4%  
127 0.6% 98.9%  
128 1.3% 98%  
129 1.2% 97%  
130 2% 96%  
131 2% 94%  
132 4% 92%  
133 7% 88%  
134 5% 81%  
135 5% 76%  
136 6% 71%  
137 9% 65%  
138 7% 56%  
139 7% 49% Median
140 7% 42%  
141 5% 34%  
142 7% 29%  
143 5% 22%  
144 5% 17%  
145 3% 12%  
146 3% 9%  
147 2% 6%  
148 2% 4%  
149 1.0% 2%  
150 0.6% 2%  
151 0.3% 0.9%  
152 0.2% 0.5%  
153 0.1% 0.3%  
154 0.1% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.2% 99.8%  
116 0.3% 99.6%  
117 0.4% 99.3%  
118 0.8% 98.9%  
119 1.2% 98%  
120 2% 97%  
121 2% 95%  
122 3% 93%  
123 5% 90%  
124 4% 85%  
125 7% 81%  
126 5% 74%  
127 7% 69%  
128 8% 61%  
129 8% 54% Median
130 7% 46%  
131 8% 40%  
132 7% 32%  
133 5% 25%  
134 6% 20%  
135 5% 15%  
136 3% 10%  
137 2% 7%  
138 2% 5%  
139 1.1% 3%  
140 0.8% 2%  
141 0.4% 1.0%  
142 0.3% 0.7%  
143 0.2% 0.3%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0.2% 99.7%  
111 0.3% 99.5%  
112 0.6% 99.2%  
113 0.5% 98.6%  
114 2% 98%  
115 1.2% 97%  
116 2% 95%  
117 3% 93%  
118 5% 90%  
119 6% 85%  
120 7% 79%  
121 7% 73%  
122 9% 65%  
123 7% 57%  
124 6% 50% Median
125 6% 44%  
126 7% 38%  
127 6% 31%  
128 6% 24%  
129 5% 19%  
130 5% 14%  
131 3% 8%  
132 2% 6%  
133 1.2% 4%  
134 0.8% 2%  
135 0.7% 2% Last Result
136 0.3% 0.9%  
137 0.3% 0.6%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.2% 99.9%  
101 0.2% 99.7%  
102 0.3% 99.4%  
103 0.5% 99.1%  
104 1.2% 98.6%  
105 2% 97%  
106 1.2% 96%  
107 3% 94%  
108 5% 92%  
109 6% 87%  
110 5% 81%  
111 4% 77%  
112 10% 72%  
113 9% 62%  
114 7% 54% Median
115 5% 47%  
116 7% 41%  
117 12% 35%  
118 5% 23%  
119 3% 18%  
120 4% 15%  
121 5% 11%  
122 2% 6%  
123 1.0% 4%  
124 1.0% 3%  
125 1.0% 2%  
126 0.5% 1.0% Last Result
127 0.2% 0.5%  
128 0.1% 0.4%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0.1% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.2% 99.8%  
100 0.2% 99.7%  
101 0.5% 99.5%  
102 0.8% 99.0%  
103 1.4% 98%  
104 2% 97%  
105 3% 95%  
106 3% 92%  
107 4% 89%  
108 3% 85%  
109 8% 82%  
110 7% 74%  
111 7% 67% Last Result
112 10% 59%  
113 8% 50% Median
114 5% 42%  
115 6% 37%  
116 8% 31%  
117 8% 23%  
118 4% 15%  
119 3% 11%  
120 2% 8%  
121 1.2% 5%  
122 1.1% 4%  
123 1.2% 3%  
124 0.9% 2%  
125 0.4% 0.8%  
126 0.2% 0.4%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0.1% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.8%  
86 0.3% 99.6%  
87 0.6% 99.3%  
88 0.8% 98.7%  
89 1.3% 98% Last Result
90 3% 97%  
91 2% 94%  
92 4% 92%  
93 5% 88%  
94 5% 83%  
95 8% 77%  
96 7% 69%  
97 9% 62%  
98 6% 53% Median
99 9% 47%  
100 7% 37%  
101 7% 30%  
102 8% 23%  
103 3% 16%  
104 4% 12%  
105 3% 8%  
106 2% 5%  
107 1.2% 3%  
108 0.8% 2%  
109 0.5% 1.4%  
110 0.4% 0.9%  
111 0.2% 0.5%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.3% 99.8%  
60 0.7% 99.5%  
61 1.0% 98.8%  
62 1.2% 98%  
63 2% 97%  
64 4% 95%  
65 6% 91%  
66 7% 85%  
67 7% 78%  
68 8% 71%  
69 9% 63%  
70 11% 54% Median
71 9% 43%  
72 7% 34%  
73 6% 28%  
74 8% 22%  
75 5% 14%  
76 3% 10%  
77 2% 6%  
78 2% 4%  
79 1.0% 2%  
80 0.8% 1.4%  
81 0.3% 0.6%  
82 0.1% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 0.3% 99.7%  
59 0.7% 99.4%  
60 1.4% 98.6%  
61 2% 97%  
62 3% 95%  
63 5% 92%  
64 6% 88%  
65 7% 81%  
66 8% 74%  
67 6% 66%  
68 10% 60%  
69 11% 50% Median
70 10% 40%  
71 5% 30% Last Result
72 6% 24%  
73 5% 18%  
74 5% 13%  
75 3% 8%  
76 2% 5%  
77 0.8% 3%  
78 1.0% 2%  
79 0.5% 1.0%  
80 0.3% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.8%  
45 0.6% 99.4%  
46 1.1% 98.8%  
47 2% 98%  
48 4% 96%  
49 5% 92% Last Result
50 8% 87%  
51 9% 79%  
52 7% 70%  
53 10% 63%  
54 11% 53% Median
55 8% 41%  
56 9% 33%  
57 8% 24%  
58 4% 16%  
59 4% 11%  
60 3% 7%  
61 2% 4%  
62 1.0% 2%  
63 0.7% 1.4%  
64 0.3% 0.6%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations